NASCAR

Daily Fantasy NASCAR: Current Form, Track History, and Betting Odds for the Supermarket Heroes 500

Sunday's NASCAR Cup Series race at Bristol is one where you want all the information you can get.

There are a lot of unknowns entering the race. It's the first time we've seen Cup Series cars at Bristol with smaller spoilers since 2018, and it's just the second time we've seen the small spoilers on the cars this year. The other race was in Phoenix, a track with flat banking. Bristol's banking is among the highest on the circuit. We don't know what this package will look like on this track type.

As a result, we also don't have a great sample of which drivers will have the fastest cars for this configuration. We can look at past Bristol races, but then we're missing out on the gains teams like Hendrick Motorsports have made to open 2020.

That's why we want to just blend everything together and hope it can lead us in the right direction.

All the pertinent data for this track is in the table below, from betting odds to current form and track history. The betting odds are based on FanDuel Sportsbook's outrights as of Friday afternoon, and each driver's FanDuel DFS salary is also listed.

The current form section includes six races, five of which are from 2020. The four races since the end of the COVID-19 layoff are there to show us who has flexed muscle recently, potentially an indication of who made the biggest gains while the cars were parked. The other 2020 race was the one in Phoenix to give us a glimpse at who was good in the re-debut of this rules package.

Finally, in order to get another track that is both concrete and high-banked, I tacked on the 2019 playoff race at Dover, as well. This race occurred while some drivers were with other teams and before some teams made their 2020 surges, but with the overlaps that Dover and Bristol share, it seemed worthwhile to include it.

The track history data is from 2019 and 2018. This gives us an idea of who has run well at Bristol both in a similar rules package to what they'll have Sunday (the 2018 races) and who mopped up here most recently.

As always, the numbers for each race are the driver's average running position rather than their finish. The reasoning there can be summed up by Ryan Blaney's ($10,300) race here in the spring of 2018.

In that one, Blaney dominated early. He led 100 of the first 117 laps and looked like he was going to push for a win. Then this happened.


Through no fault of his own, Blaney went from dreaming of the checkers to sitting on a wrecker.

If you judge Blaney based on his 35th-place finish, you'll think he's not a stud at this track. But his second-place average running position shows that ain't the case and that he's someone we'll want to consider for Sunday, both for betting and DFS.

The Cup Series set the order through a combination of owner points and a random draw on Friday, so the drivers are listed in the order of how they'll line up on Sunday.

Current Form Track History
DriverFD SalaryWin
Odds
StartChar 2Char 1Darl 2Darl 1PhoenixDover2019
Fall
2019
Spring
2018
Fall
2018
Spring
Brad Keselowski$12,30013001181112461166148
Aric Almirola$8,00042002221771391624371415
Joey Logano$11,70080034891263620368
Ryan Blaney$10,30016004411191731168362
Martin Truex, Jr.$12,50070051837141137141531
Chase Elliott$13,00085067789737410332
Kyle Busch$14,00035072891418610137194
Kevin Harvick$12,2008008614923422241212
Matt DiBenedetto$8,300500091217141311125122521
Denny Hamlin$12,000850101336962429111513
Alex Bowman$11,400220011134831361523149
Kurt Busch$10,600130012612199141089720
William Byron$9,3004200131671424131017172215
Matt Kenseth$8,00032001430221714------------
Erik Jones$9,600280015191110101591020718
Ricky Stenhouse, Jr.$6,20042001611232840221717352111
Ryan Newman$7,70075001719191416--231391614
John Hunter Nemechek$6,40020000181621381820----------
Chris Buescher$6,800140001918172626222722111426
Austin Dillon$7,000700020891817312035131312
Tyler Reddick$7,3007000211310191314----------
Cole Custer$6,60011000222022252014----------
Clint Bowyer$9,0002800232134491113106513
Jimmie Johnson$10,00025002417717271372410107
Michael McDowell$4,500200002518242224252531253629
Joey Gase$2,00020000263938313332----------
Quin Houff$2,50020000273237313734--3533----
Ty Dillon$5,500200002828271724212124132429
Gray Gaulding$2,0002000029293133--------343831
Garrett Smithley$2,0002000030403435363534--------
Corey LaJoie$3,000200003125252626243025273328
Ryan Preece$5,00020000322123291923192228----
Brennan Poole$2,50020000333531263032----------
Christopher Bell$6,0007000341415192020----------
Bubba Wallace$5,000200003518331721272217213713
Daniel Suarez$4,000200003627282728271712121911
Timmy Hill$2,00020000373436353438----3431--
B.J. McLeod$2,000200003834323739--3234------
J.J. Yeley$3,000200003932362929283231--28--


With how important laps led are for Sunday's race, it'll be especially key to identify drivers starting up front with the ability to jump out and dominate the race. This information should at least give you some of the tools to make those ever-critical determinations.