3 MLB Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 5/2/23

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash) to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing our projections as a guide and looking at the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are some spots where you can find value today in the prop-betting market.

Here are some MLB player prop bets to make tonight.

Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

Joey Gallo To Hit a Home Run (+360)

The Minnesota Twins have a sizable 4.94 implied run total and a great matchup for some power tonight.

To this point in the season, the Chicago White Sox home stadium of Guaranteed Rate Field is the best park in the league for home runs. It's just slightly better than Coors Field, so when we have a favorable pitching matchup we have to jump on it. Not only is the stadium great for home runs, but there is also 10-15 mph wind blowing out to right field, presenting a clear boost for hitters.

All of this is wonderful to see, and we haven't even touched on Michael Kopech, who is on the mound for the White Sox. To say it hasn't been the best start for Kopech would be putting things lightly. He comes allowing a .369 wOBA, .538 SLG, 4.72 xFIP, 2.51 HR/9, 50.0% fly-ball rate, and 44.1% hard-contact rate to left-handed hitters this season.

Yikes. Those are some rough numbers to be sporting with this type of wind blowing out tonight.

We turn to Joey Gallo, who is rocking a 199 wRC+, .455 wOBA, .500 ISO, 78.6% fly-ball rate, and 39.3% hard-contact rate versus right-handed pitchers this season. Gallo has always been known for his power, and he is truly showing it this season with his average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, xwOBA, xSLG, and barrel rate all in the 97th percentile or higher, per Baseball Savant.

Of course, I have to add Gallo To Record an RBI (+145).

Hunter Brown Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-102)

Hunter Brown is on the mound for the Houston Astros, and he has a great matchup against the San Francisco Giants.

Brown is technically in his rookie season after pitching only 20.1 innings last season, and we've seen some encouraging signs from him over this time. Since the start of last season, he has had a 27.0% strikeout rate, 3.28 xFIP, 4.8% barrel rate, 11.0% swinging-strike rate, and 30.0% called plus swinging-strike rate (CSW%). He's a good pitcher and has clear upside of being ace-level material.

He's shown that by racking up seven-plus strikeouts in three of his five starts this season and could certainly continue that tonight. The Giants come in with a 26.4% strikeout rate versus right-handed pitchers, which is the highest rate in the league. This is an elite matchup for Brown, who should have a very long leash. He's tossed at least 93 pitches in all five of his starts this season.

It should also be noted that Astros' starting pitcher, Luis Garcia, left last night's game after only eight pitches. That means the Astros' bullpen saw heavy work, which could indicate Brown needs to pile up the innings tonight even if he runs into some trouble.

Kris Bryant To Record an RBI (+120)

A game at Coors Field and a plus-money RBI prop? Sign me up!

The Colorado Rockies are hosting the Milwaukee Brewers, and we have a juicy 11.0 over/under in a fantastic hitting environment. Kris Bryant normally hits in the top portion of the Rockies' lineup, and he's coming in at +120? I'll take this bet 10 times out of 10 considering the Rockies' implied run total tonight (4.98).

Freddy Peralta will be on the mound for the Brewers and enters with a .300 SLG, 3.78 xFIP, .351 BABIP, and a 42.9% flyball rate allowed versus right-handed hitters.

Bryant comes in with a 99 wRC+ and.344 wOBA in this split, but he has a lower 20.7% fly-ball rate versus right-handed pitchers.

Is this the 100% ideal matchup for Bryant? No, but the hitting environment is too good with these odds needing just a simple RBI.