4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 8/11/15
Each day here on numberFire, we'll be providing you with four potential offenses to stack in your daily fantasy lineups. These are the offenses that provide huge run potential on that given day based on matchups and other factors.
After reading through these suggestions, make sure to check out our daily projections. These can either let you know which players to include in each stack, or which guy best complements said stack.
Another great tool is our custom optimal lineups, which are available for premium subscribers. Within the tool, we've added the option to stack teams -- you choose the team you want to stack, show how many players you want to use within the stack, and the tool will create a lineup based on this that you can then customize.
Now, let's get to the stacks. Here are the teams you should be targeting in daily fantasy baseball today.
I would like to issue an edict where the Phillies no longer have to pitch in hitter-friendly parks. At some point, you just kind of feel bad for them, already having a poor starting staff, and then compounding it by putting them in bad situations. But until my edict inevitably passes, I'll settle for stacking against them with great regularity.
I can give you plenty of reasons to target David Buchanan. He doesn't get strikeouts, he issues plenty of walks (if you're looking for them on a site that deducts points for outs), and he doesn't excel against hitters of either handedness. It's the delicious combination of stacking goodness that gets my loins all excited every fifth day.
Though the handedness comment is true, that doesn't mean batters perform evenly on both sides of the plate. Lefties have absolutely obliterated Buchanan over his first two seasons. For that reason, I'm not just rolling out my chalk David Peralta play, but Jake Lamb will be in plenty of my lineups, as will Ender Inciarte if he finds himself back at the top of the order.
Toronto Blue Jays
I was digging Kendall Graveman in season-long earlier this year as he had a good little stretch after coming back up from Triple-A. Since June 24th, though, he has been getting fewer strikeouts again while walking enough batters to warrant a stack. Oh, and he's facing Toronto, and word on the street is that they're pretty good.
With the Jays' righty-heavy lineup, it's always important to look at how the opposing pitcher fares against right-handed batters. That's not a concern with Graveman. He has just a 15.7 strikeout percentage against righties this season, meaning we should see plenty of balls in play.
Eventually, I'll stop telling you to roster Justin Smoak. This is not that day. Although Graveman hasn't been dominant against righties, lefties have still been much better against him. Additionally, Smoak's $2,600 price tag on DraftKings may give you the cap relief to roster the ever-expensive Josh Donaldson and Jose Bautista. If he hits lower than sixth, then I become disenchanted. But before that, he's my guy yet again.
Tampa Bay Rays
I was trying to figure out how to handle this game. Yes, Williams Perez has been perfectly putrid recently, but the Rays really don't hit right-handed pitching well at all. For the season, they rank 25th in wOBA against righties. I think this could be a match-up that ends up with sneaky upside, and here's why.
Perez on the whole this season has had some major struggles. He has a 4.81 xFIP with a 4.71 SIERA through 60.1 total innings as a starter and a reliever. If we look at the three games before he went on the disabled list and the two games since his return, he has a 5.69 xFIP with just an 11.2 strikeout percentage and 9.6 walk percentage. Those numbers probably aren't good enough to hold down even a struggling offense. That classification doesn't fit the Rays anymore.
Due to a general increase in competence and some personnel changes, the Rays rank ninth in the league in wOBA since the All-Star break. They're no longer an offense to always target with your pitchers, and their offense has become usable against lower-tier righties (they always have been against lefties). Their early-season struggles have kept the prices down, so feel free to revel in the glorious DraftKings salaries of John Jaso, Richie Shaffer and others.
There aren't a lot of games on the schedule tonight where a team that does well against a certain handedness of pitcher is facing that type of opponent. Because of that, I'm looking to just target bad pitchers. You could roll out either the Padres or the Mariners here, but their park factor isn't as good as the one at Target Field. Combined with Yovani Gallardo's wretched recent stretch, the Twins slip their way into the recommendations.
As I mentioned last week, Gallardo really doesn't have it right now. The last time he had more than four strikeouts in a game (yes, four) was June 10th. That dubious streak spans 10 starts and includes a 5.18 xFIP with as many walks as strikeouts. His ground-ball percentage is also down to 43.9 percent over that time, meaning he's generally just incredibly ineffective. This could outweigh a Twins' offense that is having some serious issues right now.
Thankfully for Minnesota, they are back at home. Their wOBA at Target Field is 53 points higher than it is on the road. With Brian Dozier and Miguel Sano being the most expensive Twins on DraftKings at $4,300 and $4,000 respectively, you know they're not going to run you dry. Load up and see if you can capitalize on Gallardo's struggles and the Twins' increased effectiveness at home.