MLB Daily Fantasy Helper: Wednesday 5/29/13
We know that people play all sorts of fantasy platforms, not just from from our friends at StarStreet but on other platforms such as FanDuel, Draft Kings, and Fantasy Feud as well. So once again, we have four optimized rosters, all for you, the numberFire reader. One is for free here; the others can be found in our Premium section.
As always, the full tables for today's action are available at our Daily Fantasy Projections page. Make sure to check it out to see where the best values are for your team.
Our baseball projections are updated throughout the day, so make sure to come back to double-check your optimized rosters for any last-minute lineup changes. Since most action happens later in the day, we will be ignoring the early games (if there are any) and focusing solely on the late contests. That way, you can use and tinker with our optimized rosters throughout the day.
StarStreet Optimized Roster
Fan Duel, Draft Kings, and Fantasy Feud Optimized Rosters
For the optimal rosters for the other main players, be sure to check out our brand new Daily Fantasy Optimized Rosters for our Premium members. We know that you're killing it with our picks; maybe now you'll help us continue to help you win each night, every night.
Access to the optimal rosters is immediate, and you'll have it constantly updated for the latest injury news and updates from around the league. The best news of all? For new subscribers, you can use the promo code WELCOME and get it 50% off what was already the reduced price. Think of the savings!
The Three Top Pitchers
Lance Lynn - I'm going to be honest: I've been doing these writeups for a while, and I don't think I've seen a pitcher with as high of a projected win total as Lynn's 0.58 today. But I guess that's what happens when a 7-1, 1.2 percent homerun rate, 26.8 percent strikeout rate starter takes on a squad with a below-average .314 OBP who walks the fourth-least (6.7 percent of plate appearances) in the entire major leagues. Don't overthink this one.
David Phelps - Yankees pitchers generally make me happy with their large chances of winning. Run support will do that for you. But when that Yankees pitcher is taking on a team with the fourth-worst OBP (.297) and third-highest strikeout rate (23.1 percent) in the majors? I'll take that all day, every day. His leading 0.17 projected losses and 5.38 projected K's don't surprise me today in the least, especially given his above-average 23.6 percent strikeout rate this season.
Justin Grimm - After the top two options, the potential value falls a bit off a cliff. Grimm, Joe Saunders, and Kris Medlen could all potentially be in this spot. Grimm, though, seems to have the most consistent value across all daily fantasy formats, while Saunders and Medlen are up and down all over the place. Opposing starter Brandon McCarthy is a good candidate to turn his game around, but Grimm's unsustainable .340 BABIP is due to regress to the mean and shouldn't be a problem given Arizona's slightly below average 22 percent line drive rate.
Top High-Priced Hitters
Carlos Gonzalez - I just had a moment of slight confusion as to why Erik Bedard is still a major league starter, but then again, I'm not entirely sure you can call the Astros a major league team. Bedard holds a 1.605 WHIP, 5.2 percent homerun rate, and 11.5 percent walk rate this season, so you can't exactly say his problems are entirely because of the defense he has behind him. CarGo is our top projected fantasy point earner in all formats tonight.
Ryan Braun - We don't know much about Twins starter Samuel Deduno, but here's what we know: A. He started one game this season, giving up 6 ER, 9 H, and 3 BB. B. He only had two strikeouts in that game, and his career strikeout rate in 404 batters faced is a below-average 16.3 percent. C. He has allowed homeruns on 12.9 percent of fly balls given up over the course of his career. I'd say I'm excited for the Brewers as a whole tonight, but none excites me more than Ryan Braun.
Mid-Range Cost-Effective Hitters
Didi Gregorius - If you're spending high on outfielders like Gonzalez or Braun, you're going to have to skimp somewhere. Luckily, Gregorius gives you top five shortstop numbers despite a plummeting cost. He may have only gone 2 for his last 11, but those two hits were a triple and a homerun yesterday against the Rangers, driving in 3 RBIs. He still holds a .386 OBP and a 28 percent line drive rate after all, and the fact that his 0.93 projected RBIs are the third-most of any batter tonight (behind Miguel Cabrera and CarGo) doesn't surprise me in the least.
Russell Martin - Catcher is a very tricky position tonight, and depending on the fantasy platform, our optimized rosters are all over the board. But by and large, Russell Martin remains a solid low-cost selection for tonight, as long as he doesn't get a day of rest. And why trust the catcher going against Anibal Sanchez? More than anything, it may just be placement in the lineup. Martin has hit fifth his past four games, right behind McCutchen and Garrett Jones. That shoots his projected RBIs (0.61 tonight) up, which couples with a 12.9 percent strikeout rate to produce a solid low-cost bet.