Josh Donaldson goes yard as Jays defeat Cleveland in Game 4

Toronto Blue Jays third baseman Josh Donaldson blasted a solo home run as the Jays scored a 5-1 win over the Cleveland Indians in Game 4 of the ALCS.

What It Means:

Donaldson has at least one hit in each games this series, and Tuesday's dinger marked his second extra-base hit, first run scored and second RBI of the ALCS.

Even with the win, Toronto is down 3-1 in the series, and our models give them only a 4.4 percent chance of winning the World Series -- by far the lowest mark among the four remaining teams.