NBA

5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on 1/23/18

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Frank Ntilikina, PG, New York Knicks

FanDuel Price: $3,500
Projected FanDuel Points: 15.4
Projected FanDuel Value: 4.39

Of the five games on tonight's docket, the New York Knicks-Golden State Warriors matchup has the highest spread at 16.5 points. And it's reasonable to think that this could be a blowout early in the second half. The Warriors have net ratings of 20.9 and 19.8 points per 100 possessions in the second and third quarters at home. Inversely, the Knicks are at -9.7 and -13.8 on the road in those two quarters.

The result here could be a lot of run for the Knicks' reserves, most notably Frank Ntilikina. Ntilikina's averaged just 7.5 FanDuel points and 14.1 minutes per game over the last three, but he could be the beneficiary of some serious garbage time. But even if the Knicks surprise us and keep this one close, the youngster could be a key part of the game plan. His length and defense could cause him to see decent minutes against Stephen Curry.

On the year, Ntilikina's 109 defensive rating is 3.0 points better per 100 possessions than Jarrett Jack's. At 34, it's hard to see Jack keeping up with Curry and company, so it's reasonable to expect Ntilikina to play more than 20 minutes, just as we project him to today. Of course, it also helps that -- with a 224.5.-point over/under -- this should be the highest-scoring game of the night.