4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 7/28/15
Each day here on numberFire, we'll be providing you with four potential offenses to stack in your daily fantasy lineups. These are the offenses that provide huge run potential on that given day based on matchups and other factors.
After reading through these suggestions, make sure to check out our daily projections. These can either let you know which players to include in each stack, or which guy best complements said stack.
Another great tool is our custom optimal lineups, which are available for premium subscribers. Within the tool, we've added the option to stack teams -- you choose the team you want to stack, show how many players you want to use within the stack, and the tool will create a lineup based on this that you can then customize.
Now, let's get to the stacks. Here are the teams you should be targeting in daily fantasy baseball today.
Toronto Blue Jays
I'm going to ask you a question, and I want you to answer honestly: when you saw the Blue Jays were facing Adam Morgan tonight, did you briefly lose all bladder control? If so, you are not alone, friend. That was the exact reaction one would expect from a dedicated stacker.
Morgan has had a rough go of it through his first five Major League starts. He has recorded 5.93 strikeouts and 2.63 walks per nine while keeping the ball on the ground just 34.5 percent of the time. This has pushed his SIERA to 4.71, and that probably won't cut it against a team with a .362 wOBA against lefties.
Let's go with another question here: how many Blue Jays have a slugging percentage above .500 against lefties this year? There would be four of them who have recorded at least 60 plate appearances. Oh, and Jose Bautista isn't one. Nor is Edwin Encarnacion. Or Jose Reyes. Basically, you're going to have options, and they're going to be cheap options, if you roll out this stack tonight.
Update: WHOOSH. Troy Tulowitzki also crushes lefties. Closed circuit to the A.L. East: trade all left-handed pitchers. Abandon hope. You had a good run.
New York Yankees
I'm still a little bitter that the guys who had the big extra-base hits for the Yankees last night were hitting eighth and ninth in the order. A stacker's worst nightmare. The fact that the Yankees are facing a still-recovering Martin Perez lessens that bitterness enough to return to the stack.
Note: while typing that first paragraph last night, Alex Rodriguez homered. Both narrative street and I went to bed with big smiles on our faces. Carry on.
In his first two starts back, Perez has been back to his high ground-ball ways, inducing worm-burners 52.5 percent of the time. That, though, has been coupled with a lack of strikeouts and control that have popped his xFIP up to 5.12. Once he is able to find the strike zone again, he'll be a less attractive stack. But until that time, it's hard to lay off, especially when he's facing the team that ranks sixth in the league in wOBA against lefties.
The same guys who were in play last night are so again today with A-Rod and Chris Young sporting the biggest upside. Mark Teixeira is tops among the switch-hitting dudes, but Brett Gardner, Brian McCann, and Jacoby Ellsbury all have respectable numbers against lefties. This whole lineup is in play, assuming you work around the big bats from the outset.
Dallas Beeler has made two very different starts this year. In the first, he did a nice job, holding the Cardinals to two runs over five innings with six strikeouts. In the second, the Reds lit little homie on fire and left him to kindle in the streets. The Rockies have been horrific outside of Coors this year, but Beeler will need to be on his game to keep that as the truth.
Beeler -- whether it be in the majors or the minors -- has not stood a chance against left-handed batters this year. They are slashing him at a .350/.426/.510 rate with a 16.4 percent strikeout rate and a 10.9 percent walk rate. Good thing the Rockies don't have any quality lefties, right?
Uh, wrong. Carlos Gonzalez basically hasn't gotten out in the month of July. Charlie Blackmon can beat you with his legs or his pop as he has a .215 isolated slugging on the road. And what better time for Corey Dickerson to reacquaint himself with the league? It's generally not a great idea to stack the Rockies when they're on the road, but Beeler provides the upside we're looking for here.
Here's your weirdo stack of the day that could totally blow up in your face and result in precisely zero points. But it could also result in some juiciness that gives you upward mobility on the leaderboard. Why is that? The Twins absolutely mash at Target Field, and Charlie Morton's drop off from his early-season success has not been a slow one.
Let's start with Morton. Through his first five starts this year, he had an xFIP at 3.43. He wasn't getting strikeouts, but he had a crazy high ground-ball rate, so all was well. Then he got rocked by the Nationals, and all has gone downhill. He has a 4.70 xFIP over his last six starts, even though he has gone at least six innings five of those times. That's a bit dangerous against a team with a .334 wOBA at home.
A lot of the focus in Minnesota has been on Miguel Sano, and rightfully so. Dude's ign'ant. But, in tourneys, I'd like to direct you toward Aaron Hicks. Since his return from the disabled list on July 3rd, Hicks is hitting .306/.392/.516 with more walks than strikeouts and a 45.5 percent fly-ball rate. He also has the ability to swipe a bag against the team that has allowed the most steals in the league this year. If he hits seventh again tonight, it's hard to roll him out in cash games. But as part of a tourney stack? I'm all about that with Hicks in this one.