4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 8/4/15
Each day here on numberFire, we'll be providing you with four potential offenses to stack in your daily fantasy lineups. These are the offenses that provide huge run potential on that given day based on matchups and other factors.
After reading through these suggestions, make sure to check out our daily projections. These can either let you know which players to include in each stack, or which guy best complements said stack.
Another great tool is our custom optimal lineups, which are available for premium subscribers. Within the tool, we've added the option to stack teams -- you choose the team you want to stack, show how many players you want to use within the stack, and the tool will create a lineup based on this that you can then customize.
Now, let's get to the stacks. As always, this does not include today's game at Coors. Jon Gray was able to rack-up the strikeouts in Triple-A, and the Rockies are just plain bad against left-handed pitchers as Vidal Nuno slides into the rotation. You should have ownership, but just stack carefully there. Here are the other teams you should be targeting in daily fantasy baseball today.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Jerome Williams is facing the team that ranks fourth in the league in wOBA against righties. Williams has been worlds better in his two starts since coming off of the disabled list (in terms of xFIP, not his actual ERA), but I'm not about to avoid this juiciness because of a sample size of two games. Roll out the Dodgers.
I mentioned this last week when Williams was facing the Jays, but I want to go over it again: Williams isn't really a reverse-splits pitcher. His strikeout percentage against lefties is 7.2 percent as opposed to 15.8 against righties. His walks leap to 7.2 percent against lefties from 4.1 against righties. He does induce a few more ground balls against lefties (45.9 percent to 41.5 percent), but that's not enough to make up for the gap in walks and strikeouts. This isn't to say that you shouldn't start righties, but rather that you shouldn't discount the saucy lefties in the Dodgers' lineup.
As a little cherry on top, the DraftKings pricing is quite tasty. The only Dodgers batter that'll cost you more than $4,000 is Howie Kendrick. That means you can get your fair share of Adrian Gonzalez, Joc Pederson, Yasmani Grandal and Andre Ethier without spending big. Give me the lefties, and give me the money in this match-up.
It's always hard to know how to handle a team when they undergo significant changes. Being without Miguel Cabrera and Yoenis Cespedes has to make you knock the Tigers down in your mind. But do you knock them down enough to not stack against Danny Duffy? Heck to the naw, brothas and sistas.
Through his 15 starts this season, Duffy has a 4.91 SIERA. That is the sixth-highest number among pitchers who have thrown at least 80 innings this season. And, remember, after 15 starts, you can assume he has faced roughly league-average batting. Now, when you pit him against the team that ranks second in the league in wOBA against lefties, you are expecting a big number even if they are down a few bats.
Yeah, it stinks to not have Miggy and Cespedes, but they weren't the only dudes on this team who mashed lefties. J.D. Martinez has a 53.1 percent hard-hit rate against them. James McCann (if he gets the start), Nick Castellanos, and Rajai Davis all have hard-hit rates of 34.0 percent or higher. Sure, they're not going to post the same numbers as those other guys may have, but they are most definitely solid options that you most definitely need to consider.
The Rangers should have accepted whatever they could have gotten at the deadline for Yovani Gallardo. Homie ain't right at the moment. Over his past six starts, his SIERA is 6.15. He has walked more batters than he has struck out, and he's not inducing the ground balls that kept him employed in the past. That's not a winning formula against the Astros.
With Carlos Gomez on the Astros, he has increased DFS relevance with his abilities to rack up runs and runs batted in. Unfortunately, his numbers against righties have lagged off a bit this season. After posting hard-hit rates of 36.6 and 35.8 percent the past two seasons, that number has dropped to 29.2 percent this year. This isn't a bad number, but it certainly isn't as good as we are used to with Gomez. I'd rather use him against lefties, where he has a higher hard-hit rate with more walks and fewer strikeouts. He's not a bad option, but he's just not quite as attractive against righties as he had been in the past.
So if Gomez doesn't quite float our boat, who should we roll out in his stead? I'll eventually stop gushing over Preston Tucker... just not yet. Carlos Correa, as he showed last night, can also bust a move against a righty with his 35.1 percent hard-hit rate. I'd also endorse Luis Valbuena and Colby Rasmus here, but they hit seventh and eighth last night in a great match-up. There is no better way to kill my vibe than doing that. If they move up, I'm all about it. If not, it's hard for me to get over the risk with rostering guys that low in the order.
New York Yankees
Please, please, please do not use this stack in cash. I am begging you. Henry Owens had really turned things around of late in Triple-A, as detailed in yesterday's season-long waiver wire column. It could end up being one of those frustrating games where a guy is completely lights out in his debut as Owens is good enough to do so. The reason I'm still considering this is that the Yankees destroy lefties, and they mash at Yankee Stadium. It very much has boom or bust potential.
In looking at Owens's Triple-A numbers, it appears that lefties are a tough sell against him. He registered a 25.8 strikeout percentage against them compared to a still respectable 19.0 percent against righties. That said, his walk percentage was north of 11.0 percent against both. He had cut his walks significantly in recent starts, so those numbers will most likely come down, but he does allow base-runners. That's enough to not rule out a stack.
Obviously, Chris Young is the big play here. He's only $3,000 on DraftKings, and he has a 34.5 percent hard-hit rate against lefties. I'd consider him even if I don't end up rolling out a Yankees stack. Beyond that, I want guys with low strikeout percentages against lefties. This would include Mark Teixeira and, to a lesser extent, Chase Headley, making them intriguing options in a game that could make or break your night.