MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Friday 8/19/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | Jose Urena | 11.5 | 6.35 | 60.9% | 45.0% | 30.5% | 19.1% | 11.0% |
| COL | Alex Wood | 11.5 | 5.15 | 41.0% | 26.0% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| MIL | Keegan Thompson | 9.0 | 4.79 | 34.7% | 20.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| STL | Tommy Henry | 8.5 | 4.76 | 34.2% | 20.4% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| SD | Paolo Espino | 7.5 | 4.74 | 33.9% | 20.1% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| BAL | Kutter Crawford | 9.0 | 4.54 | 30.4% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| LAD | Jesus Luzardo | 7.5 | 4.53 | 30.2% | 17.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| MIN | Martin Perez | 8.5 | 4.52 | 30.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| BOS | Jordan Lyles | 9.0 | 4.46 | 29.0% | 16.4% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| ATL | Lance McCullers | 8.5 | 4.41 | 28.2% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| CHC | Aaron Ashby | 9.0 | 4.21 | 24.8% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| CIN | Bryse Wilson | 8.0 | 4.10 | 23.1% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| PHI | Chris Bassitt | 8.0 | 4.10 | 23.1% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| HOU | Kyle Wright | 8.5 | 4.09 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| NYY | Kevin Gausman | 8.0 | 4.06 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| TEX | Dylan Bundy | 8.5 | 3.98 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| SEA | Cole Irvin | 7.5 | 3.97 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| TOR | Jameson Taillon | 8.0 | 3.94 | 20.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| CLE | Lance Lynn | 7.5 | 3.93 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| LAA | Matt Manning | 7.5 | 3.93 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| NYM | Aaron Nola | 8.0 | 3.90 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| PIT | Graham Ashcraft | 8.0 | 3.90 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| TB | Brady Singer | 6.5 | 3.75 | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| ARI | Miles Mikolas | 8.5 | 3.74 | 17.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| CHW | Triston McKenzie | 7.5 | 3.57 | 15.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| DET | Patrick Sandoval | 7.5 | 3.57 | 15.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| OAK | Marco Gonzales | 7.5 | 3.53 | 14.6% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| MIA | Tyler Anderson | 7.5 | 2.97 | 8.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| WSH | Blake Snell | 7.5 | 2.76 | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| KC | Shane McClanahan | 6.5 | 2.75 | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane McClanahan | KC | 7.9 | 95.5% | 89.4% | 79.9% | 67.4% | 53.3% | 39.3% | 27.1% |
| Blake Snell | WSH | 7.5 | 94.1% | 86.9% | 76.0% | 62.3% | 47.7% | 33.9% | 22.5% |
| Aaron Nola | NYM | 7.2 | 92.7% | 84.3% | 72.2% | 57.7% | 42.8% | 29.5% | 18.8% |
| Kevin Gausman | NYY | 6.3 | 87.7% | 75.8% | 60.7% | 44.8% | 30.4% | 19.0% | 10.9% |
| Chris Bassitt | PHI | 6.1 | 85.7% | 72.8% | 57.0% | 41.0% | 27.0% | 16.3% | 9.1% |
| Patrick Sandoval | DET | 5.6 | 80.7% | 65.5% | 48.5% | 32.7% | 20.0% | 11.3% | 5.8% |
| Triston McKenzie | CHW | 5.6 | 80.4% | 65.0% | 48.0% | 32.2% | 19.7% | 11.0% | 5.6% |
| Lance McCullers | ATL | 5.5 | 80.2% | 64.7% | 47.6% | 31.9% | 19.4% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
| Jameson Taillon | TOR | 5.5 | 79.3% | 63.5% | 46.2% | 30.6% | 18.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Kyle Wright | HOU | 5.5 | 79.3% | 63.5% | 46.2% | 30.6% | 18.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Jesus Luzardo | LAD | 5.4 | 78.1% | 61.9% | 44.5% | 29.1% | 17.2% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Lance Lynn | CLE | 5.3 | 77.7% | 61.4% | 44.0% | 28.6% | 16.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Tyler Anderson | MIA | 5.3 | 77.6% | 61.2% | 43.8% | 28.4% | 16.8% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Aaron Ashby | CHC | 5.1 | 75.3% | 58.2% | 40.7% | 25.7% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Brady Singer | TB | 5.1 | 74.9% | 57.7% | 40.2% | 25.3% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Martin Perez | MIN | 5.0 | 74.1% | 56.6% | 39.1% | 24.4% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Marco Gonzales | OAK | 4.7 | 69.0% | 50.5% | 33.2% | 19.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Alex Wood | COL | 4.7 | 68.9% | 50.4% | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Kutter Crawford | BAL | 4.5 | 65.4% | 46.4% | 29.4% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Cole Irvin | SEA | 4.4 | 63.5% | 44.3% | 27.5% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Jordan Lyles | BOS | 4.3 | 62.8% | 43.5% | 26.8% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Miles Mikolas | ARI | 4.3 | 61.9% | 42.6% | 26.0% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Graham Ashcraft | PIT | 4.2 | 61.0% | 41.6% | 25.2% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Dylan Bundy | TEX | 4.2 | 60.3% | 40.8% | 24.5% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Tommy Henry | STL | 4.1 | 58.2% | 38.7% | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Keegan Thompson | MIL | 4.0 | 57.4% | 37.9% | 22.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Matt Manning | LAA | 3.7 | 50.6% | 31.3% | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Bryse Wilson | CIN | 3.6 | 47.6% | 28.6% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Paolo Espino | SD | 3.4 | 43.9% | 25.4% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jose Urena | SF | 3.3 | 42.8% | 24.5% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 109 | Jose Urena | 29.5% | +240 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | Yes | 98 | Martin Perez | 24.5% | +310 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 110 | Jordan Lyles | 23.7% | +320 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 23.2% | +330 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 100 | Lance McCullers | 23.2% | +330 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 109 | Jose Urena | 23.1% | +335 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 98 | Dylan Bundy | 23.0% | +335 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 97 | Lance McCullers | 22.8% | +340 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | No | 108 | Jose Urena | 22.6% | +345 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 22.3% | +350 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 22.2% | +350 |
| Chad Pinder | OAK | Yes | 94 | Marco Gonzales | 21.9% | +355 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | Keegan Thompson | 21.8% | +360 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | Yes | 107 | Jesus Luzardo | 21.8% | +360 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 106 | Aaron Nola | 21.6% | +365 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Graham Ashcraft | 21.4% | +365 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 103 | Kevin Gausman | 21.3% | +370 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Lance Lynn | 21.1% | +375 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 99 | Dylan Bundy | 21.1% | +375 |
| William Contreras | ATL | No | 97 | Lance McCullers | 20.9% | +380 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 94 | Matt Manning | 20.8% | +380 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 20.8% | +380 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 103 | Keegan Thompson | 20.8% | +380 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | Yes | 103 | Aaron Ashby | 20.7% | +385 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 110 | Chris Bassitt | 20.6% | +385 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | Yes | 94 | Shane McClanahan | 20.4% | +390 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Kutter Crawford | 20.3% | +390 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Yes | 107 | Jesus Luzardo | 20.0% | +400 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 108 | Jose Urena | 19.8% | +405 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 109 | Jose Urena | 19.7% | +410 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 100 | Kyle Wright | 19.6% | +410 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 19.3% | +420 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Kutter Crawford | 19.2% | +420 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 19.1% | +420 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 96 | Keegan Thompson | 19.0% | +425 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | Yes | 108 | Alex Wood | 18.9% | +430 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 95 | Paolo Espino | 18.8% | +430 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 110 | Aaron Nola | 18.2% | +450 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 93 | Miles Mikolas | 18.2% | +450 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | Yes | 94 | Marco Gonzales | 18.2% | +450 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 98 | Martin Perez | 18.1% | +450 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 94 | Matt Manning | 18.1% | +450 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 18.1% | +450 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | Yes | 107 | Jesus Luzardo | 18.1% | +450 |
| Trayce Thompson | LAD | Yes | 107 | Jesus Luzardo | 18.1% | +450 |
| Darick Hall | PHI | Yes | 106 | Chris Bassitt | 18.0% | +455 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 99 | Dylan Bundy | 17.7% | +465 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 17.6% | +470 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Paolo Espino | 17.5% | +470 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 17.4% | +475 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | No | 92 | Marco Gonzales | 17.4% | +475 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 17.4% | +475 |
| Joey Bart | SF | No | 108 | Jose Urena | 17.3% | +480 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 103 | Keegan Thompson | 17.3% | +480 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 100 | Kyle Wright | 17.2% | +480 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 95 | Bryse Wilson | 17.1% | +485 |
| Brandon Belt | SF | Yes | 109 | Jose Urena | 17.1% | +485 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 97 | Kyle Wright | 17.1% | +485 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 103 | Lance Lynn | 17.0% | +490 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | Yes | 98 | Martin Perez | 16.9% | +490 |
| Will Smith | LAD | Yes | 107 | Jesus Luzardo | 16.7% | +500 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 106 | Chris Bassitt | 16.7% | +500 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 16.7% | +500 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 112 | Jordan Lyles | 16.5% | +505 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 112 | Kutter Crawford | 16.5% | +505 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 96 | Paolo Espino | 16.4% | +510 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | Yes | 98 | Martin Perez | 16.3% | +515 |
| Nelson Velazquez | CHC | Yes | 103 | Aaron Ashby | 16.2% | +515 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 16.2% | +520 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | 92 | Brady Singer | 16.1% | +520 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 103 | Kevin Gausman | 16.0% | +525 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 16.0% | +525 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 97 | Kyle Wright | 15.9% | +530 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 99 | Dylan Bundy | 15.8% | +530 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 99 | Miles Mikolas | 15.8% | +530 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 15.8% | +530 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 15.7% | +535 |
| Ty France | SEA | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 15.7% | +535 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | No | 102 | Jesus Luzardo | 15.7% | +535 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | No | 102 | Jesus Luzardo | 15.7% | +535 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Lance Lynn | 15.7% | +540 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | Yes | 98 | Martin Perez | 15.6% | +540 |
| Brandon Lowe | TB | Yes | 92 | Brady Singer | 15.5% | +545 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 94 | Brady Singer | 15.5% | +545 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 15.4% | +550 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | ARI | No | 93 | Miles Mikolas | 15.4% | +550 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 97 | Lance McCullers | 15.3% | +555 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Kutter Crawford | 15.1% | +560 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Kutter Crawford | 15.1% | +560 |
| David Peralta | TB | Yes | 92 | Brady Singer | 14.9% | +570 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 14.7% | +580 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 14.7% | +580 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 106 | Aaron Nola | 14.7% | +580 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 100 | Lance McCullers | 14.6% | +585 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 14.4% | +595 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 98 | Dylan Bundy | 14.1% | +610 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | Yes | 103 | Aaron Ashby | 14.1% | +610 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | Yes | 103 | Aaron Ashby | 14.1% | +610 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 97 | Lance McCullers | 14.0% | +615 |
| Eric Haase | DET | Yes | 99 | Patrick Sandoval | 13.6% | +635 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 13.6% | +635 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | Yes | 109 | Jose Urena | 13.5% | +640 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 13.4% | +645 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | No | 92 | Cole Irvin | 13.4% | +650 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 97 | Kyle Wright | 13.3% | +650 |
| Nick Fortes | MIA | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 13.0% | +670 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 99 | Patrick Sandoval | 12.9% | +675 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 12.9% | +675 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 103 | Triston McKenzie | 12.9% | +675 |
| Eric Hosmer | BOS | Yes | 110 | Jordan Lyles | 12.8% | +680 |
| Victor Caratini | MIL | Yes | 96 | Keegan Thompson | 12.8% | +680 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 112 | Jordan Lyles | 12.8% | +680 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 112 | Jordan Lyles | 12.8% | +680 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Graham Ashcraft | 12.7% | +685 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 97 | Lance McCullers | 12.7% | +690 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 97 | Kyle Wright | 12.7% | +690 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | Yes | 103 | Aaron Ashby | 12.6% | +695 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 94 | Matt Manning | 12.6% | +695 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 106 | Aaron Nola | 12.4% | +705 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | Yes | 94 | Shane McClanahan | 12.4% | +710 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | Yes | 108 | Alex Wood | 12.3% | +710 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | No | 92 | Shane McClanahan | 12.3% | +715 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | No | 92 | Shane McClanahan | 12.3% | +715 |
| Paul DeJong | STL | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 12.2% | +715 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 96 | Keegan Thompson | 12.1% | +725 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 110 | Kutter Crawford | 12.1% | +730 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 95 | Paolo Espino | 12.0% | +730 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 95 | Paolo Espino | 12.0% | +730 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 95 | Paolo Espino | 12.0% | +730 |
| Vaughn Grissom | ATL | No | 97 | Lance McCullers | 12.0% | +735 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 103 | Keegan Thompson | 11.9% | +740 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | No | 103 | Keegan Thompson | 11.9% | +740 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 11.9% | +745 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 110 | Aaron Nola | 11.8% | +745 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 110 | Chris Bassitt | 11.8% | +745 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 99 | Miles Mikolas | 11.7% | +750 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 11.5% | +770 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 99 | Lance Lynn | 11.5% | +770 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | Yes | 108 | Alex Wood | 11.5% | +770 |
| Javier Baez | DET | Yes | 99 | Patrick Sandoval | 11.4% | +775 |
| Yasmani Grandal | CHW | Yes | 103 | Triston McKenzie | 11.4% | +780 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 97 | Kyle Wright | 11.3% | +785 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | No | 99 | Tommy Henry | 11.3% | +790 |
| Enrique Hernandez | BOS | No | 112 | Jordan Lyles | 11.2% | +795 |
| Eddie Rosario | ATL | Yes | 100 | Lance McCullers | 11.1% | +800 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | Yes | 103 | Aaron Ashby | 11.0% | +805 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | Yes | 103 | Aaron Ashby | 11.0% | +805 |
| Brad Miller | TEX | Yes | 99 | Dylan Bundy | 11.0% | +810 |
| Sheldon Neuse | OAK | Yes | 94 | Marco Gonzales | 10.9% | +815 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | No | 108 | Jose Urena | 10.8% | +820 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 10.8% | +825 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 10.8% | +830 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 10.8% | +830 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 96 | Keegan Thompson | 10.7% | +835 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 95 | Graham Ashcraft | 10.6% | +840 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 95 | Paolo Espino | 10.6% | +840 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 10.6% | +845 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | No | 103 | Kevin Gausman | 10.4% | +860 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 10.4% | +860 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 10.4% | +865 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 109 | Kevin Gausman | 10.3% | +865 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | 94 | Brady Singer | 10.3% | +870 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 110 | Chris Bassitt | 10.2% | +880 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | Yes | 94 | Shane McClanahan | 10.2% | +885 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 10.1% | +890 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 97 | Kyle Wright | 9.9% | +915 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | Yes | 107 | Jesus Luzardo | 9.7% | +930 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 103 | Kevin Gausman | 9.6% | +940 |
| Christian Arroyo | BOS | No | 112 | Jordan Lyles | 9.5% | +950 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Kutter Crawford | 9.5% | +950 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 99 | Miles Mikolas | 9.5% | +955 |
| David MacKinnon | OAK | Yes | 94 | Marco Gonzales | 9.4% | +960 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 9.3% | +975 |
| David Fletcher | LAA | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 9.3% | +975 |
| Bradley Zimmer | PHI | Yes | 106 | Chris Bassitt | 9.3% | +980 |
| Willi Castro | DET | Yes | 99 | Patrick Sandoval | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Elehuris Montero | COL | Yes | 108 | Alex Wood | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | WSH | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 8.8% | +1035 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 8.8% | +1035 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | No | 109 | Alex Wood | 8.8% | +1035 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | Yes | 110 | Jordan Lyles | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Albert Almora Jr. | CIN | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Jose Barrero | CIN | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 103 | Aaron Ashby | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | No | 99 | Matt Manning | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 106 | Chris Bassitt | 8.4% | +1085 |
| Mike Papierski | CIN | Yes | 95 | Bryse Wilson | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Miguel Cabrera | DET | Yes | 99 | Patrick Sandoval | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Harold Ramirez | TB | No | 94 | Brady Singer | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | No | 99 | Martin Perez | 8.1% | +1140 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 103 | Kevin Gausman | 8.0% | +1145 |
