MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 9/20/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | Kyle Freeland | 11.5 | 5.84 | 52.8% | 36.8% | 23.4% | 13.7% | 7.3% |
| COL | John Brebbia | 11.5 | 5.66 | 49.8% | 33.9% | 21.1% | 12.0% | 6.3% |
| LAD | Zach Davies | 9.5 | 5.62 | 49.2% | 33.3% | 20.6% | 11.6% | 6.0% |
| ATL | Patrick Corbin | 8.5 | 5.37 | 44.9% | 29.4% | 17.5% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| LAD | Drey Jameson | 8.5 | 5.34 | 44.3% | 28.9% | 17.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| NYY | Luis Ortiz | 8.0 | 5.09 | 40.0% | 25.1% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| BAL | Joey Wentz | 8.5 | 4.89 | 36.5% | 22.2% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| MIN | Zack Greinke | 9.0 | 4.71 | 33.3% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| LAA | Cole Ragans | 8.5 | 4.45 | 28.9% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| TOR | Kyle Gibson | 8.5 | 4.41 | 28.2% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| BOS | Nick Lodolo | 8.5 | 4.37 | 27.5% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| KC | Dylan Bundy | 9.0 | 4.29 | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| CIN | Brayan Bello | 8.5 | 4.13 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| CHW | Aaron Civale | 7.5 | 4.10 | 23.1% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| PHI | Ross Stripling | 8.5 | 4.09 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| SEA | JP Sears | 7.0 | 4.08 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| TEX | Patrick Sandoval | 8.5 | 4.05 | 22.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| SD | Adam Wainwright | 8.0 | 4.04 | 22.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| MIL | Carlos Carrasco | 8.0 | 4.00 | 21.5% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| NYM | Aaron Ashby | 8.0 | 4.00 | 21.5% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| STL | Mike Clevinger | 8.0 | 3.96 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| ARI | Michael Grove | 9.5 | 3.88 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| MIA | Adrian Sampson | 7.0 | 3.80 | 18.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| DET | Austin Voth | 8.5 | 3.61 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| TB | Cristian Javier | 6.5 | 3.51 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| CLE | Dylan Cease | 7.5 | 3.40 | 12.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| CHC | Pablo Lopez | 7.0 | 3.20 | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| ARI | Tyler Anderson | 8.5 | 3.16 | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| WSH | Charlie Morton | 8.5 | 3.13 | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| HOU | Shane McClanahan | 6.5 | 2.99 | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| OAK | Luis Castillo | 7.0 | 2.92 | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| PIT | Nestor Cortes | 8.0 | 2.91 | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton | WSH | 7.6 | 94.5% | 87.6% | 77.1% | 63.8% | 49.3% | 35.5% | 23.7% |
| Dylan Cease | CLE | 7.5 | 94.0% | 86.6% | 75.6% | 61.9% | 47.2% | 33.5% | 22.1% |
| Shane McClanahan | HOU | 7.1 | 92.1% | 83.2% | 70.6% | 55.8% | 40.9% | 27.7% | 17.5% |
| Cristian Javier | TB | 7.0 | 91.6% | 82.3% | 69.4% | 54.4% | 39.5% | 26.6% | 16.5% |
| Nick Lodolo | BOS | 6.5 | 88.9% | 77.7% | 63.2% | 47.5% | 32.9% | 21.0% | 12.3% |
| Luis Castillo | OAK | 6.5 | 88.5% | 77.2% | 62.5% | 46.7% | 32.1% | 20.4% | 11.9% |
| Nestor Cortes | PIT | 6.0 | 85.1% | 71.8% | 55.8% | 39.7% | 25.9% | 15.5% | 8.5% |
| Carlos Carrasco | MIL | 5.8 | 83.4% | 69.3% | 52.8% | 36.8% | 23.4% | 13.7% | 7.3% |
| Patrick Sandoval | TEX | 5.6 | 81.0% | 65.9% | 49.0% | 33.1% | 20.4% | 11.5% | 6.0% |
| Tyler Anderson | ARI | 5.0 | 73.2% | 55.6% | 38.1% | 23.5% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Pablo Lopez | CHC | 5.0 | 73.1% | 55.4% | 37.9% | 23.3% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Adam Wainwright | SD | 4.9 | 72.4% | 54.5% | 37.0% | 22.6% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Kyle Gibson | TOR | 4.7 | 69.3% | 50.9% | 33.5% | 19.8% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Drey Jameson | LAD | 4.5 | 65.3% | 46.2% | 29.2% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Brayan Bello | CIN | 4.3 | 63.0% | 43.7% | 27.0% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Luis Ortiz | NYY | 4.3 | 63.0% | 43.7% | 27.0% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Mike Clevinger | STL | 4.3 | 62.8% | 43.5% | 26.8% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Kyle Freeland | SF | 4.3 | 62.5% | 43.1% | 26.5% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Sean Hjelle | COL | 4.3 | 61.7% | 42.4% | 25.8% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Ross Stripling | PHI | 4.2 | 60.3% | 40.8% | 24.5% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Aaron Civale | CHW | 4.2 | 59.7% | 40.2% | 24.0% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Corbin | ATL | 4.1 | 59.0% | 39.5% | 23.4% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Michael Grove | ARI | 3.9 | 55.1% | 35.6% | 20.2% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Austin Voth | DET | 3.9 | 54.9% | 35.4% | 20.1% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Dylan Bundy | KC | 3.7 | 51.4% | 32.1% | 17.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Adrian Sampson | MIA | 3.7 | 51.2% | 31.9% | 17.4% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Zach Davies | LAD | 3.6 | 47.6% | 28.6% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| JP Sears | SEA | 3.6 | 47.4% | 28.4% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Zack Greinke | MIN | 3.5 | 46.8% | 27.8% | 14.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Aaron Ashby | NYM | 3.4 | 44.6% | 26.0% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Joey Wentz | BAL | 3.4 | 44.6% | 26.0% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Cole Ragans | LAA | 3.2 | 40.0% | 22.1% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| John Brebbia | COL | 1.2 | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 103 | Luis Ortiz | 26.4% | +280 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 103 | Nestor Cortes | 26.2% | +280 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | Yes | 95 | Cole Ragans | 25.8% | +290 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 107 | Michael Grove | 25.3% | +295 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 24.8% | +305 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | Yes | 103 | Aaron Ashby | 24.4% | +310 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Yes | 106 | Ross Stripling | 24.1% | +315 |
| Nick Maton | PHI | Yes | 106 | Ross Stripling | 24.1% | +315 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 24.0% | +315 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 24.0% | +315 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 110 | Ross Stripling | 23.9% | +320 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 107 | Zach Davies | 22.9% | +335 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 103 | Aaron Ashby | 22.9% | +335 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 103 | Luis Ortiz | 22.8% | +340 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 106 | Ross Stripling | 22.6% | +340 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | Yes | 94 | JP Sears | 22.4% | +345 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | Yes | 97 | Patrick Corbin | 22.4% | +345 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 107 | Drey Jameson | 22.4% | +345 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Carlos Carrasco | 22.4% | +345 |
| J.D. Davis | SF | Yes | 108 | Kyle Freeland | 22.0% | +355 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 107 | Drey Jameson | 21.9% | +355 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | ARI | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 21.8% | +360 |
| Josh Jung | TEX | Yes | 95 | Patrick Sandoval | 21.6% | +365 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yes | 97 | Patrick Corbin | 21.4% | +365 |
| William Contreras | ATL | Yes | 97 | Patrick Corbin | 21.4% | +365 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Drey Jameson | 21.3% | +370 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 107 | Zach Davies | 21.3% | +370 |
| Ty France | SEA | Yes | 94 | JP Sears | 20.9% | +380 |
| Lewis Brinson | SF | Yes | 108 | Kyle Freeland | 20.8% | +380 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 20.7% | +380 |
| Corbin Carroll | ARI | Yes | 102 | Michael Grove | 20.4% | +390 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 108 | Sean Hjelle | 20.4% | +390 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Zach Davies | 20.2% | +395 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | 108 | Kyle Freeland | 20.2% | +395 |
| David Villar | SF | Yes | 108 | Kyle Freeland | 20.2% | +395 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 112 | Joey Wentz | 20.1% | +400 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 20.1% | +400 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 20.1% | +400 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 92 | Luis Castillo | 20.0% | +400 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 102 | Zach Davies | 19.9% | +405 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 102 | Michael Grove | 19.9% | +405 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Yes | 94 | Shane McClanahan | 19.9% | +405 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | Yes | 97 | Patrick Corbin | 19.8% | +405 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 103 | Carlos Carrasco | 19.7% | +410 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 103 | Luis Ortiz | 19.7% | +410 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | No | 107 | Drey Jameson | 19.6% | +410 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | No | 107 | Zach Davies | 19.6% | +410 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 19.5% | +415 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 102 | Drey Jameson | 19.3% | +420 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 102 | Zach Davies | 19.3% | +420 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | No | 101 | Cole Ragans | 19.2% | +420 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 109 | Luis Ortiz | 19.0% | +425 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 106 | Aaron Civale | 18.9% | +430 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | No | 113 | Nick Lodolo | 18.7% | +435 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 102 | Drey Jameson | 18.7% | +435 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 111 | Dylan Cease | 18.7% | +435 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 92 | Dylan Bundy | 18.6% | +440 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 92 | Dylan Bundy | 18.6% | +440 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | No | 103 | Carlos Carrasco | 18.5% | +440 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 92 | Pablo Lopez | 18.4% | +445 |
| TJ Friedl | CIN | Yes | 113 | Brayan Bello | 18.3% | +450 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | Yes | 108 | Kyle Freeland | 18.2% | +450 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 18.2% | +450 |
| Dylan Moore | SEA | Yes | 94 | JP Sears | 18.2% | +450 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 18.1% | +450 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Aaron Civale | 18.0% | +455 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 111 | Aaron Civale | 18.0% | +455 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Adam Wainwright | 17.5% | +470 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 102 | Zach Davies | 17.5% | +470 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | Yes | 112 | Joey Wentz | 17.4% | +475 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 112 | Joey Wentz | 17.4% | +475 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 111 | Dylan Cease | 17.3% | +475 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 94 | Luis Castillo | 17.2% | +480 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 17.2% | +480 |
| Tyler Naquin | NYM | No | 101 | Aaron Ashby | 17.2% | +480 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 17.1% | +485 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | No | 109 | Nestor Cortes | 17.1% | +485 |
| Mike Toglia | COL | Yes | 109 | Sean Hjelle | 17.1% | +485 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | No | 106 | Aaron Civale | 17.1% | +485 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 16.9% | +490 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 113 | Brayan Bello | 16.9% | +490 |
| Joey Bart | SF | Yes | 108 | Kyle Freeland | 16.9% | +495 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 102 | Drey Jameson | 16.9% | +495 |
| Jesus Aguilar | BAL | Yes | 112 | Joey Wentz | 16.6% | +500 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | Yes | 111 | Nick Lodolo | 16.5% | +505 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 16.5% | +505 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | Yes | 95 | Patrick Sandoval | 16.5% | +505 |
| Eric Haase | DET | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 16.5% | +505 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 16.4% | +510 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 111 | Brayan Bello | 16.3% | +510 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 110 | Ross Stripling | 16.2% | +515 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 94 | Cristian Javier | 16.1% | +520 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | Carlos Carrasco | 16.0% | +525 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | No | 100 | Patrick Corbin | 16.0% | +525 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | Yes | 103 | Nestor Cortes | 15.5% | +545 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 103 | Carlos Carrasco | 15.4% | +550 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 15.3% | +555 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 111 | Dylan Cease | 15.2% | +555 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | Yes | 95 | Patrick Sandoval | 15.2% | +560 |
| Mark Mathias | TEX | Yes | 95 | Patrick Sandoval | 15.2% | +560 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | Yes | 94 | Shane McClanahan | 15.1% | +565 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | No | 101 | Patrick Sandoval | 15.0% | +565 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | Yes | 111 | Nick Lodolo | 15.0% | +565 |
| Nick Gordon | MIN | Yes | 92 | Zack Greinke | 14.9% | +570 |
| Dermis Garcia | OAK | No | 94 | Luis Castillo | 14.9% | +570 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | Yes | 97 | Patrick Corbin | 14.8% | +575 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 103 | Luis Ortiz | 14.7% | +580 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | Yes | 108 | Kyle Freeland | 14.7% | +580 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | Yes | 95 | Cole Ragans | 14.5% | +590 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Drey Jameson | 14.5% | +590 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | Yes | 94 | Shane McClanahan | 14.4% | +595 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | Yes | 112 | Joey Wentz | 14.3% | +600 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | Yes | 111 | Nick Lodolo | 14.2% | +605 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 111 | Brayan Bello | 14.2% | +605 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | No | 111 | Brayan Bello | 14.2% | +605 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | Yes | 102 | Michael Grove | 14.2% | +605 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | No | 90 | Adrian Sampson | 13.8% | +625 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | No | 100 | Patrick Corbin | 13.8% | +625 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 94 | JP Sears | 13.7% | +625 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Aaron Civale | 13.7% | +630 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 92 | Dylan Bundy | 13.7% | +630 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 92 | Dylan Bundy | 13.7% | +630 |
| Kerry Carpenter | DET | Yes | 110 | Austin Voth | 13.6% | +635 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 102 | Zach Davies | 13.5% | +640 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 92 | Zack Greinke | 13.4% | +645 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 92 | Zack Greinke | 13.4% | +645 |
| Diego Castillo | PIT | Yes | 103 | Nestor Cortes | 13.4% | +650 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 13.3% | +650 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 96 | Adam Wainwright | 13.2% | +655 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 95 | Cole Ragans | 13.2% | +660 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 13.0% | +670 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 110 | Austin Voth | 12.8% | +680 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 12.8% | +680 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 102 | Drey Jameson | 12.8% | +685 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 92 | Zack Greinke | 12.8% | +685 |
| Corey Dickerson | STL | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 12.7% | +685 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 12.7% | +685 |
| Vaughn Grissom | ATL | Yes | 97 | Patrick Corbin | 12.7% | +685 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | No | 101 | Aaron Ashby | 12.7% | +690 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | Yes | 111 | Nick Lodolo | 12.6% | +695 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 103 | Nestor Cortes | 12.6% | +695 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | Yes | 95 | Cole Ragans | 12.5% | +700 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | Yes | 94 | Shane McClanahan | 12.4% | +710 |
| Abraham Toro | SEA | Yes | 94 | JP Sears | 12.4% | +710 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | No | 94 | Cristian Javier | 12.3% | +710 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | No | 92 | Shane McClanahan | 12.3% | +715 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 106 | Aaron Civale | 12.2% | +720 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | No | 101 | Patrick Sandoval | 12.1% | +730 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 102 | Michael Grove | 12.0% | +730 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 95 | Adam Wainwright | 12.0% | +730 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 12.0% | +735 |
| Riley Adams | WSH | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 12.0% | +735 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 109 | Sean Hjelle | 12.0% | +735 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 11.9% | +740 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 103 | Aaron Ashby | 11.8% | +745 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | No | 92 | Shane McClanahan | 11.7% | +755 |
| David Peralta | TB | Yes | 92 | Cristian Javier | 11.7% | +755 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | No | 109 | Kyle Freeland | 11.6% | +765 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | No | 102 | Tyler Anderson | 11.6% | +765 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 92 | Zack Greinke | 11.5% | +775 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 110 | Austin Voth | 11.2% | +790 |
| Nelson Velazquez | CHC | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 11.2% | +790 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | No | 110 | Ross Stripling | 11.0% | +805 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 95 | Patrick Sandoval | 11.0% | +805 |
| JJ Bleday | MIA | Yes | 92 | Adrian Sampson | 11.0% | +810 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 94 | Cristian Javier | 11.0% | +810 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | Yes | 94 | Shane McClanahan | 10.9% | +815 |
| Enrique Hernandez | BOS | Yes | 111 | Nick Lodolo | 10.9% | +815 |
| Connor Wong | BOS | Yes | 111 | Nick Lodolo | 10.9% | +815 |
| Alan Trejo | COL | No | 108 | Sean Hjelle | 10.8% | +820 |
| Stone Garrett | ARI | No | 107 | Michael Grove | 10.8% | +830 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Aaron Civale | 10.7% | +835 |
| Jake Cave | MIN | Yes | 92 | Zack Greinke | 10.3% | +870 |
| Lewin Diaz | MIA | Yes | 92 | Adrian Sampson | 10.3% | +870 |
| Wander Franco | TB | Yes | 92 | Cristian Javier | 10.3% | +870 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | No | 102 | Tyler Anderson | 10.3% | +870 |
| Sam Haggerty | SEA | Yes | 94 | JP Sears | 10.2% | +885 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 9.9% | +910 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 9.9% | +910 |
| Sergio Alcantara | ARI | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 9.7% | +930 |
| Stone Garrett | ARI | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 9.7% | +930 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 101 | Carlos Carrasco | 9.7% | +935 |
| Jace Peterson | MIL | Yes | 101 | Carlos Carrasco | 9.7% | +935 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | WSH | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 9.6% | +945 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | Yes | 103 | Aaron Ashby | 9.4% | +965 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 108 | Sean Hjelle | 9.2% | +985 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | Yes | 112 | Joey Wentz | 9.2% | +985 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 95 | Adam Wainwright | 9.1% | +995 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 95 | Adam Wainwright | 9.1% | +995 |
| Drew Waters | KC | Yes | 92 | Dylan Bundy | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Livan Soto | LAA | No | 101 | Cole Ragans | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Manuel Margot | TB | No | 94 | Cristian Javier | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 109 | Sean Hjelle | 8.6% | +1060 |
| P.J. Higgins | CHC | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 106 | Ross Stripling | 8.4% | +1085 |
| Brendan Donovan | STL | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 108 | Sean Hjelle | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Yadier Molina | STL | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Josh Rojas | ARI | No | 102 | Tyler Anderson | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | No | 106 | Aaron Civale | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Robert Refsnyder | BOS | Yes | 111 | Nick Lodolo | 8.2% | +1120 |
| Zach McKinstry | CHC | Yes | 92 | Pablo Lopez | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Chad Pinder | OAK | No | 94 | Luis Castillo | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 103 | Luis Ortiz | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Curt Casali | SEA | Yes | 94 | JP Sears | 7.9% | +1175 |
| Victor Reyes | DET | Yes | 110 | Austin Voth | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Harold Castro | DET | Yes | 110 | Austin Voth | 7.8% | +1180 |
