4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 6/17/15
Each day here on numberFire, we'll be providing you with four potential offenses to stack in your daily fantasy lineups. These are the offenses that provide huge run potential on that given day based on matchups and other factors.
After reading through these suggestions, make sure to check out our daily projections. These can either let you know which players to include in each stack, or which guy best complements said stack.
Another great tool is our custom optimal lineups, which are available for premium subscribers. Within the tool, we've added the option to stack teams -- you choose the team you want to stack, show how many players you want to use within the stack, and the tool will create a lineup based on this that you can then customize.
Now, let's get to the stacks. I should note that these do not include the Astros and Rockies at Coors. That said, considering the pitching match up, you need some of that sweetness in your life. But you all know that, so I'll proceed. Here are the other teams you should be targeting in daily fantasy baseball today.
Toronto Blue Jays
Alert! Alert! Alert! The Blue Jays are facing a lefty! This is not a drill, y'all. Hide yo kids, hide yo wife, and hide yo windows because they about to bash baseballs out here.
Jonathon Niese has had a decent year through 12 starts with his 3.74 xFIP and a jacked up 56.0 ground-ball percentage. Unfortunately, he now has to face a team with a designated hitter in the building that had the third highest home run park factor last year. If it were any other team, I wouldn't recommend this stack, but poor Jon drew the short stick this turn through the rotation.
If their league-destroying .379 wOBA against lefties isn't enough for you (Miami is second at .342), the pricing on the Blue Jays should do the trick. The unfadeable Josh Donaldson is only $4,700 on DraftKings. Danny Valencia, who has a .432 on-base percentage and a .524 slugging percentage against lefties, is $3,000. He is one of six (six!) Blue Jays players with a minimum of 25 plate appearances against lefties who has an on-base percentage of .400 or higher and a slugging percentage of .500 or higher. That's 66.7 percent of a lineup, yo. They don't play by your silly mortal rules.
I can't lie: Kevin Correia had a solid outing in his first start of the season. That, though, was against the team that ranks 21st in the league in wOBA against right handers. Tonight, he's facing a team that's coming off of a eight-home-run game. Things may be different this time around.
Last year, Correia had some interesting splits. Overall, both lefties and righties and similar slugging percentages against him with lefties having a higher on-base percentage. Righties, however, hit fly balls 41.3 percent of the time while lefties only did so 34.8 percent. This makes me lean towards the Orioles' right-handed bats again tonight for tourneys as they could have the higher power potential.
Speaking of right handers, who had the second highest isolated slugging on the Orioles against righties entering last night? That would be Mr. Double Dong himself, Manny Machado. Only Chris Davis was higher than Machado, but he also strikes out 36.6 percent of the time. You could argue right now that Machado is the most rosterable Baltimore hitter against righties, and I don't think tonight is any different.
New York Yankees
Jose Urena is coming off back-to-back baller starts against the Colorado Rockies, one of which was at Coors. You could have, hypothetically, seen that coming, though. Urena is a heavy ground-ball pitcher, and the Rockies have the 12th highest ground-ball percentage against righties as a team. As for the Yankees, they have the 29th highest ground-ball percentage against righties. The Yankees are going to put Urena to the test in this one.
Urena becomes stackable because of his lack of strikeouts. He has 4.10 per nine this year to go with 2.05 walks. These have pushed his FIP to 4.47, which is a tough number going up against a team that ranks fifth in wOBA against righties.
I feel like I talk about him every time I recommend a Yankees stack, but Mark Teixeira is having one of the more statistically fascinating seasons in quite some time. He has the second highest isolated slugging against righties this year at .353. It's first among humans as Bryce Harper does not qualify. Of Teixeira's 39 hits off of righties, exactly one third have left the yard. This is for a 35-year-old guy who had 25 home runs the previous two years combined because of injuries. And, oh by the way, his price is still only at $4,900 on DraftKings. That's straight cash, homie.
I will admit that Matt Andriese is not an ideal stack candidate. He has a 54.9 percent ground-ball rate overall, and that number has actually been higher in his four starts. The problem here, though, is that he has struggled against lefty batters.
Through 61 batters this year, lefties are hitting .351/.400/.509 against Andriese. That doesn't look good, but it's a small sample size, so it's also important to take a peek at their numbers against him in the minors. His numbers if you include the 32 left-handed batters he faced at Triple-A deflate a bit to .326/.359/.488. Last year, 343 Triple-A batters busted out a .272/.348/.455 slash against Andriese. Basically, at every level over the past two years, lefties have had success him. That's dangerous against a team like the Nationals.
Yesterday, the Nationals used Clint Robinson in the six hole. If he's there again, he's a great play. He's a left-handed bat that'll only cost you $2,500 on DraftKings. Last night's long ball may up his ownership percentage, but the cap relief he provides is helpful regardless.