4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 8/13/15
Each day here on numberFire, we'll be providing you with four potential offenses to stack in your daily fantasy lineups. These are the offenses that provide huge run potential on that given day based on matchups and other factors.
After reading through these suggestions, make sure to check out our daily projections. These can either let you know which players to include in each stack, or which guy best complements said stack.
Another great tool is our custom optimal lineups, which are available for premium subscribers. Within the tool, we've added the option to stack teams -- you choose the team you want to stack, show how many players you want to use within the stack, and the tool will create a lineup based on this that you can then customize.
Now, let's get to the stacks. Here are the teams you should be targeting in daily fantasy baseball today.
Los Angeles Angels
Entering last night's game, the Angels had been shutout in four of their previous 12 games with three of those coming over the past seven. So, yes, you should invest your hard-earned money in stacking them tonight. This is a sound strategy.
Thankfully for the run-starved Angels, they have a date with Jeremy Guthrie on the docket. Over his 21 starts, Guthrie has a 5.07 SIERA. This includes only two performances in which he has recorded more than four strikeouts. The Angels rank in the middle of the pack in strikeouts against righties, but they should be able to put the ball in play against Guthrie.
Now, even outside of their recent cold streak, the Angels don't appear to be the ideal stacking candidate. They entered last night ranked 19th in wOBA against right-handed batters. However, once you take into account that the negative park factor they usually inherit, they bump up to ninth in wRC+. Playing on the road should help them, making a stack that provides some concern a bit safer.
It has been a rough go for Ervin Santana since he returned from his performance-enhancing drug suspension. He has allowed at least six earned runs in three of his seven starts, jacking his SIERA up to 4.91. If this keeps up, the Rangers have both safety and upside for today.
With Santana, there's the concern that he could rack up the strikeouts again. That's what has happened in a few of his higher-level performances this year. This concern is much less so against left-handed batters, meaning the lefty bats on the Rangers -- and there are plenty of them -- should receive a bump.
A plus for this stack is that the pricing is relaxed. It's possible that the algorithms are based on Santana's performance in previous seasons, but either way, you're getting a discount. The biggest bargain -- in my mind, at least -- is Mitch Moreland at $3,500 on DraftKings and $3,200 on FanDuel. Even if you don't end up stacking the Rangers, he'd be a good little play because of his reduced salary and positive match-up.
The over/under on this game isn't nine for nothing, y'all. The Twins are actually favored in the match-up because they're at Target Field. Oh, and they're facing Chi Chi Gonzalez. I'm sure that plays a small role.
Gonzalez's last four starts have all come in the Minor Leagues, where he holds a 4.33 FIP on the season. That's largely due to a complete and utter lack of strikeouts. He had a 12.4 strikeout percentage at Triple-A; that falls to 8.3 percent in his seven Major League starts. He has actually walked more batters than he has struck out in his 43.1 career Major League innings. That's not a recipe for success.
What adds to this stack (and also that of the Rangers) is that it's going to be hot and a bit humid in Minneapolis during the day. Target Field has already proven to be a hitter's park recently, ranking ninth in park factor this year and third last year. Give that weather advantage to the bad-man ways of Miguel Sano, and you could see some rockets in this one.
Los Angeles Dodgers
It feels bad to stack against a guy named Keyvius Sampson. You're not going to match that, and I'm considering gracing it upon my first-born child, regardless of gender. The good man, unfortunately, just has himself a bad match-up tonight.
The Dodgers sit second in the league in wOBA against right-handed pitchers. Sampson was able to rise the ranks this year by racking up a decent number of strikeouts at Double-A. The issue he has faced at each level, though, is the walks. He has had walk percentages well above average the entire season. This is huge for sites like FanDuel that deduct for outs as the Dodgers may not make a lot of them with Sampson on the mound.
The downside of the Dodgers is their team-wide cold streak post-All-Star break. This is especially true for both Yasiel Puig and Joc Pederson. I'd still at least consider them today, as dumb as that may sound. Puig hasn't stopped popping the occasional extra-base hit, and Pederson hasn't stopped drawing walks. They're definitely not safe enough for a cash game, but for a tourney Dodgers stack? Sure, I'll give it a shot.