3 MLB FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Tuesday 9/20/22
With production being highly variable on a night-to-night basis, daily fantasy baseball plays a bit differently than other sports.
As a result of this, the primary method of selecting hitters is to "stack" certain teams in good spots to produce. Most of the top stacks on a given day come with hefty salaries. In addition to that, a vast majority of pitchers with the upside to win tournaments are high-salaried hurlers.
Therefore, crushing your value plays -- whether it be a pitcher unexpectedly piling up strikeouts or a low-salaried batter racking up points -- can be the secret sauce to taking down a tournament.
Which budget options stand out today on FanDuel?
Mitch Haniger, OF, Mariners ($2,300)
Mitch Haniger has a really good batted-ball profile against lefties, sporting a 42.9% hard-hit rate and 45.7% fly-ball rate in the split.
You can get him for $2,300 tonight versus southpaw JP Sears. A rookie, Sears has struggled in 2022, recording a 4.68 SIERA and 15.9% strikeout rate. Righties are striking out only 15.1% of the time against Sears while posting a 44.4% fly-ball rate.
Haniger has hit second or third for eight straight starts, and we project him for 13.0 FanDuel points, ranking him as the second-best point-per-dollar bat. We like the Seattle Mariners as a place to find value, as we have three Seattle bats in the top seven by points per dollar.
Gavin Sheets, 1B/OF, White Sox ($2,100)
Sheets has been better in the second half, racking up a .336 wOBA, and for the year, he's got a 43.8% fly-ball rate against right-handers.
Civale isn't a bad pitcher, but this is his first start off the IL. Chicago has a decent 4.10 implied total, and Sheets makes sense as a salary-saver.
J.D. Davis, 3B, Giants ($2,800)
With the platoon advantage this year, Davis owns a .343 wOBA and 44.9% hard-hit rate. Overall, he's mashed his way to a .359 wOBA in the second half, and he's recorded a 40.4% hard-hit rate and 42.3% fly-ball rate since coming to the San Francisco Giants.
San Fran boasts a gaudy 5.84 implied total -- the slate's highest -- versus Freeland, and Davis is a modest-salaried way to get in on the fun.