3 MLB FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Wednesday 8/10/22
With production being highly variable on a night-to-night basis, daily fantasy baseball plays a bit differently than other sports.
As a result of this, the primary method of selecting hitters is to "stack" certain teams in good spots to produce. Most of the top stacks on a given day come with hefty salaries. In addition to that, a vast majority of pitchers with the upside to win tournaments are high-salaried hurlers.
Therefore, crushing your value plays -- whether it be a pitcher unexpectedly piling up strikeouts or a low-salaried batter racking up points -- can be the secret sauce to taking down a tournament.
Which budget options stand out today on FanDuel?
Ryan Pepiot, P, Dodgers ($6,200)
Ryan Pepiot offers a ton of salary savings -- which is especially big on a Coors slate -- and is worth considering as a punt play tonight.
Pepiot is at home versus the Minnesota Twins. Minnesota is a quality offense, with an active roster that has the fourth-best wOBA (.338) against right-handers, so it's a tough spot.
A rookie, Pepiot has just 16 1/3 MLB frames on his resume. He's shown the ability to miss bats (26.8% strikeout rate) but is also walking too many hitters (16.9% walk rate). Obviously, 16 1/3 innings is a tiny sample, but Pepiot has been a similar pitcher in Triple-A this year, posting a 30.8% strikeout rate and 10.6% walk rate across 75 1/3 innings. The strikeout juice is pretty good for a guy with a salary this low.
Pepiot has thrown between 84 and 87 pitches in three of his four MLB starts, so the workload leaves a little to be desired. But he has a solid chance at a win with the Los Angeles Dodgers being a -162 moneyline favorite, and for $6,200, he checks some boxes.
We project Pepiot for 24.4 FanDuel points and rank him as the night's second-best point-per-dollar arm.
Paul DeJong, SS, Cardinals ($2,800)
Paul DeJong has been really good since getting recalled. In 36 plate appearances, he's mashed his way to a .469 wOBA with 4 jacks and 12 RBI. He donged in three straight games in Triple-A before getting the call, too, so the dude is on fire.
DeJong popped a tater last night at Coors, and he's in a great spot to have another big game with the Colorado Rockies sending southpaw Kyle Freeland to the mound. Versus lefties this year, DeJong has a .344 wOBA, and Freeland is striking out only 16.9% of right-handers.
The St. Louis Cardinals boast a massive 6.31 implied total -- a slate-best mark by 1.12 runs -- and DeJong is a low-salary way to get in on the fun. As such, he will likely be chalky tonight, but he's in a smash spot.
Yuli Gurriel, 1B, Astros ($2,400)
The Astros are one of the night's best non-Coors stacks as they have a 4.69 implied total against Glenn Otto. The owner of a 4.87 SIERA and 18.8% strikeout rate, Otto is having a rough year. A matchup with Houston doesn't figure to be the remedy for his struggles.
For $2,400, Gurriel gets you heart-of-the-order exposure to one of the slate's top offenses. We project him to total 12.5 FanDuel points and have him as the night's point-per-dollar hitter.