MLB
MLB Power Rankings Update: A Toronto Surge
Just a week and a half ago, Toronto was barely a top-10 team in our rankings. Now, they're sitting pretty in second.

Here at numberFire, we like math. We're not about subjectivity. So when we calculate our power rankings, it's not based on what our eyes are telling us or what our feelings say. It's based on straight up math.

For baseball, we use our nERD metric to show how good a team actually is performing. nERD, for those of you who are unaware, tells us how many runs a team should win by against a league-average opponent on a neutral field. A nERD of 1.00, for instance, means that team would be an ordinary one by a run. If that team was facing a squad with a nERD of -0.5, we'd expect them to win by 1.5 runs.

Take a look at how things are shaping up around Major League Baseball, sorted by nERD.

TeamPlayoffsChampsDivisionnERD
1Los Angeles Dodgers89.30%22.20%75.20%1.32
2Toronto Blue Jays51.00%5.70%27.00%0.9
3Houston Astros60.60%4.60%45.70%0.72
4Oakland Athletics7.10%1.00%4.00%0.71
5St. Louis Cardinals96.90%13.20%77.30%0.7
6Detroit Tigers55.30%7.10%36.70%0.69
7San Francisco Giants52.20%5.10%19.10%0.52
8Kansas City Royals59.40%4.40%42.90%0.45
9Tampa Bay Rays60.00%6.50%34.80%0.43
10Pittsburgh Pirates73.00%4.60%18.20%0.31
11Baltimore Orioles34.20%3.20%13.70%0.3
12Chicago Cubs38.00%1.60%4.00%0.27
13New York Yankees46.40%2.60%23.50%0.24
14New York Mets49.00%2.40%40.90%0.22
15Cleveland Indians18.10%1.60%8.40%0.22
16Los Angeles Angels37.10%4.00%25.00%0.01
17Cincinnati Reds4.60%0.20%0.50%-0.11
18Washington Nationals51.40%5.10%43.30%-0.22
19Texas Rangers29.40%1.30%18.00%-0.25
20Miami Marlins5.40%0.20%4.20%-0.33
21Seattle Mariners14.00%1.30%7.40%-0.34
22Arizona Diamondbacks8.70%0.20%1.90%-0.39
23Atlanta Braves16.40%0.60%11.70%-0.59
24Boston Red Sox3.60%0.30%1.00%-0.6
25San Diego Padres13.00%0.40%3.60%-0.68
26Colorado Rockies1.70%0.00%0.20%-1.01
27Minnesota Twins21.70%0.40%11.00%-1.07
28Milwaukee Brewers0.40%0.00%0.00%-1.29
29Chicago White Sox2.30%0.10%1.00%-1.58
30Philadelphia Phillies0.00%0.00%0.00%-1.67

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