With Their Weekend Sweep, the Blue Jays Now Have the Best Odds to Win the AL East

The Blue Jays made serious moves at the trade deadline, and they're paying off in a huge way.

The Blue Jays were spenders at the trade deadline, and so far, so good.

When Toronto traded for shortstop Troy Tulowitzki, they had just a 14.35% chance of winning the American League East. 

After a week and a half of play and a weekend sweep against the division-leading Yankees, Toronto now sits just a game and a half back of New York. But according to our algorithms, the Blue Jays are now the best team in baseball with a 1.07 nERD and, despite sitting in second in the division, actually have better odds than the Yankees to win it.

It's pretty incredible, but the sweep shifted their division-winning probability from 32.12% all the way to 52.80%.

I'd say this Tulo deal is working out just fine.