MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Wednesday 6/29/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | German Marquez | 11.0 | 6.25 | 59.4% | 43.4% | 29.1% | 18.0% | 10.2% |
| NYY | Cole Irvin | 8.5 | 5.24 | 42.6% | 27.4% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| WSH | Mitch Keller | 9.5 | 5.01 | 38.6% | 23.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| ATL | Ranger Suarez | 9.0 | 4.79 | 34.7% | 20.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| COL | Julio Urias | 11.0 | 4.75 | 34.0% | 20.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| TOR | Nick Pivetta | 8.5 | 4.68 | 32.8% | 19.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| SF | Rony Garcia | 8.0 | 4.66 | 32.5% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| TEX | Zack Greinke | 9.0 | 4.65 | 32.3% | 18.9% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| CLE | Dylan Bundy | 9.0 | 4.52 | 30.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| LAA | Michael Kopech | 8.0 | 4.52 | 30.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| PIT | Paolo Espino | 9.5 | 4.49 | 29.5% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| MIN | Cal Quantrill | 9.0 | 4.48 | 29.4% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| SD | Madison Bumgarner | 8.5 | 4.47 | 29.2% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| KC | Dane Dunning | 9.0 | 4.35 | 27.2% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| CHC | Hunter Greene | 8.0 | 4.23 | 25.2% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| SEA | Austin Voth | 8.0 | 4.23 | 25.2% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| PHI | Kyle Wright | 9.0 | 4.21 | 24.8% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| TB | Eric Lauer | 8.0 | 4.20 | 24.7% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| MIA | Andre Pallante | 8.0 | 4.15 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| HOU | Taijuan Walker | 8.0 | 4.15 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| ARI | Mike Clevinger | 8.5 | 4.03 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| NYM | Justin Verlander | 8.0 | 3.85 | 19.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| STL | Sandy Alcantara | 8.0 | 3.85 | 19.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| BOS | Alek Manoah | 8.5 | 3.82 | 18.7% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| MIL | Jalen Beeks | 8.0 | 3.80 | 18.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| BAL | Chris Flexen | 8.0 | 3.77 | 18.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| CIN | Justin Steele | 8.0 | 3.77 | 18.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| CHW | Shohei Ohtani | 8.0 | 3.48 | 14.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| DET | Alex Wood | 8.0 | 3.34 | 12.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| OAK | Jameson Taillon | 8.5 | 3.26 | 11.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | CHW | 7.3 | 93.1% | 84.9% | 73.1% | 58.8% | 44.0% | 30.5% | 19.7% |
| Alek Manoah | BOS | 6.5 | 88.8% | 77.6% | 63.1% | 47.3% | 32.7% | 20.8% | 12.3% |
| Sandy Alcantara | STL | 6.4 | 87.7% | 75.9% | 60.9% | 45.0% | 30.5% | 19.1% | 11.0% |
| Kyle Wright | PHI | 6.3 | 87.2% | 75.1% | 59.8% | 43.9% | 29.5% | 18.3% | 10.5% |
| Nick Pivetta | TOR | 5.7 | 81.8% | 67.0% | 50.2% | 34.2% | 21.3% | 12.2% | 6.4% |
| Eric Lauer | TB | 5.6 | 81.4% | 66.4% | 49.5% | 33.6% | 20.8% | 11.8% | 6.1% |
| Justin Verlander | NYM | 5.4 | 78.7% | 62.7% | 45.4% | 29.8% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
| Ranger Suarez | ATL | 5.2 | 76.6% | 59.9% | 42.4% | 27.2% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Alex Wood | DET | 5.1 | 74.9% | 57.7% | 40.2% | 25.3% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Jameson Taillon | OAK | 5.1 | 74.7% | 57.5% | 40.0% | 25.1% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Julio Urias | COL | 5.1 | 74.5% | 57.2% | 39.6% | 24.8% | 14.1% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Hunter Greene | CHC | 5.1 | 74.3% | 57.0% | 39.5% | 24.7% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Mike Clevinger | ARI | 5.0 | 73.6% | 56.1% | 38.6% | 23.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Justin Steele | CIN | 4.7 | 69.2% | 50.7% | 33.3% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Michael Kopech | LAA | 4.7 | 68.4% | 49.8% | 32.5% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Taijuan Walker | HOU | 4.6 | 67.8% | 49.1% | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| German Marquez | LAD | 4.6 | 67.8% | 49.1% | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Chris Flexen | BAL | 4.5 | 66.4% | 47.5% | 30.4% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Dane Dunning | KC | 4.5 | 64.9% | 45.8% | 28.9% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Mitch Keller | WSH | 4.4 | 64.1% | 44.9% | 28.0% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Cole Irvin | NYY | 4.4 | 63.2% | 43.9% | 27.2% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Cal Quantrill | MIN | 4.2 | 60.8% | 41.4% | 25.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Madison Bumgarner | SD | 4.1 | 58.8% | 39.3% | 23.2% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Paolo Espino | PIT | 4.1 | 58.2% | 38.7% | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Dylan Bundy | CLE | 4.0 | 57.4% | 37.9% | 22.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Andre Pallante | MIA | 4.0 | 56.5% | 36.9% | 21.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Rony Garcia | SF | 3.8 | 53.3% | 33.8% | 18.9% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Zack Greinke | TEX | 3.5 | 45.3% | 26.5% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Austin Voth | SEA | 3.4 | 43.5% | 25.0% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jalen Beeks | MIL | 2.3 | 20.5% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Platoon?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Platoon? | HR PF |
Opp Pitcher |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 94 | Alek Manoah | 25.7% | +290 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | Yes | 103 | Cole Irvin | 25.3% | +295 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 103 | Michael Kopech | 25.1% | +300 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 101 | Nick Pivetta | 24.4% | +310 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 23.9% | +320 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 23.2% | +330 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 108 | German Marquez | 23.1% | +335 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 104 | Paolo Espino | 22.8% | +340 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 87 | Rony Garcia | 22.4% | +345 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 96 | Hunter Greene | 22.1% | +355 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 101 | Nick Pivetta | 22.0% | +355 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 103 | Hunter Greene | 21.8% | +360 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | Yes | 108 | Julio Urias | 21.4% | +370 |
| Jorge Soler | MIA | No | 91 | Andre Pallante | 20.9% | +380 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 108 | German Marquez | 20.4% | +390 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 99 | Chris Flexen | 20.2% | +395 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 20.0% | +400 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 19.8% | +405 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 109 | Jameson Taillon | 19.7% | +410 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 87 | Rony Garcia | 19.6% | +410 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 110 | Kyle Wright | 19.5% | +415 |
| Manny Machado | SD | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 19.1% | +420 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 103 | Hunter Greene | 19.1% | +425 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 103 | Hunter Greene | 19.1% | +425 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 19.0% | +425 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 93 | Mike Clevinger | 18.7% | +435 |
| Jazz Chisholm | MIA | Yes | 97 | Andre Pallante | 18.6% | +440 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 18.4% | +445 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | No | 106 | Mitch Keller | 18.3% | +445 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 18.3% | +445 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 101 | Nick Pivetta | 18.2% | +450 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | Yes | 103 | Cole Irvin | 18.2% | +450 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | Yes | 94 | Jalen Beeks | 18.2% | +450 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 99 | Austin Voth | 18.0% | +455 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 18.0% | +455 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 103 | Michael Kopech | 17.9% | +460 |
| Adam Duvall | ATL | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 17.8% | +460 |
| Dan Vogelbach | PIT | Yes | 104 | Paolo Espino | 17.8% | +465 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 17.7% | +465 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | No | 109 | Cole Irvin | 17.7% | +465 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 108 | Shohei Ohtani | 17.6% | +465 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 103 | Dylan Bundy | 17.6% | +470 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | Yes | 103 | Cole Irvin | 17.6% | +470 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 106 | Kyle Wright | 17.4% | +475 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 98 | Justin Verlander | 17.2% | +480 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 17.1% | +485 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 17.1% | +485 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 108 | Michael Kopech | 17.0% | +490 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | Yes | 94 | Jalen Beeks | 17.0% | +490 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 92 | Zack Greinke | 16.7% | +500 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 92 | Zack Greinke | 16.7% | +500 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 16.7% | +500 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 16.7% | +500 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 96 | Chris Flexen | 16.7% | +500 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 95 | Justin Verlander | 16.5% | +505 |
| Brandon Drury | CIN | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 16.2% | +515 |
| Luke Voit | SD | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 16.2% | +515 |
| Trey Mancini | BAL | No | 99 | Chris Flexen | 16.2% | +520 |
| Franmil Reyes | CLE | No | 99 | Dylan Bundy | 16.2% | +520 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 92 | Zack Greinke | 16.1% | +520 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | No | 90 | Rony Garcia | 16.1% | +520 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 90 | Rony Garcia | 16.1% | +520 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | No | 108 | German Marquez | 16.0% | +525 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | No | 109 | Julio Urias | 16.0% | +525 |
| Eric Hosmer | SD | No | 99 | Madison Bumgarner | 15.9% | +530 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 99 | Mike Clevinger | 15.8% | +530 |
| Mitch Garver | TEX | No | 92 | Zack Greinke | 15.8% | +530 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 104 | Paolo Espino | 15.8% | +535 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 91 | Andre Pallante | 15.7% | +540 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 96 | Chris Flexen | 15.4% | +550 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 15.4% | +550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 101 | Nick Pivetta | 15.1% | +560 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 91 | Sandy Alcantara | 15.1% | +565 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 91 | Sandy Alcantara | 15.1% | +565 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Dylan Bundy | 15.0% | +565 |
| Tommy Pham | CIN | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 14.8% | +575 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | Yes | 103 | Cole Irvin | 14.8% | +575 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 14.7% | +580 |
| Kris Bryant | COL | Yes | 108 | Julio Urias | 14.7% | +580 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | No | 106 | Ranger Suarez | 14.4% | +595 |
| Josh Bell | WSH | Yes | 104 | Mitch Keller | 14.4% | +595 |
| Darin Ruf | SF | No | 90 | Rony Garcia | 14.4% | +595 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 14.1% | +610 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 95 | Justin Verlander | 14.0% | +615 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | Yes | 90 | Alex Wood | 13.9% | +620 |
| Bobby Dalbec | BOS | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 13.8% | +625 |
| Jesus Sanchez | MIA | Yes | 97 | Andre Pallante | 13.6% | +635 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | 103 | Cal Quantrill | 13.6% | +635 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 13.6% | +635 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 108 | Michael Kopech | 13.4% | +645 |
| Albert Almora Jr. | CIN | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 13.4% | +650 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 13.3% | +650 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 13.1% | +660 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | 101 | Nick Pivetta | 13.1% | +660 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | Yes | 108 | Julio Urias | 13.1% | +660 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | Yes | 94 | Jalen Beeks | 13.1% | +665 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | Yes | 94 | Eric Lauer | 13.1% | +665 |
| Juan Soto | WSH | Yes | 104 | Mitch Keller | 13.0% | +670 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 104 | Paolo Espino | 13.0% | +670 |
| Justin Upton | SEA | No | 99 | Austin Voth | 12.9% | +675 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 12.9% | +675 |
| Ryan Jeffers | MIN | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 12.9% | +675 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Dylan Bundy | 12.9% | +675 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 96 | Chris Flexen | 12.8% | +680 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 96 | Austin Voth | 12.8% | +680 |
| Jake Lamb | LAD | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 12.7% | +685 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 108 | Shohei Ohtani | 12.6% | +690 |
| David Bote | CHC | No | 103 | Hunter Greene | 12.6% | +690 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 12.6% | +695 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 12.5% | +700 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 12.4% | +705 |
| Trayce Thompson | LAD | No | 108 | German Marquez | 12.4% | +705 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | Yes | 94 | Eric Lauer | 12.4% | +710 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 99 | Austin Voth | 12.2% | +720 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 92 | Zack Greinke | 12.1% | +725 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | No | 91 | Andre Pallante | 12.0% | +735 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 11.9% | +740 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 11.9% | +740 |
| David Peralta | ARI | Yes | 99 | Mike Clevinger | 11.7% | +750 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 99 | Mike Clevinger | 11.7% | +750 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 11.7% | +755 |
| Robert Refsnyder | BOS | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 11.7% | +755 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 101 | Nick Pivetta | 11.7% | +755 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 101 | Nick Pivetta | 11.7% | +755 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | Yes | 94 | Jalen Beeks | 11.6% | +760 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | Yes | 108 | Julio Urias | 11.5% | +770 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | Yes | 108 | Julio Urias | 11.5% | +770 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 92 | Dane Dunning | 11.5% | +775 |
| Rafael Ortega | CHC | Yes | 96 | Hunter Greene | 11.4% | +775 |
| Abraham Toro | SEA | Yes | 96 | Austin Voth | 11.4% | +775 |
| Brandon Marsh | LAA | Yes | 108 | Michael Kopech | 11.1% | +805 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | Yes | 103 | Cole Irvin | 11.0% | +805 |
| Michael Brosseau | MIL | Yes | 94 | Jalen Beeks | 10.9% | +815 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | Yes | 94 | Eric Lauer | 10.9% | +815 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 10.8% | +825 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 99 | Chris Flexen | 10.8% | +830 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 99 | Chris Flexen | 10.8% | +830 |
| Josh VanMeter | PIT | Yes | 104 | Paolo Espino | 10.7% | +835 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 96 | Chris Flexen | 10.7% | +835 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | No | 90 | Rony Garcia | 10.6% | +845 |
| Brandon Belt | SF | Yes | 87 | Rony Garcia | 10.5% | +855 |
| Tim Anderson | CHW | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 10.4% | +860 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | No | 96 | Justin Steele | 10.4% | +865 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | Yes | 103 | Cole Irvin | 10.2% | +880 |
| Harold Ramirez | TB | Yes | 94 | Eric Lauer | 10.2% | +885 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 92 | Dane Dunning | 10.1% | +890 |
| Didi Gregorius | PHI | Yes | 106 | Kyle Wright | 10.1% | +890 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 10.1% | +890 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 108 | German Marquez | 10.0% | +895 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 99 | Dylan Bundy | 10.0% | +895 |
| Hoy Park | PIT | Yes | 104 | Paolo Espino | 9.9% | +910 |
| Curt Casali | SF | No | 90 | Rony Garcia | 9.9% | +910 |
| Alex Kirilloff | MIN | Yes | 103 | Cal Quantrill | 9.8% | +915 |
| Javier Baez | DET | Yes | 90 | Alex Wood | 9.8% | +920 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 92 | Zack Greinke | 9.6% | +940 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 94 | Eric Lauer | 9.4% | +960 |
| Aramis Garcia | CIN | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 9.4% | +965 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 96 | Austin Voth | 9.2% | +985 |
| Jason Heyward | CHC | Yes | 96 | Hunter Greene | 9.2% | +985 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 106 | Mitch Keller | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | Yes | 90 | Alex Wood | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Steven Kwan | CLE | Yes | 103 | Dylan Bundy | 9.0% | +1010 |
| Nicky Lopez | KC | Yes | 92 | Dane Dunning | 8.9% | +1025 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 92 | Dane Dunning | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Sheldon Neuse | OAK | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | No | 99 | Madison Bumgarner | 8.7% | +1045 |
| Victor Caratini | MIL | Yes | 94 | Jalen Beeks | 8.6% | +1055 |
| Keston Hiura | MIL | Yes | 94 | Jalen Beeks | 8.6% | +1055 |
| Vidal Brujan | TB | Yes | 94 | Eric Lauer | 8.6% | +1055 |
| Stephen Vogt | OAK | Yes | 109 | Jameson Taillon | 8.6% | +1060 |
| Andrew Velazquez | LAA | Yes | 108 | Michael Kopech | 8.6% | +1065 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 110 | Kyle Wright | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Jonathan Arauz | BAL | Yes | 96 | Chris Flexen | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 96 | Austin Voth | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Alfonso Rivas | CHC | Yes | 96 | Hunter Greene | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 104 | Mitch Keller | 8.3% | +1110 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | No | 106 | Mitch Keller | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Buddy Kennedy | ARI | No | 93 | Mike Clevinger | 8.1% | +1140 |
| Avisail Garcia | MIA | No | 91 | Andre Pallante | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Juan Yepez | STL | No | 91 | Sandy Alcantara | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Wander Franco | TB | Yes | 94 | Eric Lauer | 7.9% | +1175 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 7.8% | +1185 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 97 | Sandy Alcantara | 7.8% | +1185 |
| Luke Maile | CLE | No | 99 | Dylan Bundy | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | No | 99 | Dylan Bundy | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Reese McGuire | CHW | Yes | 108 | Shohei Ohtani | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 98 | Justin Verlander | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 106 | Kyle Wright | 7.6% | +1220 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | Yes | 94 | Alek Manoah | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Eric Haase | DET | Yes | 90 | Alex Wood | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 104 | Mitch Keller | 7.4% | +1245 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | No | 106 | Mitch Keller | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 92 | Zack Greinke | 7.2% | +1280 |
| Stephen Piscotty | OAK | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 7.2% | +1285 |
| Miguel Rojas | MIA | No | 91 | Andre Pallante | 7.2% | +1295 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | No | 106 | Ranger Suarez | 7.1% | +1300 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | ARI | Yes | 99 | Mike Clevinger | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Connor Joe | COL | Yes | 108 | Julio Urias | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Tommy La Stella | SF | Yes | 87 | Rony Garcia | 7.0% | +1325 |
| Jose Azocar | SD | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Jake Meyers | HOU | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 6.9% | +1350 |
| J.J. Matijevic | HOU | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Matt Reynolds | CIN | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Miguel Cabrera | DET | Yes | 90 | Alex Wood | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Robbie Grossman | DET | Yes | 90 | Alex Wood | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Andrew Benintendi | KC | Yes | 92 | Dane Dunning | 6.6% | +1405 |
| Michael Perez | PIT | Yes | 104 | Paolo Espino | 6.6% | +1420 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Yes | 104 | Mitch Keller | 6.6% | +1420 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | PIT | No | 106 | Paolo Espino | 6.5% | +1430 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 103 | Michael Kopech | 6.4% | +1470 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 99 | Mike Clevinger | 6.3% | +1495 |
| Josh Rojas | ARI | Yes | 99 | Mike Clevinger | 6.3% | +1495 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | No | 92 | Jalen Beeks | 6.3% | +1495 |
| Christian Vazquez | BOS | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 6.3% | +1500 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 101 | Nick Pivetta | 6.3% | +1500 |
