Betting on baseball can be a grind that reaps an enormous reward.

Day-to-day outlooks can be vastly different by starting pitchers, and a wealth of advanced stats can let us know an individual pitcher, a bullpen, or a team is due to positive -- or negative -- regression.

Which MLB lines from FanDuel Sportsbook are most appealing today?

Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs unless noted otherwise. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated information.

New York Mets at Detroit Tigers

Over 8.5 (-105)

This is the second game of today's doubleheader. I typically don't venture into doubleheaders because of the lineup uncertainty, but I'm not sure it matters here.

This is a creative way to fade Max Scherzer, which hasn't been a good idea for the bulk of his career but has been in 2023. Scherzer has been fortunate to post a 3.72 ERA when comparing it to an uncharacteristic 5.16 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA). Max's velocity is also likely the culprit for a 22.1% strikeout rate, which would be his lowest since 2011.

Of course, that could all change today against a Tigers squad with a measly .612 OPS against right-handers, but Detroit likely doesn't need to provide a monsoon of runs if the Mets' offense holds up their end of the bargain.

New York, set to take on right-hander Michael Lorenzen, is much better in this split (.733 OPS). Lorenzen's SIERA (4.12) is actually better than Scherzer's, but there are still concerning parts of his profile, including a low 8.4% swinging-strike rate and an elevated 43.2% hard-hit rate allowed.

I don't feel like backing Detroit's offense -- or Lorenzen -- on a spread or moneyline, but this total should be smashed if Detroit does bring some thump to Mad Max in this one.

Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals

Cubs -1.5 (-125)

Though I stated in today's pitching primer that I'm not in love with Marcus Stroman's strikeout upside in this matchup, the Cubs figure to cruise here.

Chicago draws Washington right-handed hurler Jake Irvin in his MLB debut tonight, and Irvin's promotion seems to be more a matter of necessity than merit. Irvin's 5.30 xFIP this year with Triple-A Rochester doesn't provide a ton of hope that he can get big-league hitters out regularly.

When Stroman toes the slab, the Nats should also struggle to score. Not only has Stro put forth a great season with a 2.29 ERA, but it's decently well supported with a 3.81 SIERA and his usually lofty 59.8% rate of groundballs. Washington is a prime candidate for weak balls in play against righties, sporting just a .626 OPS despite their low strikeout rate (19.4%) in the split.

There's some juice behind this runline, but it would be a massive deviation from expectation if Washington contends for a win in this one.

Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals

Orioles -1.5 (-104)

I'll probably run this back one more time until Baltimore puts a weaker right-handed pitcher on the hill.

Kyle Gibson isn't perfect, but his first campaign with the O's has gone well enough for this matchup. His 4.54 SIERA is higher than you'd hope, but Gibson has been pretty sturdy to withstand storms behind a 32.0% flyball rate and 37.3% hard-hit rate allowed. He's still subject to BABIP-related issues, but this matchup couldn't get better.

Kansas City, as mentioned in yesterday's guide, has a league-worst 65 wRC+ against righties. They're just not a functional offense against them.

The Royals will send Zack Greinke to the hill. Greinke's 6.10 ERA is a bit of a facade when you look at an otherwise-solid 4.65 SIERA, but that mark isn't good, and he's in a much tougher situation. Baltimore's 110 wRC+ is the sixth-best mark in baseball.

K.C.'s bullpen also has the seventh-worst FIP in baseball (4.57), so they're not a great candidate to withstand the red-hot O's offense all game -- just as they did last night when blowing a 3-0 lead to lose 11-7.