4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 9/11/15
Each day here on numberFire, we'll be providing you with four potential offenses to stack in your daily fantasy lineups. These are the offenses that provide huge run potential on that given day based on matchups and other factors.
After reading through these suggestions, make sure to check out our daily projections. These can either let you know which players to include in each stack, or which guy best complements said stack.
Another great tool is our custom optimal lineups, which are available for premium subscribers. Within the tool, we've added the option to stack teams -- you choose the team you want to stack, show how many players you want to use within the stack, and the tool will create a lineup based on this that you can then customize.
Now, let's get to the stacks. As a note, I had mentioned the Chicago Cubs against Alec Asher as a stack yesterday. Asher was later pushed back to today and is throwing in the second half of their doubleheader. I still like that stack a lot for the same reasons, so I'd have ownership in the Cubs' bats if that game is available in a slate. Here are the other teams you should be targeting in daily fantasy baseball today.
New York Mets
As a person who owns Matt Wisler in a 14-team, 40-person-roster dynasty league, I'm just praying for rain, baby. If it doesn't happen, then you'll find me weeping in the sad, sad cornfields of season-long fantasy baseball.
Over his past 12 1/3 innings, Wisler has allowed 16 earned runs while walking 11 with 9 strikeouts. And that includes a two-inning relief outing in which he allowed zero runs. This all comes with a 6.55 xFIP against lefties on the season, so you bet your bottom this is going to be a delight.
With Wisler's struggles against lefties in mind, you know I'm all about Curtis Granderson. But you'll also want to get yourself any other person who swings a bat left-handed. Mainly, I'm targeting Lucas Duda and Daniel Murphy if they're in the lineup, but everyone is fair game in this lineup. I'm not saying you should fade Yoenis Cespedes just because he's right-handed, but my main points of emphasis will be those delectable lefties.
Jesse Chavez is up; he's down; he's all around. He could go seven shutout innings tonight, or he could allow seven runs in on inning. However, with his struggles against lefties, I'm going to want ownership in the Rangers.
Now, Chavez's xFIP is actually pretty similar against batters of both handedness -- 4.03 against lefties and 3.80 against righties. However, xFIP looks at fly balls, and his fly balls decrease against lefties. What increases is the line-drive percentage. That may make the Rangers' lefties even more sustainable than if he were a high fly-ball pitcher, even if they won't hit as many dongs.
One thing that isn't getting a ton of pub -- even though the Rangers currently hold a playoff spot -- is just how good Shin-Soo Choo has been in the second half. He has pushed his walk rate back to 14.5 percent and posted a slash of .314/.438/.532 thanks in part to a 36.0 percent hard-hit rate. This is a matchup in which I won't want to pass him up if at all possible.
Kansas City Royals
I'm honestly a bit surprised that the over/under is 8.5 on this one as I could totally see a stack of the Baltimore Orioles as well. With Adam Jones' health issues, though, I'm instead going with the Royals against Mike Wright.
We're still operating off of small sample sizes for Wright through 34 2/3 innings in the majors, but they have been a struggle so far. He has averaged 5.97 strikeouts and 3.12 walks per nine innings, upping his xFIP to 5.19. The strikeout and walk issues existed at Triple-A (though to a lesser extent), and that has led to his 40.4 ground-ball percentage getting him in trouble.
It took me a while to fully buy into the Royals offense this year, as it was dependent on a bunch of players having bounce-back seasons. As we get further and further along, though, it's seeming like their success is legit, ranking sixth in the league in wOBA against righties. Their 15.4 strikeout percentage brings safety, even if their .148 isolated slugging percentage is a bit disappointing. I prefer their middle-of-the-order bats for tourneys as they have the more extra-base pop, but this is an offense that has been fairly reliable in its output.
St. Louis Cardinals
Much with the Royals earlier this year, I don't know what to do with their neighbors to the east now. The Cardinals rank 12th in wOBA against right-handed pitching, and they've got some talent. But their .142 isolated slugging percentage is just not fun. I'm rolling with them here, though, with Michael Lorenzen on the bump.
Lorenzen has now logged 100 2/3 innings in the big leagues. Over that span, he has averaged 6.44 strikeouts and 4.92 walks per nine innings with a 5.06 xFIP. The crazy part here is that he has actually walked 6.58 batters per nine against lefties. That's utterly unfathomable. There aren't many safer options than the Cardinals on FanDuel tonight, even if they are frustrating.
The one fun thing about the Cardinals is that it's their young pups who do the damage. Their top two batters in wRC+ against righties are Randal Grichuk and Stephen Piscotty, who are rookies. They validate that with hard-hit rates that are well above average, too, which gives you a bit of certainty. Unfortunately, it looks like Grichuk won't be in the lineup because of his throwing abilities, but I still think Piscotty and the rest of the Cards bring enough to the table to justify a stack in this matchup.