MLB Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 6/16/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash) to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.
Utilizing our projections as a guide and looking at the odds provided at MLB odds, here are some spots where you can find value today in the prop-betting market.
Here are some MLB player prop bets to make tonight.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.
Rhys Hoskins To Hit a Home Run (+235)
The Philadelphia Phillies have a juicy 5.14 implied run total tonight, which is the highest on the slate.
With plenty of power hitters in their lineup, the Phillies are in a spot to hit multiple home runs tonight due to a favorable matchup. They are going up against Patrick Corbin, who is allowing a .480 SLG, a 4.08 xFIP, 1.35 HR/90, a 39.2% hard-contact rate, and a 32.4% fly-ball rate to right-handed hitters this year. Corbin has been a home-run-prone pitcher for a few seasons, so we're going to attack him anytime he is on the slate.
We turn to Rhys Hoskins, who is locked in at the plate right now with six multi-hit games over his last 10 outings. For the season, Hoskins comes in with a 181 wRC+, a .359 ISO, a .437 wOBA, a massive 61.7% fly-ball rate, and a 44.7% hard-contact rate versus left-handed pitchers.
Those are unbelievable numbers overall, and it puts Hoskins in a spot to have a huge night. Realistically, if I'm looking to Hoskins for a home run, it's worth adding Hoskins To Record an RBI (+100) and Hoskins 2+ RBI (+340) as well.
Adolis Garcia To Record an RBI (+115)
The Texas Rangers are a good spot to look at for some player props tonight.
A 4.59 implied run total is solid for the Rangers, who are on the road to take on the lowly Detroit Tigers. We will see Beau Brieske take the mound, who is in his first year in the MLB. It's only a 47.2-inning sample size for Brieske, and it hasn't gone well for him. He is allowing a .383 wOBA, a .557 SLG, a 4.77 xFIP, 2.54 HR/9, a 40.8% fly-ball rate, and a 37.8% hard-contact rate versus right-handed hitters.
You can take those numbers with a grain of salt since the sample size is smaller, but sheesh, those are some bad numbers no matter how you spin it.
Adolis Garcia is hot right now with an active seven-game hitting streak. Five of those are multi-hit games. Overall this year, Garcia is sporting a 124 wRC+, a .213 ISO, a .338 wOBA, a 39.5% fly-ball rate, and a 38.7% hard-contact rate versus right-handed pitchers.
It's as good of a spot as you can imagine for a hot hitter, so I'm also adding Garcia 2+ RBI (+420).
