MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Monday 8/15/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | Mike Minor | 9.0 | 5.08 | 39.8% | 25.0% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | |
| CLE | Bryan Garcia | 8.5 | 4.93 | 37.2% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% | |
| TOR | Kyle Bradish | 9.0 | 4.89 | 36.5% | 22.2% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% | |
| MIN | Kris Bubic | 8.5 | 4.85 | 35.8% | 21.6% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | |
| TEX | James Kaprielian | 8.5 | 4.65 | 32.3% | 18.9% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | |
| SF | Madison Bumgarner | 8.0 | 4.52 | 30.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | |
| HOU | Johnny Cueto | 8.5 | 4.47 | 29.2% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | |
| NYY | Jalen Beeks | 7.5 | 4.47 | 29.2% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | |
| CLE | Drew Hutchison | 7.5 | 4.35 | 27.2% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | |
| ATL | Carlos Carrasco | 8.0 | 4.28 | 26.0% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | |
| CHC | Josiah Gray | 8.0 | 4.26 | 25.7% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| LAD | Freddy Peralta | 7.5 | 4.15 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| BAL | Yusei Kikuchi | 9.0 | 4.11 | 23.2% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | |
| CHW | Jose Urquidy | 8.5 | 4.03 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| CIN | Noah Syndergaard | 9.0 | 3.92 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| OAK | Glenn Otto | 8.5 | 3.85 | 19.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| WSH | Marcus Stroman | 8.0 | 3.74 | 17.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| NYM | Spencer Strider | 8.0 | 3.72 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| KC | Joe Ryan | 8.5 | 3.65 | 16.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| DET | Xzavion Curry | 8.5 | 3.57 | 15.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| LAA | Luis Castillo | 7.0 | 3.53 | 14.6% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| ARI | Alex Cobb | 8.0 | 3.48 | 14.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| SEA | Shohei Ohtani | 7.0 | 3.47 | 13.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| SD | Sandy Alcantara | 6.5 | 3.42 | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| MIL | Julio Urias | 7.5 | 3.35 | 12.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| DET | Aaron Civale | 7.5 | 3.15 | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| MIA | Joe Musgrove | 6.5 | 3.08 | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| TB | Gerrit Cole | 7.5 | 3.03 | 8.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | SEA | 7.9 | 95.5% | 89.4% | 79.9% | 67.4% | 53.3% | 39.3% | 27.1% |
| Gerrit Cole | TB | 7.5 | 94.1% | 86.9% | 76.0% | 62.3% | 47.7% | 33.9% | 22.5% |
| Sandy Alcantara | SD | 6.6 | 89.7% | 79.2% | 65.1% | 49.5% | 34.8% | 22.5% | 13.5% |
| Luis Castillo | LAA | 6.6 | 89.6% | 78.9% | 64.8% | 49.2% | 34.5% | 22.3% | 13.3% |
| Joe Musgrove | MIA | 6.4 | 88.3% | 76.8% | 62.1% | 46.2% | 31.7% | 20.0% | 11.7% |
| Spencer Strider | NYM | 6.2 | 86.7% | 74.2% | 58.7% | 42.7% | 28.5% | 17.5% | 9.9% |
| Alex Cobb | ARI | 6.0 | 85.1% | 71.9% | 55.9% | 39.9% | 26.0% | 15.6% | 8.6% |
| Julio Urias | MIL | 6.0 | 84.5% | 71.0% | 54.8% | 38.7% | 25.1% | 14.9% | 8.1% |
| Joe Ryan | KC | 5.8 | 83.2% | 69.0% | 52.5% | 36.5% | 23.2% | 13.5% | 7.2% |
| Carlos Carrasco | ATL | 5.7 | 81.6% | 66.7% | 49.8% | 33.9% | 21.1% | 12.0% | 6.3% |
| Josiah Gray | CHC | 5.3 | 77.5% | 61.0% | 43.7% | 28.3% | 16.7% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| Jose Urquidy | CHW | 5.1 | 75.4% | 58.4% | 40.9% | 25.9% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Freddy Peralta | LAD | 5.1 | 74.2% | 56.8% | 39.3% | 24.5% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Johnny Cueto | HOU | 4.8 | 69.8% | 51.5% | 34.0% | 20.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Yarbrough | NYY | 4.7 | 69.2% | 50.7% | 33.3% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Noah Syndergaard | CIN | 4.6 | 67.4% | 48.7% | 31.4% | 18.2% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Yusei Kikuchi | BAL | 4.6 | 66.8% | 47.9% | 30.7% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Mike Minor | PHI | 4.5 | 65.9% | 47.0% | 29.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Kris Bubic | MIN | 4.4 | 63.5% | 44.3% | 27.5% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Aaron Civale | DET | 4.3 | 62.1% | 42.8% | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Madison Bumgarner | SF | 4.3 | 61.6% | 42.2% | 25.7% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Marcus Stroman | WSH | 4.3 | 61.6% | 42.2% | 25.7% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Glenn Otto | OAK | 4.1 | 59.2% | 39.7% | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| James Kaprielian | TEX | 4.0 | 56.8% | 37.3% | 21.6% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Bradish | TOR | 4.0 | 56.5% | 36.9% | 21.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Drew Hutchison | CLE | 3.3 | 42.8% | 24.5% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Xzavion Curry | DET | 3.3 | 42.4% | 24.1% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Bryan Garcia | CLE | 3.1 | 37.3% | 20.0% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jalen Beeks | NYY | 1.7 | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | No | 113 | Mike Minor | 27.6% | +260 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 101 | Kyle Bradish | 26.9% | +270 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | Yes | 98 | Kris Bubic | 25.8% | +285 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 111 | Johnny Cueto | 24.9% | +300 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 24.6% | +305 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 23.0% | +335 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | No | 106 | Marcus Stroman | 22.8% | +340 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | Yes | 103 | Ryan Yarbrough | 22.3% | +350 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 22.3% | +350 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 21.7% | +360 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Drew Hutchison | 21.7% | +360 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 101 | Kyle Bradish | 21.5% | +365 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 101 | Kyle Bradish | 21.5% | +365 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 101 | Kyle Bradish | 21.0% | +375 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 20.9% | +380 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 100 | Carlos Carrasco | 20.7% | +385 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | James Kaprielian | 20.6% | +385 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | Yes | 101 | Yusei Kikuchi | 20.4% | +390 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 20.1% | +400 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 97 | Carlos Carrasco | 19.9% | +405 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | Yes | 101 | Yusei Kikuchi | 19.8% | +405 |
| Eric Haase | DET | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 19.6% | +410 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 111 | Johnny Cueto | 19.3% | +420 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 101 | Yusei Kikuchi | 19.2% | +420 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 18.9% | +430 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 18.9% | +430 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Jose Urquidy | 18.7% | +435 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | James Kaprielian | 18.6% | +440 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 103 | Freddy Peralta | 18.5% | +440 |
| Brandon Lowe | TB | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 18.4% | +445 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 18.4% | +445 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 108 | Luis Castillo | 18.3% | +445 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | James Kaprielian | 18.0% | +455 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 103 | Freddy Peralta | 17.9% | +460 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 17.9% | +460 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 17.8% | +460 |
| Tyler Naquin | NYM | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 17.8% | +460 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 17.7% | +465 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 108 | Luis Castillo | 17.6% | +465 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 101 | Freddy Peralta | 17.4% | +475 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 101 | Freddy Peralta | 17.4% | +475 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 103 | Luis Castillo | 17.3% | +480 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Bryan Garcia | 17.0% | +490 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 108 | Shohei Ohtani | 17.0% | +490 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 101 | Freddy Peralta | 16.7% | +500 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | James Kaprielian | 16.7% | +500 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | No | 103 | Freddy Peralta | 16.7% | +500 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 16.4% | +510 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | Yes | 103 | Julio Urias | 16.2% | +515 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | No | 94 | Yusei Kikuchi | 16.2% | +515 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 90 | Sandy Alcantara | 16.1% | +520 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | 97 | Carlos Carrasco | 15.9% | +530 |
| William Contreras | ATL | No | 97 | Carlos Carrasco | 15.9% | +530 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Jose Urquidy | 15.7% | +535 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | No | 106 | Marcus Stroman | 15.7% | +535 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 103 | Freddy Peralta | 15.4% | +550 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 15.1% | +565 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 15.0% | +565 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 103 | Xzavion Curry | 15.0% | +565 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 15.0% | +565 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 98 | Kris Bubic | 14.9% | +570 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Xzavion Curry | 14.9% | +570 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 101 | Freddy Peralta | 14.8% | +575 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 14.7% | +580 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 14.7% | +580 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 97 | Carlos Carrasco | 14.6% | +585 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | Yes | 101 | Yusei Kikuchi | 14.6% | +585 |
| Joey Bart | SF | Yes | 90 | Madison Bumgarner | 14.5% | +590 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 101 | Kyle Bradish | 14.5% | +590 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 106 | Jose Urquidy | 14.4% | +595 |
| Aledmys Diaz | HOU | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 14.4% | +595 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 106 | Jose Urquidy | 14.4% | +595 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 103 | Aaron Civale | 14.3% | +600 |
| David Peralta | TB | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 14.3% | +600 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 14.2% | +600 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | Yes | 98 | Kris Bubic | 14.2% | +605 |
| Edmundo Sosa | PHI | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 14.2% | +605 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 111 | Noah Syndergaard | 14.2% | +605 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 111 | Noah Syndergaard | 14.2% | +605 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 108 | Shohei Ohtani | 14.2% | +605 |
| Keston Hiura | MIL | Yes | 103 | Julio Urias | 14.1% | +610 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 14.0% | +610 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | No | 113 | Mike Minor | 13.9% | +615 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | Yes | 101 | Yusei Kikuchi | 13.9% | +620 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 104 | Marcus Stroman | 13.7% | +630 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Jose Urquidy | 13.7% | +630 |
| Eric Haase | DET | No | 99 | Xzavion Curry | 13.6% | +635 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | No | 109 | Ryan Yarbrough | 13.5% | +640 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 101 | Glenn Otto | 13.4% | +645 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | Yes | 103 | Ryan Yarbrough | 13.4% | +650 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 13.3% | +650 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 13.3% | +655 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 13.3% | +655 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | Yes | 90 | Madison Bumgarner | 13.3% | +655 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | 90 | Madison Bumgarner | 13.3% | +655 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 13.2% | +660 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 101 | Kyle Bradish | 13.1% | +660 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 13.0% | +670 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 104 | Josiah Gray | 13.0% | +670 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 12.9% | +675 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | No | 87 | Madison Bumgarner | 12.7% | +685 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 108 | Luis Castillo | 12.6% | +690 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 12.6% | +695 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | Yes | 103 | Julio Urias | 12.6% | +695 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | Yes | 103 | Julio Urias | 12.6% | +695 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | Yes | 90 | Madison Bumgarner | 12.6% | +695 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 12.6% | +695 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 12.5% | +700 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | James Kaprielian | 12.5% | +705 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 12.5% | +705 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | Yes | 113 | Noah Syndergaard | 12.3% | +710 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 113 | Noah Syndergaard | 12.3% | +710 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 106 | Jose Urquidy | 12.2% | +720 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Drew Hutchison | 12.1% | +725 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 97 | Carlos Carrasco | 12.0% | +735 |
| Jose Barrero | CIN | No | 111 | Noah Syndergaard | 11.9% | +740 |
| J.D. Davis | SF | Yes | 90 | Madison Bumgarner | 11.9% | +740 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 11.9% | +740 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 90 | Sandy Alcantara | 11.9% | +740 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | No | 90 | Joe Musgrove | 11.9% | +740 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | Yes | 103 | Julio Urias | 11.8% | +745 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 11.7% | +755 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 101 | Yusei Kikuchi | 11.6% | +760 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | No | 106 | Jose Urquidy | 11.4% | +775 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | No | 106 | Marcus Stroman | 11.4% | +775 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 103 | Drew Hutchison | 11.4% | +780 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Bryan Garcia | 11.4% | +780 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | Yes | 98 | Kris Bubic | 11.3% | +785 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 97 | Spencer Strider | 11.3% | +785 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | No | 111 | Noah Syndergaard | 11.1% | +800 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 100 | Carlos Carrasco | 11.1% | +800 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | 101 | Kyle Bradish | 11.0% | +810 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 101 | Yusei Kikuchi | 10.8% | +820 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 10.8% | +830 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 10.7% | +835 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 10.7% | +835 |
| Harold Castro | DET | Yes | 103 | Xzavion Curry | 10.6% | +840 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | Yes | 98 | Kris Bubic | 10.6% | +845 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 10.5% | +855 |
| Jose Siri | TB | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 10.4% | +860 |
| Stephen Piscotty | OAK | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 10.4% | +860 |
| Matt Vierling | PHI | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 10.0% | +895 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 104 | Marcus Stroman | 9.9% | +910 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 9.9% | +910 |
| Yasmani Grandal | CHW | Yes | 111 | Jose Urquidy | 9.7% | +935 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 9.6% | +940 |
| Eddie Rosario | ATL | Yes | 100 | Carlos Carrasco | 9.6% | +945 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | Yes | 103 | Ryan Yarbrough | 9.4% | +965 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | Yes | 103 | Ryan Yarbrough | 9.4% | +965 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | Yes | 103 | Julio Urias | 9.4% | +965 |
| Luis Arraez | MIN | No | 99 | Kris Bubic | 9.4% | +965 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 9.2% | +985 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 9.1% | +995 |
| C.J. Abrams | WSH | Yes | 104 | Marcus Stroman | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Mauricio Dubon | HOU | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Austin Slater | SF | Yes | 90 | Madison Bumgarner | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Harold Castro | DET | Yes | 103 | Aaron Civale | 9.0% | +1010 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 101 | James Kaprielian | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 103 | Luis Castillo | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | No | 103 | Luis Castillo | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Whit Merrifield | TOR | No | 101 | Kyle Bradish | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 108 | Shohei Ohtani | 8.6% | +1065 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | Yes | 103 | Ryan Yarbrough | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | 99 | Xzavion Curry | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Rafael Ortega | CHC | Yes | 104 | Josiah Gray | 8.3% | +1110 |
| Zach McKinstry | CHC | Yes | 104 | Josiah Gray | 8.3% | +1110 |
| Victor Robles | WSH | No | 106 | Marcus Stroman | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Willi Castro | DET | Yes | 103 | Xzavion Curry | 8.2% | +1120 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 103 | Aaron Civale | 8.2% | +1120 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 103 | Xzavion Curry | 8.2% | +1120 |
| Kyle Isbel | KC | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 101 | Kyle Bradish | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 90 | Joe Musgrove | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Donovan Solano | CIN | No | 111 | Noah Syndergaard | 7.7% | +1195 |
| Michael Taylor | KC | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Victor Caratini | MIL | Yes | 103 | Julio Urias | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Michael Brosseau | MIL | Yes | 103 | Julio Urias | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Nick Madrigal | CHC | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 7.4% | +1250 |
| JJ Bleday | MIA | Yes | 92 | Joe Musgrove | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Steven Kwan | CLE | Yes | 103 | Drew Hutchison | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Nolan Jones | CLE | Yes | 103 | Drew Hutchison | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | No | 87 | Madison Bumgarner | 7.2% | +1295 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 99 | Bryan Garcia | 7.0% | +1340 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 99 | Bryan Garcia | 7.0% | +1340 |
| Taylor Walls | TB | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 6.9% | +1355 |
| Jose Rojas | LAA | Yes | 108 | Luis Castillo | 6.8% | +1370 |
| Elvis Andrus | OAK | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 6.7% | +1395 |
| Lewin Diaz | MIA | Yes | 92 | Joe Musgrove | 6.6% | +1405 |
| Victor Reyes | DET | Yes | 103 | Aaron Civale | 6.5% | +1435 |
| David Fletcher | LAA | No | 103 | Luis Castillo | 6.4% | +1470 |
