4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 8/5/15
Each day here on numberFire, we'll be providing you with four potential offenses to stack in your daily fantasy lineups. These are the offenses that provide huge run potential on that given day based on matchups and other factors.
After reading through these suggestions, make sure to check out our daily projections. These can either let you know which players to include in each stack, or which guy best complements said stack.
Another great tool is our custom optimal lineups, which are available for premium subscribers. Within the tool, we've added the option to stack teams -- you choose the team you want to stack, show how many players you want to use within the stack, and the tool will create a lineup based on this that you can then customize.
Now, let's get to the stacks. As always, this does not include today's game at Coors. Y'all know you should have ownership there, especially in the Mariners' lefties and Rockies' righties in tournaments. Here are the other teams you should be targeting in daily fantasy baseball today.
New York Yankees
I have been targeting the Yankees a lot this year, but the explanation is pretty straight forward: they good. They rank second in the league in wOBA against righties, and they have the third highest wOBA in the league at home. It's a great combo for a match-up against Steven Wright.
A possible objection to stacking against Wright in this situation is that lefties struggle against knuckleballers, and that's where many of the Yankees' best bats lie. That's not necessarily the case against Wright, though righties have fared slightly better. Wright's xFIP against right-handed batters this year sits at 4.98. Against lefties, that dips just slightly to 4.66. That's a number we like to see in a stacking situation. Although his strikeouts are higher against lefties, his walks are also higher and the ground balls are lower. I'm not going to give lefties an edge, but I'm most definitely not going to rule them out.
My Yankees bats tonight will be very much dependent on the batting order. This is always the case so that I can maximize plate appearances and upside, but it'll be even moreso here when there isn't one side of the plate that has a decided advantage over the other. We can't even get a glimpse at what Joe Girardi may do because the only time the Yankees faced Wright this year, it was in relief during a 19-inning game. Those batting fifth or higher will be good in cash games, and I'll dip a bit lower for tourneys if I think a guy has some dong potential.
The Houston Astros hit a lot of home runs. Nick Martinez gives up a lot fly balls. Fly balls lead to home runs. Easy enough.
As with Wright, there really isn't a wrong handedness against Martinez. He has strikeout percentages below 15.0 percent against both righties and lefties, though he does give up more walks to those on the left-hand side. His ground-ball percentage is also lower against lefties, but not significantly so. I'd give a slight bump to lefties, but the right-handed batters are most definitely in play, as well.
Another ditto from the previous section, I'd wait until lineups are out to formulate your lineups. The DraftKings pricing on the Astros' hitters is a bit steep, meaning I'm going to want to wait to see if someone gets shuffled around to create inefficiencies. If a guy who's less than $4,000 finds himself in the top half of the order, I'll slot him on my roster almost without hesitation. They have been funneling most of the lower-priced guys in the sixth hole and lower recently, but that doesn't mean they won't rock that boat tonight and give you a salary relief somewhere.
Tampa Bay Rays
This stack doesn't come without its fair share of risk. Carlos Rodon has the ability to ball out, looking like Roger Clemens in his prime. Other times, he looks like Roger Clemens. Now. As in 53 years old with an inability to find the strike zone. The value of this stack is entirely dependent on which Rodon shows up, but the Rays' offense makes sure it's no cake walk.
Let's first focus on the dual effectiveness of Rodon. He has now made 14 starts in his Major League career. In those 14 starts, he has allowed zero or one earned runs six times. That's not bad! However, of the other eight starts, he has allowed at least five earned runs in half. He's either great, or he's guh. There is not much in between.
As the Rays showed against Chris Sale last night, they've got this left-handed pitcher thing figured out. They entered last night sixth in the league in wOBA against lefties and probably went up the charts. They have struck out 21.8 percent of the time, which is a bit concerning against Rodon. But they have also have a decent walk rate, so they could still manage to flood the basepaths. A lot of their bats are (as always) crazy cheap on the DraftKings early slate, making this high-upside stack one to consider if you don't mind inheriting the risk.
Toronto Blue Jays
I think this is going to be a pretty popular play on the early slate. The over/under is 9 with Toronto -200, meaning Vegas expects runs aplenty. Tyler Duffey is making his Major League debut, and the Blue Jays' offense is off the heezy right now. I'm going to fade it, but I want to present both sides of the argument because Vegas is so steadfast in its stance. I'll start with reasons to stack before illustrating why I'm fading.
It makes sense that this would be a Vegas-friendly option. The Blue Jays rank third in the league in wOBA against righties, they don't strike out a lot, and they hit a ton of dongs. That's exactly what we're looking for in a stack. Plus, Troy Tulowitzki's presence jacks up everyone else in the lineup's value. It's a nightmare match-up for a guy making his first start in the bigs.
Here's the other side of this argument: Duffey has been balling out in the minors this year. In eight starts at Double-A, he had a 1.99 FIP. That did increase in his 13 starts at Triple-A, but only to 2.47. A big part of that was that he simply does not allow home runs. In fact, he has allowed only one this entire season (though that was against the Blue Jays' Triple-A team). He strikes out 24 percent of the right-handed batters he faces, and that's the side of the dish on which most of the Jays' big bats reside. He really could post a solid start, even though he's not a highly-touted prospect.
I'm not saying definitively that the Jays' won't have success today. Saying something like that about a team like Toronto would be beyond ignorant. But this is why I will be fading this team today, and I'll let you decide how you want to handle it.