MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Wednesday 6/22/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | Luis Castillo | 9.5 | 5.26 | 43.0% | 27.7% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| BAL | Patrick Corbin | 9.5 | 5.14 | 40.9% | 25.9% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| TOR | Lucas Giolito | 9.5 | 4.84 | 35.6% | 21.5% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| LAA | Daniel Lynch | 8.0 | 4.74 | 33.9% | 20.1% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| ATL | Carlos Rodon | 9.0 | 4.73 | 33.7% | 19.9% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| CHW | Ross Stripling | 9.5 | 4.66 | 32.5% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| MIN | Triston McKenzie | 8.5 | 4.60 | 31.4% | 18.2% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| BOS | Tarik Skubal | 8.5 | 4.59 | 31.3% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| PIT | Keegan Thompson | 9.0 | 4.54 | 30.4% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| CHC | Jerad Eickhoff | 9.0 | 4.46 | 29.0% | 16.4% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| WSH | Tyler Wells | 9.5 | 4.36 | 27.3% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| MIA | Chad Kuhl | 7.5 | 4.31 | 26.5% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| MIL | Adam Wainwright | 8.5 | 4.27 | 25.8% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| SF | Charlie Morton | 9.0 | 4.27 | 25.8% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| HOU | Carlos Carrasco | 8.0 | 4.26 | 25.7% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| CIN | Tyler Anderson | 9.5 | 4.24 | 25.3% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| STL | Eric Lauer | 8.5 | 4.23 | 25.2% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| SD | Madison Bumgarner | 7.5 | 4.13 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| PHI | Jon Gray | 7.5 | 3.94 | 20.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| SEA | Paul Blackburn | 7.5 | 3.94 | 20.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| DET | Michael Wacha | 8.5 | 3.91 | 20.1% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| CLE | Sonny Gray | 8.5 | 3.90 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| NYM | Luis Garcia | 8.0 | 3.74 | 17.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| NYY | Shane Baz | 7.0 | 3.70 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| OAK | George Kirby | 7.5 | 3.56 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| TEX | Zack Wheeler | 7.5 | 3.56 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| ARI | Mike Clevinger | 7.5 | 3.37 | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| TB | Jordan Montgomery | 7.0 | 3.30 | 11.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| KC | Shohei Ohtani | 8.0 | 3.26 | 11.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| COL | Pablo Lopez | 7.5 | 3.19 | 10.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | KC | 6.9 | 91.3% | 81.8% | 68.6% | 53.5% | 38.6% | 25.8% | 16.0% |
| Zack Wheeler | TEX | 6.5 | 89.1% | 78.1% | 63.7% | 48.0% | 33.3% | 21.3% | 12.6% |
| Pablo Lopez | COL | 6.4 | 88.1% | 76.5% | 61.6% | 45.8% | 31.3% | 19.7% | 11.4% |
| Lucas Giolito | TOR | 6.3 | 87.2% | 75.1% | 59.8% | 43.9% | 29.5% | 18.3% | 10.5% |
| Carlos Rodon | ATL | 6.3 | 87.1% | 74.9% | 59.7% | 43.7% | 29.4% | 18.2% | 10.4% |
| Eric Lauer | STL | 6.2 | 86.7% | 74.2% | 58.7% | 42.7% | 28.5% | 17.5% | 9.9% |
| Charlie Morton | SF | 6.1 | 85.7% | 72.8% | 57.0% | 41.0% | 27.0% | 16.3% | 9.1% |
| Luis Garcia | NYM | 5.8 | 82.8% | 68.4% | 51.8% | 35.8% | 22.6% | 13.1% | 7.0% |
| Sonny Gray | CLE | 5.7 | 81.9% | 67.1% | 50.3% | 34.4% | 21.5% | 12.2% | 6.4% |
| Jon Gray | PHI | 5.7 | 81.9% | 67.1% | 50.3% | 34.4% | 21.5% | 12.2% | 6.4% |
| Luis Castillo | LAD | 5.7 | 81.7% | 66.8% | 50.0% | 34.1% | 21.2% | 12.1% | 6.3% |
| Tyler Anderson | CIN | 5.6 | 80.8% | 65.6% | 48.6% | 32.8% | 20.2% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
| Triston McKenzie | MIN | 5.5 | 79.4% | 63.6% | 46.4% | 30.8% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| Carlos Carrasco | HOU | 5.4 | 79.1% | 63.3% | 46.1% | 30.5% | 18.3% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Tarik Skubal | BOS | 5.4 | 78.9% | 63.0% | 45.7% | 30.1% | 18.1% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Jordan Montgomery | TB | 5.1 | 75.3% | 58.2% | 40.7% | 25.7% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Adam Wainwright | MIL | 5.0 | 73.5% | 56.0% | 38.4% | 23.8% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Shane Baz | NYY | 5.0 | 72.9% | 55.2% | 37.7% | 23.2% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Mike Clevinger | ARI | 4.5 | 65.8% | 46.8% | 29.7% | 16.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Chad Kuhl | MIA | 4.5 | 65.3% | 46.2% | 29.2% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Michael Wacha | DET | 4.4 | 64.4% | 45.3% | 28.3% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Corbin | BAL | 4.4 | 63.5% | 44.3% | 27.5% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| George Kirby | OAK | 4.3 | 62.6% | 43.3% | 26.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Lynch | LAA | 4.3 | 61.9% | 42.6% | 26.0% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Jerad Eickhoff | CHC | 4.3 | 61.7% | 42.4% | 25.8% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Paul Blackburn | SEA | 4.1 | 58.6% | 39.1% | 23.1% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Ross Stripling | CHW | 3.9 | 54.1% | 34.6% | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Wells | WSH | 3.8 | 53.5% | 34.0% | 19.0% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Madison Bumgarner | SD | 3.7 | 51.0% | 31.7% | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Keegan Thompson | PIT | 3.3 | 42.2% | 23.9% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Platoon?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Platoon? | HR Park Factor |
Opp Pitcher |
HR Probability |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 94 | Shane Baz | 28.5% | +251 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | No | 98 | Triston McKenzie | 25.6% | +291 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | Yes | 112 | Patrick Corbin | 24.2% | +313 |
| Josh Bell | WSH | Yes | 110 | Tyler Wells | 22.7% | +341 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 113 | Luis Castillo | 22.6% | +343 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | Yes | 103 | Daniel Lynch | 22.3% | +348 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Carlos Carrasco | 21.5% | +365 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 21.2% | +372 |
| Brandon Drury | CIN | Yes | 111 | Tyler Anderson | 21.2% | +372 |
| Jazz Chisholm | MIA | Yes | 92 | Chad Kuhl | 21.0% | +377 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 94 | Shane Baz | 20.9% | +378 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yes | 97 | Carlos Rodon | 20.9% | +379 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 20.7% | +384 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 20.7% | +384 |
| Adam Duvall | ATL | Yes | 97 | Carlos Rodon | 20.3% | +392 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 113 | Luis Castillo | 20.2% | +395 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 20.1% | +397 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | Yes | 97 | Carlos Rodon | 19.8% | +406 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 19.5% | +413 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | Yes | 99 | Tarik Skubal | 19.5% | +413 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 19.5% | +414 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 112 | Patrick Corbin | 19.4% | +415 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 101 | Luis Garcia | 19.4% | +416 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Keegan Thompson | 19.4% | +416 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 102 | Carlos Carrasco | 19.3% | +418 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 101 | Jon Gray | 19.1% | +422 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | No | 112 | Tyler Wells | 19.1% | +424 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 111 | Luis Castillo | 19.0% | +427 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 18.9% | +429 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 92 | Shane Baz | 18.9% | +429 |
| Joey Gallo | NYY | Yes | 92 | Shane Baz | 18.9% | +429 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | Yes | 112 | Patrick Corbin | 18.7% | +433 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 95 | Jon Gray | 18.5% | +441 |
| Taylor Trammell | SEA | Yes | 92 | Paul Blackburn | 18.4% | +444 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Ross Stripling | 18.3% | +446 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | Yes | 103 | Daniel Lynch | 18.2% | +449 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 102 | Luis Garcia | 18.1% | +452 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 92 | Jerad Eickhoff | 18.0% | +454 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 92 | Jerad Eickhoff | 18.0% | +454 |
| Juan Soto | WSH | Yes | 110 | Tyler Wells | 17.9% | +459 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 98 | Triston McKenzie | 17.8% | +461 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 99 | Sonny Gray | 17.7% | +465 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Yes | 101 | Jon Gray | 17.4% | +476 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 112 | Patrick Corbin | 17.4% | +476 |
| Manny Machado | SD | Yes | 96 | Madison Bumgarner | 17.2% | +480 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 94 | Paul Blackburn | 17.2% | +480 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 17.2% | +481 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | No | 93 | Tarik Skubal | 17.1% | +486 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 17.0% | +490 |
| Luke Voit | SD | Yes | 96 | Madison Bumgarner | 16.6% | +502 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 16.5% | +505 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 99 | Sonny Gray | 16.5% | +507 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | No | 113 | Tyler Anderson | 16.4% | +508 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 111 | Luis Castillo | 16.3% | +512 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 94 | Shane Baz | 16.1% | +522 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Adam Wainwright | 16.1% | +522 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 16.0% | +523 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 95 | Keegan Thompson | 15.9% | +528 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 110 | Tyler Wells | 15.8% | +532 |
| Tommy Pham | CIN | Yes | 111 | Tyler Anderson | 15.8% | +534 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Ross Stripling | 15.7% | +535 |
| Jake Burger | CHW | No | 106 | Ross Stripling | 15.7% | +535 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | No | 111 | Luis Castillo | 15.6% | +539 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | Zack Wheeler | 15.6% | +540 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Carlos Carrasco | 15.6% | +543 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 15.5% | +543 |
| Jorge Soler | MIA | No | 90 | Chad Kuhl | 15.5% | +544 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 92 | Paul Blackburn | 15.5% | +544 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 103 | Adam Wainwright | 15.4% | +550 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 15.3% | +555 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | No | 108 | Daniel Lynch | 15.3% | +555 |
| Tim Anderson | CHW | No | 106 | Ross Stripling | 15.1% | +564 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 15.0% | +569 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 92 | George Kirby | 14.9% | +571 |
| Jesus Sanchez | MIA | Yes | 92 | Chad Kuhl | 14.9% | +571 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 94 | George Kirby | 14.9% | +572 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | No | 100 | Carlos Rodon | 14.9% | +572 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | Zack Wheeler | 14.8% | +577 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | Adam Wainwright | 14.7% | +579 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 14.5% | +589 |
| Trey Mancini | BAL | Yes | 112 | Patrick Corbin | 14.3% | +598 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | No | 112 | Tyler Wells | 14.3% | +599 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | No | 94 | Shane Baz | 14.3% | +601 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 102 | Luis Garcia | 14.2% | +604 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | Yes | 103 | Daniel Lynch | 14.1% | +609 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 14.0% | +612 |
| Brandon Belt | SF | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 14.0% | +616 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 95 | Jon Gray | 13.8% | +627 |
| Brian Serven | COL | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 13.8% | +627 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 106 | Ross Stripling | 13.7% | +632 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 92 | Pablo Lopez | 13.7% | +632 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | Yes | 97 | Carlos Rodon | 13.4% | +646 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 108 | Shohei Ohtani | 13.4% | +646 |
| Dan Vogelbach | PIT | Yes | 95 | Keegan Thompson | 13.4% | +648 |
| Harrison Bader | STL | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 13.4% | +648 |
| Eric Hosmer | SD | No | 95 | Madison Bumgarner | 13.2% | +659 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 13.1% | +661 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 93 | Michael Wacha | 13.1% | +661 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 92 | Pablo Lopez | 13.0% | +668 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | No | 110 | Patrick Corbin | 13.0% | +669 |
| Seby Zavala | CHW | No | 106 | Ross Stripling | 12.9% | +673 |
| Michael Taylor | KC | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 12.6% | +692 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 12.6% | +692 |
| Juan Yepez | STL | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 12.6% | +694 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 101 | Luis Garcia | 12.4% | +705 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 92 | Paul Blackburn | 12.4% | +709 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | 99 | Michael Wacha | 12.2% | +719 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 106 | Ross Stripling | 12.2% | +720 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | Yes | 99 | Tarik Skubal | 12.2% | +721 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 92 | Jerad Eickhoff | 12.1% | +725 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 110 | Tyler Wells | 12.1% | +729 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 95 | Jerad Eickhoff | 12.0% | +732 |
| Pavin Smith | ARI | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 12.0% | +732 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 112 | Tyler Wells | 12.0% | +733 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | Yes | 97 | Carlos Rodon | 12.0% | +736 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | Zack Wheeler | 11.9% | +737 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | No | 90 | Chad Kuhl | 11.9% | +741 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 11.9% | +741 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 93 | Michael Wacha | 11.8% | +747 |
| Alex Kirilloff | MIN | Yes | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 11.7% | +752 |
| Justin Upton | SEA | No | 94 | Paul Blackburn | 11.7% | +757 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 94 | Shane Baz | 11.7% | +757 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | No | 95 | Madison Bumgarner | 11.5% | +773 |
| Rafael Ortega | CHC | Yes | 95 | Jerad Eickhoff | 11.3% | +783 |
| David Peralta | ARI | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 11.3% | +783 |
| Didi Gregorius | PHI | Yes | 101 | Jon Gray | 11.2% | +793 |
| Brad Miller | TEX | Yes | 101 | Zack Wheeler | 11.2% | +793 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | Yes | 96 | Madison Bumgarner | 11.1% | +799 |
| Robbie Grossman | DET | Yes | 93 | Michael Wacha | 11.1% | +800 |
| Tucker Barnhart | DET | Yes | 93 | Michael Wacha | 11.1% | +800 |
| Christian Bethancourt | OAK | No | 94 | George Kirby | 11.0% | +810 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 94 | Shane Baz | 11.0% | +810 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | Yes | 94 | Jordan Montgomery | 10.9% | +816 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 98 | Triston McKenzie | 10.7% | +836 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 10.7% | +837 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 10.7% | +837 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 10.7% | +837 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 103 | Adam Wainwright | 10.4% | +861 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | No | 112 | Tyler Wells | 10.4% | +864 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 94 | Paul Blackburn | 10.3% | +871 |
| Andrew Velazquez | LAA | Yes | 103 | Daniel Lynch | 10.2% | +879 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | Yes | 94 | Jordan Montgomery | 10.2% | +883 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 112 | Patrick Corbin | 10.1% | +889 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | No | 92 | Keegan Thompson | 10.1% | +890 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Michael Wacha | 10.0% | +896 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | 99 | Michael Wacha | 10.0% | +896 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 98 | Triston McKenzie | 10.0% | +905 |
| Jonathan Villar | CHC | Yes | 95 | Jerad Eickhoff | 9.9% | +912 |
| Bobby Dalbec | BOS | Yes | 99 | Tarik Skubal | 9.9% | +914 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 101 | Zack Wheeler | 9.7% | +935 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 9.6% | +944 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 99 | Sonny Gray | 9.5% | +954 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 101 | Carlos Carrasco | 9.5% | +957 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 9.4% | +966 |
| Connor Joe | COL | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 9.2% | +984 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 98 | Triston McKenzie | 9.2% | +986 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | Yes | 112 | Patrick Corbin | 9.2% | +986 |
| Jason Heyward | CHC | Yes | 95 | Jerad Eickhoff | 9.1% | +993 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 9.1% | +993 |
| Matt Reynolds | CIN | Yes | 111 | Tyler Anderson | 9.1% | +995 |
| Albert Almora Jr. | CIN | Yes | 111 | Tyler Anderson | 9.1% | +995 |
| Danny Mendick | CHW | No | 106 | Ross Stripling | 9.1% | +1002 |
| Michael Brantley | HOU | Yes | 102 | Carlos Carrasco | 8.9% | +1018 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 113 | Luis Castillo | 8.9% | +1020 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | Yes | 97 | Carlos Rodon | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | Yes | 97 | Carlos Rodon | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | No | 103 | Adam Wainwright | 8.8% | +1031 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 96 | Madison Bumgarner | 8.8% | +1035 |
| Jose Azocar | SD | Yes | 96 | Madison Bumgarner | 8.8% | +1035 |
| Steven Kwan | CLE | Yes | 99 | Sonny Gray | 8.7% | +1048 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | No | 92 | Jerad Eickhoff | 8.7% | +1049 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Carlos Carrasco | 8.7% | +1051 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 101 | Carlos Carrasco | 8.7% | +1051 |
| Jose Siri | HOU | No | 101 | Carlos Carrasco | 8.7% | +1051 |
| Andrew Benintendi | KC | Yes | 108 | Shohei Ohtani | 8.6% | +1067 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 8.5% | +1072 |
| Jose Iglesias | COL | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 8.5% | +1072 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 98 | Sonny Gray | 8.5% | +1083 |
| Alfonso Rivas | CHC | Yes | 95 | Jerad Eickhoff | 8.4% | +1092 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 8.4% | +1094 |
| Luis Gonzalez | SF | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 8.4% | +1094 |
| Tyler Nevin | BAL | Yes | 112 | Patrick Corbin | 8.3% | +1109 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | Yes | 99 | Tarik Skubal | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Christian Vazquez | BOS | Yes | 99 | Tarik Skubal | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Ezequiel Duran | TEX | No | 95 | Zack Wheeler | 8.2% | +1117 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | No | 100 | Carlos Rodon | 8.1% | +1129 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 101 | Adam Wainwright | 8.1% | +1141 |
| Jace Peterson | MIL | Yes | 101 | Adam Wainwright | 8.1% | +1141 |
| Odubel Herrera | PHI | Yes | 101 | Jon Gray | 8.1% | +1141 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 101 | Zack Wheeler | 8.1% | +1141 |
| Austin Nola | SD | Yes | 96 | Madison Bumgarner | 8.0% | +1149 |
| Tomas Nido | NYM | No | 101 | Luis Garcia | 7.9% | +1167 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Yes | 110 | Tyler Wells | 7.8% | +1178 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 111 | Luis Castillo | 7.7% | +1195 |
| Austin Hedges | CLE | No | 98 | Sonny Gray | 7.7% | +1203 |
| Edmundo Sosa | STL | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 7.6% | +1212 |
| Josh Rojas | ARI | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 7.6% | +1212 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | ARI | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 7.6% | +1212 |
| Hoy Park | PIT | Yes | 95 | Keegan Thompson | 7.6% | +1212 |
| Bligh Madris | PIT | Yes | 95 | Keegan Thompson | 7.6% | +1212 |
| Curt Casali | SF | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 7.6% | +1215 |
| Robert Refsnyder | BOS | Yes | 99 | Tarik Skubal | 7.4% | +1253 |
| Jonah Bride | OAK | No | 94 | George Kirby | 7.4% | +1253 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | Zack Wheeler | 7.2% | +1282 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 90 | Chad Kuhl | 7.1% | +1309 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 94 | Jordan Montgomery | 7.0% | +1319 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | No | 93 | Tarik Skubal | 7.0% | +1334 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | No | 98 | Sonny Gray | 6.9% | +1352 |
| Nicky Lopez | KC | Yes | 108 | Shohei Ohtani | 6.8% | +1370 |
| Juan Lagares | LAA | Yes | 103 | Daniel Lynch | 6.8% | +1376 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 6.8% | +1380 |
| Victor Reyes | DET | Yes | 93 | Michael Wacha | 6.7% | +1392 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | Zack Wheeler | 6.7% | +1394 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 94 | Paul Blackburn | 6.6% | +1409 |
| Adam Engel | CHW | No | 106 | Ross Stripling | 6.5% | +1428 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | No | 95 | Madison Bumgarner | 6.4% | +1450 |
| Nick Senzel | CIN | Yes | 111 | Tyler Anderson | 6.3% | +1489 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | Yes | 94 | Jordan Montgomery | 6.2% | +1507 |
| Vidal Brujan | TB | Yes | 94 | Jordan Montgomery | 6.2% | +1507 |
| Gavin Lux | LAD | Yes | 113 | Luis Castillo | 6.1% | +1526 |
| Eddy Alvarez | LAD | Yes | 113 | Luis Castillo | 6.1% | +1526 |
| Owen Miller | CLE | No | 98 | Sonny Gray | 6.1% | +1544 |
| Gilberto Celestino | MIN | No | 98 | Triston McKenzie | 6.1% | +1544 |
| Raimel Tapia | TOR | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 6.0% | +1554 |
| Tyler Heineman | PIT | Yes | 95 | Keegan Thompson | 6.0% | +1556 |
