NBA

Daily Fantasy Basketball Game Scripts to Target on 2/28/17

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Kevin Durant, SF, Golden State Warriors

FanDuel Price: $10,400

Kevin Durant and the Golden State Warriors face the Washington Wizards in what should easily be the highest-scoring game on the slate. The over/under currently sits at 231.5 points, which is 9.5 points higher than the next highest total. Golden State is projected for a slate-leading 118.75 points, but this game is expected to remain competitive, with Washington listed as just six-point home underdogs.

The table below shows the FanDuel point averages of Golden State's big four in games with an implied team total of 116-plus points and and over/under of 227-plus points, courtesy of the RotoViz Game Splits App.

The increase or decrease in their numbers from their season scoring average is also included in parentheses.

Name Implied Team Total of 116-plus Over/Under of 227-plus
Stephen Curry 41.1 (+0.6) 39.3 (-1.2)
Klay Thompson 30.8 (+0.4) 27.7 (-2.7)
Kevin Durant 49.2 (+2.8) 51.4 (+5)
Draymond Green 38.1 (+2.8) 40.9 (+5.6)


As you can see, Durant and Draymond Green have clearly been the biggest beneficiaries of positive game scripts. Both are great targets, but given Green's struggles on the offensive end recently (averaging 6.1 points in his past 7 games), Durant appears most poised to take advantage of Golden State's 118.75-point implied team total.

Washington has been average against small forwards, allowing the 11th-most FanDuel points to the position, but are notorious for their struggles against wings over the past few seasons. Our projections agree Durant is in for a big game, projecting him as the highest scorer not named Russell Westbrook. He is an excellent target in all formats tonight.