MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 8/30/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | Justin Dunn | 10.0 | 5.80 | 52.2% | 36.2% | 22.9% | 13.3% | 7.1% |
| ATL | Jose Urena | 8.5 | 5.47 | 46.6% | 30.9% | 18.7% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| MIL | Mitch Keller | 9.0 | 5.06 | 39.5% | 24.7% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| NYY | Mike Mayers | 8.5 | 4.76 | 34.2% | 20.4% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| MIN | Kutter Crawford | 9.0 | 4.74 | 33.9% | 20.1% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| TOR | Marcus Stroman | 8.0 | 4.68 | 32.8% | 19.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| LAD | Taijuan Walker | 8.5 | 4.52 | 30.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| SEA | Matt Manning | 8.0 | 4.40 | 28.0% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| CLE | Spenser Watkins | 8.0 | 4.33 | 26.8% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| BOS | Chris Archer | 9.0 | 4.26 | 25.7% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| OAK | Erick Fedde | 8.5 | 4.25 | 25.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| WSH | Cole Irvin | 8.5 | 4.25 | 25.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| CIN | Dakota Hudson | 10.0 | 4.20 | 24.7% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| HOU | Dane Dunning | 7.5 | 4.15 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| PHI | Zac Gallen | 7.5 | 3.99 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| NYM | Andrew Heaney | 8.5 | 3.98 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| CHW | Brady Singer | 7.5 | 3.95 | 20.7% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| PIT | Adrian Houser | 9.0 | 3.94 | 20.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| SD | Logan Webb | 7.5 | 3.89 | 19.8% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| TB | Jesus Luzardo | 6.5 | 3.82 | 18.7% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| LAA | Jameson Taillon | 8.5 | 3.74 | 17.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| BAL | Cal Quantrill | 8.0 | 3.67 | 16.6% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| SF | Blake Snell | 7.5 | 3.61 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| DET | George Kirby | 8.0 | 3.60 | 15.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| KC | Lucas Giolito | 7.5 | 3.55 | 14.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| ARI | Aaron Nola | 7.5 | 3.51 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| TEX | Framber Valdez | 7.5 | 3.35 | 12.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| CHC | Kevin Gausman | 8.0 | 3.32 | 12.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| COL | Max Fried | 8.5 | 3.03 | 8.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MIA | Shane McClanahan | 6.5 | 2.68 | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane McClanahan | MIA | 7.2 | 92.7% | 84.3% | 72.2% | 57.7% | 42.8% | 29.5% | 18.8% |
| Aaron Nola | ARI | 7.1 | 92.4% | 83.7% | 71.3% | 56.7% | 41.8% | 28.5% | 18.1% |
| Max Fried | COL | 6.7 | 90.2% | 79.9% | 66.1% | 50.6% | 35.8% | 23.4% | 14.1% |
| Kevin Gausman | CHC | 6.5 | 89.0% | 77.9% | 63.4% | 47.7% | 33.0% | 21.1% | 12.4% |
| Blake Snell | SF | 6.3 | 87.1% | 74.8% | 59.5% | 43.5% | 29.3% | 18.1% | 10.3% |
| Lucas Giolito | KC | 6.1 | 85.7% | 72.8% | 57.0% | 41.0% | 27.0% | 16.3% | 9.1% |
| Andrew Heaney | NYM | 6.1 | 85.4% | 72.3% | 56.4% | 40.3% | 26.4% | 15.9% | 8.8% |
| Brady Singer | CHW | 6.1 | 85.3% | 72.2% | 56.2% | 40.2% | 26.3% | 15.8% | 8.7% |
| Framber Valdez | TEX | 6.0 | 84.6% | 71.1% | 54.9% | 38.9% | 25.2% | 15.0% | 8.2% |
| Jesus Luzardo | TB | 5.7 | 81.7% | 66.8% | 50.0% | 34.1% | 21.2% | 12.1% | 6.3% |
| Logan Webb | SD | 5.5 | 79.7% | 64.1% | 46.9% | 31.2% | 18.9% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Zac Gallen | PHI | 5.4 | 78.9% | 63.0% | 45.7% | 30.1% | 18.1% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| George Kirby | DET | 5.3 | 77.7% | 61.4% | 44.0% | 28.6% | 16.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Jameson Taillon | LAA | 5.1 | 74.7% | 57.5% | 40.0% | 25.1% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Adrian Houser | PIT | 5.0 | 73.1% | 55.4% | 37.9% | 23.3% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Cole Irvin | WSH | 4.4 | 64.4% | 45.3% | 28.3% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Matt Manning | SEA | 4.4 | 64.4% | 45.3% | 28.3% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Cal Quantrill | BAL | 4.3 | 62.6% | 43.3% | 26.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Dane Dunning | HOU | 4.3 | 61.4% | 42.0% | 25.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Kutter Crawford | MIN | 4.1 | 59.2% | 39.7% | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Taijuan Walker | LAD | 4.1 | 58.8% | 39.3% | 23.2% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Chris Archer | BOS | 4.0 | 56.3% | 36.7% | 21.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Marcus Stroman | TOR | 3.9 | 55.5% | 35.9% | 20.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Dakota Hudson | CIN | 3.9 | 54.1% | 34.6% | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Erick Fedde | OAK | 3.8 | 52.7% | 33.2% | 18.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Justin Dunn | STL | 3.8 | 52.2% | 32.8% | 18.1% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Mitch Keller | MIL | 3.7 | 50.4% | 31.1% | 16.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jose Urena | ATL | 3.4 | 44.6% | 26.0% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Spenser Watkins | CLE | 3.2 | 39.1% | 21.4% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mike Mayers | NYY | 2.9 | 33.5% | 17.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 111 | Justin Dunn | 29.8% | +235 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 103 | Mike Mayers | 29.0% | +245 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 111 | Justin Dunn | 27.6% | +260 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 100 | Jose Urena | 25.9% | +285 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 103 | Mike Mayers | 25.6% | +290 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 101 | Marcus Stroman | 25.3% | +295 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Yes | 99 | Zac Gallen | 24.4% | +310 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 99 | Chris Archer | 24.4% | +310 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 101 | Marcus Stroman | 23.9% | +320 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 97 | Jose Urena | 23.7% | +320 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 23.6% | +325 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Spenser Watkins | 23.2% | +330 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 113 | Justin Dunn | 23.1% | +335 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 99 | Zac Gallen | 23.1% | +335 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 101 | Adrian Houser | 22.4% | +345 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | No | 111 | Justin Dunn | 21.9% | +355 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 101 | Adrian Houser | 21.9% | +355 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 101 | Marcus Stroman | 21.5% | +365 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Mitch Keller | 21.4% | +370 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 108 | Mike Mayers | 21.3% | +370 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 104 | Erick Fedde | 21.3% | +370 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 108 | Jameson Taillon | 20.7% | +385 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 101 | Dane Dunning | 20.3% | +395 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 93 | Zac Gallen | 20.3% | +395 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 20.2% | +395 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | 106 | Cole Irvin | 19.9% | +405 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 101 | Dane Dunning | 19.7% | +405 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 103 | Mike Mayers | 19.7% | +410 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Brady Singer | 19.5% | +415 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 101 | Marcus Stroman | 19.4% | +415 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | Mitch Keller | 18.5% | +440 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 18.4% | +445 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 99 | Kutter Crawford | 18.3% | +445 |
| Colin Moran | CIN | Yes | 113 | Dakota Hudson | 18.3% | +450 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 94 | Matt Manning | 18.1% | +450 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | 90 | Blake Snell | 18.1% | +450 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 103 | Mike Mayers | 17.9% | +460 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 17.8% | +460 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 17.7% | +465 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 103 | Cal Quantrill | 17.6% | +470 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 17.6% | +470 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 106 | Erick Fedde | 17.1% | +485 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 101 | Kevin Gausman | 17.0% | +485 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | Yes | 90 | Blake Snell | 17.0% | +490 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 95 | Dane Dunning | 16.8% | +495 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 103 | Mitch Keller | 16.7% | +500 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 16.6% | +500 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | No | 98 | Chris Archer | 16.6% | +500 |
| William Contreras | ATL | No | 97 | Jose Urena | 16.5% | +505 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 101 | Marcus Stroman | 16.4% | +510 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 16.4% | +510 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 94 | Matt Manning | 16.4% | +510 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 16.2% | +520 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 101 | Adrian Houser | 16.1% | +520 |
| Nick Pratto | KC | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 15.9% | +525 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | Yes | 95 | Framber Valdez | 15.9% | +530 |
| Franchy Cordero | BOS | Yes | 99 | Chris Archer | 15.8% | +530 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 99 | Aaron Nola | 15.8% | +530 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Brady Singer | 15.7% | +535 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 103 | Spenser Watkins | 15.7% | +540 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | Yes | 98 | Andrew Heaney | 15.6% | +540 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 15.5% | +545 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 113 | Dakota Hudson | 15.4% | +545 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 113 | Justin Dunn | 15.4% | +545 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 101 | Adrian Houser | 15.4% | +550 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 103 | Mitch Keller | 15.4% | +550 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 15.3% | +555 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | Yes | 106 | Cole Irvin | 15.2% | +560 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 94 | Kevin Gausman | 15.2% | +560 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 94 | Matt Manning | 15.2% | +560 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | No | 101 | Kevin Gausman | 15.1% | +560 |
| Shea Langeliers | OAK | No | 106 | Erick Fedde | 15.1% | +565 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 95 | Dane Dunning | 15.0% | +565 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 103 | Cal Quantrill | 15.0% | +565 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 103 | Cal Quantrill | 15.0% | +565 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | George Kirby | 14.9% | +570 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 14.9% | +570 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | Yes | 97 | Max Fried | 14.8% | +575 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 93 | Zac Gallen | 14.8% | +580 |
| Corey Dickerson | STL | Yes | 113 | Justin Dunn | 14.7% | +580 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 94 | George Kirby | 14.5% | +585 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 14.5% | +590 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 95 | Dane Dunning | 14.4% | +595 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 103 | Cal Quantrill | 14.3% | +600 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 98 | Kutter Crawford | 14.1% | +610 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 14.0% | +610 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 14.0% | +615 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | No | 101 | Framber Valdez | 13.9% | +620 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 101 | Marcus Stroman | 13.8% | +625 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | Yes | 106 | Cole Irvin | 13.7% | +630 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 106 | Brady Singer | 13.7% | +630 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 98 | Andrew Heaney | 13.5% | +640 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 93 | Aaron Nola | 13.5% | +640 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 98 | Chris Archer | 13.5% | +645 |
| Enrique Hernandez | BOS | No | 98 | Chris Archer | 13.5% | +645 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 108 | Jameson Taillon | 13.4% | +645 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 13.4% | +650 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 103 | Mike Mayers | 13.3% | +650 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | Yes | 95 | Framber Valdez | 13.2% | +660 |
| Mark Mathias | TEX | Yes | 95 | Framber Valdez | 13.2% | +660 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 95 | Framber Valdez | 13.2% | +660 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 99 | Aaron Nola | 13.2% | +660 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 90 | Logan Webb | 13.1% | +660 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 95 | Dane Dunning | 13.1% | +665 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 95 | Dane Dunning | 13.1% | +665 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 87 | Logan Webb | 13.0% | +665 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 111 | Brady Singer | 12.9% | +670 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 12.9% | +675 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Spenser Watkins | 12.9% | +675 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 98 | Andrew Heaney | 12.8% | +680 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | Yes | 98 | Andrew Heaney | 12.8% | +680 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 98 | Kutter Crawford | 12.8% | +680 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 12.7% | +685 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 111 | Dakota Hudson | 12.7% | +690 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 95 | Dane Dunning | 12.5% | +705 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | 99 | Kutter Crawford | 12.5% | +705 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 87 | Logan Webb | 12.4% | +705 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 87 | Logan Webb | 12.4% | +705 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 12.2% | +720 |
| Chad Pinder | OAK | No | 106 | Erick Fedde | 12.2% | +720 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | Yes | 106 | Cole Irvin | 12.1% | +725 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 98 | Kutter Crawford | 12.1% | +725 |
| Darin Ruf | NYM | Yes | 98 | Andrew Heaney | 12.1% | +730 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | Yes | 98 | Andrew Heaney | 12.1% | +730 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 97 | Jose Urena | 12.0% | +735 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | No | 100 | Max Fried | 12.0% | +735 |
| J.D. Davis | SF | Yes | 90 | Blake Snell | 11.9% | +740 |
| Nick Fortes | MIA | Yes | 90 | Shane McClanahan | 11.9% | +740 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 11.5% | +770 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 106 | Brady Singer | 11.4% | +775 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 98 | Chris Archer | 11.4% | +775 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | Yes | 97 | Max Fried | 11.2% | +790 |
| Tucker Barnhart | DET | Yes | 94 | George Kirby | 11.2% | +790 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 94 | George Kirby | 11.2% | +790 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | Yes | 90 | Blake Snell | 11.2% | +790 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 101 | Mitch Keller | 11.2% | +795 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 101 | Adrian Houser | 11.2% | +795 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | No | 103 | Adrian Houser | 11.2% | +795 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 100 | Jose Urena | 11.1% | +800 |
| Andrew Benintendi | NYY | Yes | 108 | Mike Mayers | 11.1% | +805 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 101 | Marcus Stroman | 11.0% | +810 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 10.8% | +830 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 10.7% | +835 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 97 | Jose Urena | 10.6% | +845 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 90 | Logan Webb | 10.6% | +845 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | No | 93 | Zac Gallen | 10.2% | +880 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | No | 101 | Framber Valdez | 10.2% | +880 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 9.8% | +920 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 9.8% | +920 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 93 | Aaron Nola | 9.5% | +955 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 99 | Spenser Watkins | 9.3% | +975 |
| TJ Friedl | CIN | Yes | 113 | Dakota Hudson | 8.9% | +1020 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | No | 87 | Blake Snell | 8.9% | +1020 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | No | 87 | Blake Snell | 8.9% | +1020 |
| Brian Serven | COL | Yes | 97 | Max Fried | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 101 | Mitch Keller | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | Yes | 106 | Cole Irvin | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Sandy Leon | MIN | Yes | 99 | Kutter Crawford | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 101 | Kevin Gausman | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Andrew Velazquez | LAA | Yes | 108 | Jameson Taillon | 8.6% | +1065 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 98 | Chris Archer | 8.5% | +1085 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | No | 95 | Andrew Heaney | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Gavin Lux | LAD | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | Yes | 90 | Shane McClanahan | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Joey Bart | SF | Yes | 90 | Blake Snell | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Jose Siri | TB | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Peyton Burdick | MIA | Yes | 90 | Shane McClanahan | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Connor Joe | COL | Yes | 97 | Max Fried | 8.1% | +1135 |
| Elehuris Montero | COL | Yes | 97 | Max Fried | 8.1% | +1135 |
| Omar Narvaez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Mitch Keller | 8.1% | +1140 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 113 | Justin Dunn | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Brendan Donovan | STL | Yes | 113 | Justin Dunn | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Robbie Grossman | ATL | Yes | 100 | Jose Urena | 8.0% | +1150 |
| Luis Arraez | MIN | Yes | 99 | Kutter Crawford | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | 101 | Marcus Stroman | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Yadier Molina | STL | No | 111 | Justin Dunn | 7.7% | +1195 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 111 | Dakota Hudson | 7.7% | +1195 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Austin Slater | SF | Yes | 90 | Blake Snell | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | No | 106 | Brady Singer | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Michael Taylor | KC | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 93 | Zac Gallen | 7.3% | +1265 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 103 | Mitch Keller | 7.2% | +1285 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 99 | Zac Gallen | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Nicky Lopez | KC | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | WSH | Yes | 106 | Cole Irvin | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | No | 99 | Spenser Watkins | 7.0% | +1340 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | Yes | 90 | Shane McClanahan | 6.8% | +1375 |
