MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Friday 8/12/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | Zach Davies | 12.5 | 6.37 | 61.2% | 45.3% | 30.8% | 19.3% | 11.2% |
| ARI | Antonio Senzatela | 12.5 | 6.13 | 57.5% | 41.5% | 27.4% | 16.6% | 9.3% |
| HOU | Adam Oller | 8.5 | 5.37 | 44.9% | 29.4% | 17.5% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| LAD | Daniel Lynch | 9.0 | 5.34 | 44.3% | 28.9% | 17.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| SD | Cory Abbott | 9.0 | 5.34 | 44.3% | 28.9% | 17.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| CHW | Daniel Norris | 8.5 | 5.04 | 39.1% | 24.4% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| TOR | Cal Quantrill | 9.0 | 5.00 | 38.4% | 23.8% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| NYY | Nathan Eovaldi | 9.5 | 4.93 | 37.2% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| BOS | Domingo German | 9.5 | 4.57 | 30.9% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| SF | Bryse Wilson | 7.5 | 4.55 | 30.6% | 17.5% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| MIN | Patrick Sandoval | 8.0 | 4.15 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| STL | Eric Lauer | 7.5 | 4.13 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| ATL | Pablo Lopez | 7.5 | 4.06 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| TB | Austin Voth | 7.5 | 4.06 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| NYM | Ranger Suarez | 7.0 | 4.04 | 22.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| CLE | Jose Berrios | 9.0 | 4.00 | 21.5% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| LAA | Tyler Mahle | 8.0 | 3.85 | 19.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| KC | Tony Gonsolin | 9.0 | 3.66 | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| WSH | Mike Clevinger | 9.0 | 3.66 | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| DET | Michael Kopech | 8.5 | 3.46 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| BAL | Corey Kluber | 7.5 | 3.44 | 13.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| MIA | Jake Odorizzi | 7.5 | 3.44 | 13.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| MIL | Jordan Montgomery | 7.5 | 3.37 | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| OAK | Luis Garcia | 8.5 | 3.13 | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| PHI | Max Scherzer | 7.0 | 2.96 | 8.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| PIT | Carlos Rodon | 7.5 | 2.95 | 7.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | PHI | 7.6 | 94.5% | 87.5% | 76.9% | 63.5% | 49.0% | 35.2% | 23.5% |
| Carlos Rodon | PIT | 7.6 | 94.4% | 87.4% | 76.8% | 63.4% | 48.9% | 35.0% | 23.4% |
| Josh Sborz | SEA | 6.7 | 90.2% | 80.0% | 66.2% | 50.8% | 36.0% | 23.5% | 14.2% |
| Luis Garcia | OAK | 6.3 | 87.1% | 74.8% | 59.5% | 43.5% | 29.3% | 18.1% | 10.3% |
| Pablo Lopez | ATL | 5.9 | 83.9% | 70.0% | 53.6% | 37.6% | 24.1% | 14.2% | 7.7% |
| Tyler Mahle | LAA | 5.8 | 83.2% | 69.0% | 52.5% | 36.5% | 23.2% | 13.5% | 7.2% |
| Patrick Sandoval | MIN | 5.6 | 81.3% | 66.2% | 49.3% | 33.4% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 6.1% |
| Tony Gonsolin | KC | 5.5 | 80.2% | 64.7% | 47.6% | 31.9% | 19.4% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
| Corey Kluber | BAL | 5.4 | 78.4% | 62.3% | 45.0% | 29.5% | 17.6% | 9.6% | 4.8% |
| Jose Berrios | CLE | 5.3 | 77.1% | 60.6% | 43.1% | 27.8% | 16.3% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Michael Kopech | DET | 5.2 | 75.7% | 58.7% | 41.2% | 26.2% | 15.1% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Eric Lauer | STL | 5.0 | 73.8% | 56.3% | 38.8% | 24.1% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Mike Clevinger | WSH | 5.0 | 73.2% | 55.6% | 38.1% | 23.5% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Nathan Eovaldi | NYY | 5.0 | 72.8% | 55.1% | 37.5% | 23.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| George Kirby | TEX | 4.9 | 72.6% | 54.9% | 37.4% | 22.9% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Ranger Suarez | NYM | 4.8 | 70.6% | 52.4% | 34.9% | 20.9% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Daniel Lynch | LAD | 4.6 | 68.1% | 49.4% | 32.1% | 18.7% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Jake Odorizzi | MIA | 4.4 | 64.2% | 45.1% | 28.2% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Jordan Montgomery | MIL | 4.4 | 63.2% | 43.9% | 27.2% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Zach Davies | COL | 4.1 | 58.4% | 38.9% | 22.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Cal Quantrill | TOR | 4.1 | 58.2% | 38.7% | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Cory Abbott | SD | 4.0 | 55.7% | 36.1% | 20.7% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Domingo German | BOS | 3.9 | 54.3% | 34.8% | 19.6% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Antonio Senzatela | ARI | 3.8 | 52.2% | 32.8% | 18.1% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Norris | CHW | 3.7 | 51.4% | 32.1% | 17.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Austin Voth | TB | 3.7 | 49.7% | 30.5% | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Adam Oller | HOU | 3.2 | 38.6% | 21.1% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Bryse Wilson | SF | 3.1 | 37.1% | 19.8% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 28.0% | +255 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 102 | Adam Oller | 27.8% | +260 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 104 | Cory Abbott | 25.7% | +290 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 106 | Cory Abbott | 25.6% | +290 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | George Kirby | 25.5% | +290 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | Yes | 91 | Eric Lauer | 24.6% | +305 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Yes | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 24.4% | +310 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 101 | Cal Quantrill | 24.4% | +310 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | Yes | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 24.0% | +315 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | Yes | 103 | Patrick Sandoval | 23.9% | +320 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 87 | Bryse Wilson | 22.8% | +340 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | Yes | 103 | Patrick Sandoval | 21.8% | +360 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 21.4% | +365 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 108 | Tyler Mahle | 21.3% | +370 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 99 | Domingo German | 21.2% | +370 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 106 | Cory Abbott | 21.2% | +370 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 101 | Cal Quantrill | 21.0% | +375 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 102 | Luis Garcia | 21.0% | +375 |
| Brandon Lowe | TB | Yes | 92 | Austin Voth | 21.0% | +375 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | George Kirby | 20.8% | +380 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 98 | Max Scherzer | 20.5% | +385 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 101 | Cal Quantrill | 20.5% | +390 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | Yes | 91 | Eric Lauer | 20.4% | +390 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 20.4% | +390 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 95 | Max Scherzer | 20.4% | +390 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 108 | Tyler Mahle | 20.1% | +395 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 93 | Nathan Eovaldi | 20.1% | +395 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 108 | Antonio Senzatela | 19.8% | +405 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 101 | Josh Sborz | 19.7% | +405 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 93 | Domingo German | 19.6% | +410 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 92 | Corey Kluber | 19.4% | +415 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 101 | Cal Quantrill | 19.4% | +415 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 101 | Adam Oller | 19.4% | +415 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | George Kirby | 19.1% | +420 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 103 | Tyler Mahle | 19.1% | +425 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 99 | Domingo German | 19.1% | +425 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | Yes | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 19.0% | +425 |
| Will Smith | LAD | Yes | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 19.0% | +425 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | Yes | 103 | Patrick Sandoval | 18.9% | +430 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 101 | Adam Oller | 18.8% | +430 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Adam Oller | 18.7% | +435 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | Yes | 106 | Daniel Norris | 18.6% | +435 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 108 | Zach Davies | 18.6% | +440 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 104 | Cory Abbott | 18.4% | +445 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | No | 106 | Mike Clevinger | 17.7% | +465 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 101 | Cal Quantrill | 17.6% | +465 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 101 | Luis Garcia | 17.6% | +465 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 92 | Pablo Lopez | 17.3% | +480 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 109 | Antonio Senzatela | 17.1% | +485 |
| Brandon Belt | SF | Yes | 87 | Bryse Wilson | 17.1% | +485 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 17.0% | +490 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 92 | Tony Gonsolin | 17.0% | +490 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 95 | Josh Sborz | 16.8% | +495 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 16.7% | +500 |
| Joey Bart | SF | No | 90 | Bryse Wilson | 16.7% | +500 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 16.5% | +505 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | No | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 16.4% | +510 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Adam Oller | 16.4% | +510 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | No | 106 | Mike Clevinger | 16.4% | +510 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 109 | Zach Davies | 16.4% | +510 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 98 | Ranger Suarez | 16.3% | +515 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | Yes | 91 | Eric Lauer | 15.9% | +530 |
| Darick Hall | PHI | Yes | 95 | Max Scherzer | 15.9% | +530 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | Yes | 106 | Daniel Norris | 15.9% | +530 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Adam Oller | 15.8% | +535 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | No | 95 | Josh Sborz | 15.6% | +540 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | Yes | 103 | Patrick Sandoval | 15.5% | +545 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 15.5% | +545 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 92 | Austin Voth | 15.5% | +545 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 94 | Austin Voth | 15.5% | +545 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 87 | Bryse Wilson | 15.4% | +550 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | Yes | 106 | Daniel Norris | 15.2% | +560 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 15.2% | +560 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 104 | Cory Abbott | 15.1% | +560 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 104 | Cory Abbott | 15.1% | +560 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 109 | Antonio Senzatela | 15.0% | +565 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 92 | Corey Kluber | 14.9% | +570 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 14.9% | +570 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 94 | Austin Voth | 14.9% | +570 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 103 | Patrick Sandoval | 14.8% | +575 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 103 | Tyler Mahle | 14.7% | +580 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 14.7% | +580 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 108 | Zach Davies | 14.6% | +585 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | No | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 14.4% | +595 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 109 | Zach Davies | 14.3% | +600 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 101 | Adam Oller | 13.8% | +625 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 101 | Adam Oller | 13.8% | +625 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | No | 101 | Luis Garcia | 13.8% | +625 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | No | 101 | Jose Berrios | 13.8% | +625 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 13.8% | +625 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | No | 87 | Carlos Rodon | 13.8% | +625 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 106 | Daniel Norris | 13.7% | +630 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 106 | Mike Clevinger | 13.7% | +630 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | 92 | Austin Voth | 13.7% | +630 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 13.6% | +635 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 98 | Ranger Suarez | 13.5% | +640 |
| Darin Ruf | NYM | Yes | 98 | Ranger Suarez | 13.5% | +640 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 98 | Max Scherzer | 13.5% | +645 |
| Sam Haggerty | SEA | Yes | 101 | Josh Sborz | 13.4% | +645 |
| Paul DeJong | STL | Yes | 91 | Eric Lauer | 13.4% | +650 |
| Keston Hiura | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 13.4% | +650 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | Yes | 103 | Patrick Sandoval | 13.4% | +650 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 104 | Cory Abbott | 13.0% | +670 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 104 | Mike Clevinger | 13.0% | +670 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 111 | Michael Kopech | 12.9% | +670 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 12.9% | +675 |
| Trayce Thompson | LAD | Yes | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 12.8% | +680 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | Yes | 98 | Ranger Suarez | 12.8% | +680 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 109 | Antonio Senzatela | 12.7% | +685 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | George Kirby | 12.7% | +690 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | No | 103 | Tyler Mahle | 12.6% | +690 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | No | 90 | Jake Odorizzi | 12.5% | +700 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | No | 90 | Bryse Wilson | 12.5% | +700 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 87 | Bryse Wilson | 12.4% | +705 |
| David Peralta | TB | Yes | 92 | Austin Voth | 12.4% | +710 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | No | 106 | Mike Clevinger | 12.2% | +720 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | Yes | 106 | Daniel Norris | 12.1% | +725 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | Yes | 98 | Ranger Suarez | 12.1% | +730 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 101 | Josh Sborz | 11.9% | +735 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | Yes | 90 | Carlos Rodon | 11.9% | +740 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 11.9% | +740 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 95 | Josh Sborz | 11.8% | +750 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | Yes | 87 | Bryse Wilson | 11.8% | +750 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 101 | Cal Quantrill | 11.7% | +755 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 11.7% | +755 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 108 | Zach Davies | 11.6% | +760 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 108 | Zach Davies | 11.6% | +760 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 98 | Max Scherzer | 11.4% | +775 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | Yes | 98 | Ranger Suarez | 11.3% | +785 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 90 | Carlos Rodon | 11.2% | +790 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 92 | Tony Gonsolin | 11.0% | +810 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 11.0% | +810 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 10.6% | +840 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 10.6% | +845 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 90 | Jake Odorizzi | 10.6% | +845 |
| Peyton Burdick | MIA | No | 90 | Jake Odorizzi | 10.6% | +845 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 10.5% | +850 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | PIT | Yes | 90 | Carlos Rodon | 10.5% | +850 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | Yes | 106 | Daniel Norris | 10.5% | +855 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | No | 97 | Eric Lauer | 10.5% | +855 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 92 | Pablo Lopez | 10.3% | +870 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 10.3% | +870 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 92 | Tony Gonsolin | 10.1% | +890 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 108 | Antonio Senzatela | 10.0% | +895 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | Yes | 91 | Eric Lauer | 9.9% | +910 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 91 | Eric Lauer | 9.9% | +910 |
| Brandon Marsh | PHI | Yes | 95 | Max Scherzer | 9.9% | +910 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 95 | Max Scherzer | 9.9% | +910 |
| Tommy La Stella | SF | Yes | 87 | Bryse Wilson | 9.8% | +920 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | George Kirby | 9.7% | +935 |
| Victor Reyes | DET | Yes | 111 | Michael Kopech | 9.7% | +935 |
| Akil Baddoo | DET | Yes | 111 | Michael Kopech | 9.7% | +935 |
| Eddie Rosario | ATL | Yes | 92 | Pablo Lopez | 9.6% | +940 |
| Nick Pratto | KC | Yes | 92 | Tony Gonsolin | 9.6% | +940 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 108 | Tyler Mahle | 9.4% | +960 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 92 | Tony Gonsolin | 9.4% | +965 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 99 | Domingo German | 9.3% | +975 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | Yes | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 9.2% | +985 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 9.2% | +985 |
| Victor Caratini | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 9.1% | +995 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 92 | Corey Kluber | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 92 | Corey Kluber | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | 94 | Austin Voth | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Jose Siri | TB | No | 94 | Austin Voth | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 111 | Michael Kopech | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Jake Meyers | HOU | No | 101 | Adam Oller | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Josh Rojas | ARI | Yes | 109 | Antonio Senzatela | 8.6% | +1060 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | Yes | 109 | Antonio Senzatela | 8.6% | +1060 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | No | 98 | Max Scherzer | 8.5% | +1085 |
| Nolan Jones | CLE | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | WSH | Yes | 104 | Mike Clevinger | 8.3% | +1110 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 106 | Michael Kopech | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Eric Hosmer | BOS | Yes | 93 | Domingo German | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Taylor Walls | TB | Yes | 92 | Austin Voth | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 101 | George Kirby | 8.1% | +1140 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 101 | Jose Berrios | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 101 | Cal Quantrill | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Tucker Barnhart | DET | Yes | 111 | Michael Kopech | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Harold Castro | DET | Yes | 111 | Michael Kopech | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Christian Arroyo | BOS | No | 99 | Domingo German | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 104 | Mike Clevinger | 7.4% | +1245 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Yes | 104 | Mike Clevinger | 7.4% | +1245 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 92 | Tony Gonsolin | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Sam Hilliard | COL | Yes | 109 | Zach Davies | 6.9% | +1355 |
| Yadier Molina | STL | Yes | 91 | Eric Lauer | 6.8% | +1360 |
| Michael Brosseau | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 6.8% | +1360 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 91 | Eric Lauer | 6.8% | +1360 |
| Andrew Velazquez | LAA | Yes | 108 | Tyler Mahle | 6.8% | +1370 |
| Gilberto Celestino | MIN | Yes | 103 | Patrick Sandoval | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Steven Kwan | CLE | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Dylan Moore | SEA | No | 95 | Josh Sborz | 6.7% | +1395 |
| Bubba Thompson | TEX | No | 95 | George Kirby | 6.7% | +1395 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | 106 | Michael Kopech | 6.5% | +1430 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | 106 | Cory Abbott | 6.5% | +1430 |
| David Fletcher | LAA | No | 103 | Tyler Mahle | 6.4% | +1470 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | No | 90 | Jake Odorizzi | 6.4% | +1470 |
