MLB

MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Thursday 6/9/22

Betting MLB player props or playing daily fantasy baseball? See who is most likely to homer, rack up the most strikeouts, and score the most runs today.

Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?

To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.

Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at FanDuel Sportsbook.

(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)

Team Run Total Projections

Team Opp SP O/U Implied
Total
5+ 6+ 7+ 8+ 9+
CINZach
Davies
10.05.3444.3%28.9%17.1%9.3%4.6%
ATLJT
Brubaker
8.55.1641.2%26.2%15.1%7.9%3.8%
CLEJames
Kaprielian
9.05.0639.5%24.7%14.0%7.2%3.4%
SFAustin
Gomber
8.04.8635.9%21.8%11.9%5.9%2.7%
KCJordan
Lyles
9.54.7934.7%20.8%11.2%5.5%2.5%
BALKris
Bubic
9.54.7133.3%19.7%10.5%5.1%2.2%
ARITyler
Mahle
10.04.6632.5%19.0%10.0%4.8%2.1%
NYYDylan
Bundy
8.04.6231.8%18.5%9.7%4.6%2.0%
MIAStephen
Strasburg
8.54.5430.4%17.4%9.0%4.2%1.8%
LADDylan
Cease
8.54.3927.8%15.5%7.8%3.5%1.5%
LAANick
Pivetta
8.04.1523.9%12.7%6.1%2.6%1.0%
CHWTyler
Anderson
8.54.1123.2%12.2%5.8%2.5%1.0%
WSHTrevor
Rogers
8.53.9620.9%10.7%4.9%2.0%0.8%
OAKKonnor
Pilkington
9.03.9420.6%10.5%4.8%2.0%0.7%
TBMiles
Mikolas
7.03.9320.4%10.4%4.7%1.9%0.7%
MILZach
Eflin
7.03.8819.6%9.9%4.4%1.8%0.7%
BOSShohei
Ohtani
8.03.8519.2%9.6%4.3%1.7%0.6%
MINGerrit
Cole
8.03.3812.7%5.6%2.2%0.8%0.3%
PITMax
Fried
8.53.3412.2%5.4%2.1%0.7%0.2%
COLLogan
Webb
8.03.149.9%4.1%1.5%0.5%0.2%
PHICorbin
Burnes
7.03.129.6%4.0%1.5%0.5%0.1%
STLShane
McClanahan
7.03.079.1%3.7%1.3%0.4%0.1%

Pitcher Strikeout Projections

Pitcher Opp K
Proj
3+ 4+ 5+ 6+ 7+ 8+ 9+
Corbin
Burnes
PHI7.794.8%88.1%77.9%64.7%50.3%36.4%24.6%
Gerrit
Cole
MIN7.594.1%86.8%75.9%62.2%47.5%33.8%22.4%
Dylan
Cease
LAD7.091.6%82.2%69.3%54.3%39.4%26.4%16.4%
Shohei
Ohtani
BOS6.790.4%80.2%66.5%51.1%36.3%23.8%14.4%
Shane
McClanahan
STL6.689.5%78.7%64.5%48.9%34.2%22.0%13.1%
Max
Fried
PIT6.487.7%75.9%60.9%45.0%30.5%19.1%11.0%
Tyler
Mahle
ARI6.286.5%74.0%58.4%42.4%28.3%17.3%9.8%
Zach
Eflin
MIL5.983.8%69.9%53.5%37.4%24.0%14.1%7.6%
Nick
Pivetta
LAA5.681.2%66.1%49.2%33.3%20.6%11.6%6.0%
Logan
Webb
COL5.580.3%64.9%47.8%32.0%19.5%10.9%5.6%
Tyler
Anderson
CHW5.377.3%60.9%43.5%28.1%16.5%8.9%4.4%
Trevor
Rogers
WSH5.276.1%59.2%41.7%26.6%15.4%8.1%3.9%
Konnor
Pilkington
OAK4.870.1%51.8%34.4%20.5%11.0%5.4%2.4%
Jordan
Lyles
KC4.768.2%49.6%32.3%18.9%9.9%4.8%2.1%
JT
Brubaker
ATL4.668.1%49.4%32.1%18.7%9.9%4.7%2.1%
Stephen
Strasburg
MIA4.666.6%47.7%30.6%17.5%9.1%4.3%1.8%
James
Kaprielian
CLE4.260.3%40.8%24.5%13.1%6.3%2.8%1.1%
Dylan
Bundy
NYY4.158.4%38.9%22.9%12.0%5.7%2.4%0.9%
Austin
Gomber
SF4.056.7%37.1%21.5%11.1%5.1%2.1%0.8%
Zach
Davies
CIN4.056.3%36.7%21.2%10.9%5.0%2.1%0.8%
Miles
Mikolas
TB4.055.7%36.1%20.7%10.6%4.8%2.0%0.7%
Kris
Bubic
BAL3.751.0%31.7%17.3%8.4%3.6%1.4%0.5%

Daily Batter Home Run Projections

You can view all MLB game and prop odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Batter Team Platoon? Opp
Pitcher
Proj
HR
HR
Probability
xHR
Odds
Mike
Trout
LAANoNick
Pivetta
0.4327.2%+268
Giancarlo
Stanton
NYYNoDylan
Bundy
0.4226.8%+273
Joey
Gallo
NYYYesDylan
Bundy
0.4226.8%+273
Aaron
Judge
NYYNoDylan
Bundy
0.3825.2%+297
Jared
Walsh
LAAYesNick
Pivetta
0.3222.4%+345
C.J.
Cron
COLNoLogan
Webb
0.3021.4%+366
Kyle
Schwarber
PHIYesCorbin
Burnes
0.3021.4%+366
Mike
Yastrzemski
SFNoAustin
Gomber
0.3021.4%+366
Anthony
Rizzo
NYYYesDylan
Bundy
0.2920.9%+378
Jordan
Luplow
ARINoTyler
Mahle
0.2920.9%+378
Austin
Hays
BALYesKris
Bubic
0.2920.9%+378
Ronald
Acuna
ATLNoJT
Brubaker
0.2920.9%+378
J.D.
Martinez
BOSNoShohei
Ohtani
0.2820.4%+390
Jose
Ramirez
CLEYesJames
Kaprielian
0.2820.4%+390
Rougned
Odor
BALNoKris
Bubic
0.2820.4%+390
Byron
Buxton
MINNoGerrit
Cole
0.2820.4%+390
Ryan
Mountcastle
BALYesKris
Bubic
0.2820.4%+390
Mookie
Betts
LADNoDylan
Cease
0.2719.9%+403
Salvador
Perez
KCNoJordan
Lyles
0.2619.3%+418
Travis
d'Arnaud
ATLNoJT
Brubaker
0.2619.3%+418
Jorge
Soler
MIANoStephen
Strasburg
0.2518.7%+433
Ketel
Marte
ARIYesTyler
Mahle
0.2518.7%+433
Willy
Adames
MILNoZach
Eflin
0.2518.7%+433
Bryce
Harper
PHIYesCorbin
Burnes
0.2418.2%+450
Evan
Longoria
SFYesAustin
Gomber
0.2317.6%+469
Trea
Turner
LADNoDylan
Cease
0.2317.6%+469
Rafael
Devers
BOSYesShohei
Ohtani
0.2317.6%+469
Rhys
Hoskins
PHINoCorbin
Burnes
0.2317.6%+469
Cedric
Mullins
BALYesKris
Bubic
0.2317.6%+469
Lane
Thomas
WSHYesTrevor
Rogers
0.2317.6%+469
Dansby
Swanson
ATLNoJT
Brubaker
0.2217.0%+489
Anthony
Santander
BALYesKris
Bubic
0.2217.0%+489
Austin
Riley
ATLNoJT
Brubaker
0.2217.0%+489
Will
Smith
LADNoDylan
Cease
0.2217.0%+489
Marcell
Ozuna
ATLNoJT
Brubaker
0.2116.4%+511
Carlos
Correa
MINNoGerrit
Cole
0.2116.4%+511
Brett
Phillips
TBYesMiles
Mikolas
0.2116.4%+511
Shohei
Ohtani
LAAYesNick
Pivetta
0.2116.4%+511
Jo
Adell
LAANoNick
Pivetta
0.2116.4%+511
TJ
Friedl
CINYesZach
Davies
0.2116.4%+511
Freddie
Freeman
LADYesDylan
Cease
0.2015.7%+536
Nelson
Cruz
WSHYesTrevor
Rogers
0.2015.7%+536
Mike
Zunino
TBNoMiles
Mikolas
0.2015.7%+536
Matt
Olson
ATLYesJT
Brubaker
0.2015.7%+536
Jose
Trevino
NYYNoDylan
Bundy
0.2015.7%+536
Rowdy
Tellez
MILYesZach
Eflin
0.2015.7%+536
Daulton
Varsho
ARIYesTyler
Mahle
0.2015.7%+536
Andrew
McCutchen
MILNoZach
Eflin
0.1915.1%+563
Brandon
Crawford
SFNoAustin
Gomber
0.1915.1%+563
Joey
Votto
CINYesZach
Davies
0.1915.1%+563
Wilmer
Flores
SFYesAustin
Gomber
0.1915.1%+563
Jesus
Aguilar
MIANoStephen
Strasburg
0.1915.1%+563
Curt
Casali
SFYesAustin
Gomber
0.1915.1%+563
Trevor
Story
BOSNoShohei
Ohtani
0.1915.1%+563
Luis
Urias
MILNoZach
Eflin
0.1915.1%+563
Jake
Burger
CHWYesTyler
Anderson
0.1915.1%+563
Xander
Bogaerts
BOSNoShohei
Ohtani
0.1814.4%+593
David
Peralta
ARIYesTyler
Mahle
0.1814.4%+593
Joc
Pederson
SFNoAustin
Gomber
0.1814.4%+593
Trey
Mancini
BALYesKris
Bubic
0.1814.4%+593
Hunter
Dozier
KCNoJordan
Lyles
0.1814.4%+593
Brendan
Rodgers
COLNoLogan
Webb
0.1814.4%+593
Andrew
Vaughn
CHWYesTyler
Anderson
0.1814.4%+593
MJ
Melendez
KCYesJordan
Lyles
0.1814.4%+593
Josh
Donaldson
NYYNoDylan
Bundy
0.1713.8%+627
Brandon
Drury
CINNoZach
Davies
0.1713.8%+627
Amed
Rosario
CLENoJames
Kaprielian
0.1713.8%+627
Ozzie
Albies
ATLYesJT
Brubaker
0.1713.8%+627
Juan
Soto
WSHNoTrevor
Rogers
0.1713.8%+627
Josh
Naylor
CLEYesJames
Kaprielian
0.1713.8%+627
Sean
Murphy
OAKYesKonnor
Pilkington
0.1713.8%+627
Luis
Robert
CHWYesTyler
Anderson
0.1713.8%+627
Tyler
Stephenson
CINNoZach
Davies
0.1713.8%+627
Brandon
Marsh
LAAYesNick
Pivetta
0.1713.8%+627
Jed
Lowrie
OAKYesKonnor
Pilkington
0.1613.1%+665
Max
Stassi
LAANoNick
Pivetta
0.1613.1%+665
Jose
Abreu
CHWYesTyler
Anderson
0.1613.1%+665
Josh
Bell
WSHYesTrevor
Rogers
0.1613.1%+665
Ji-Man
Choi
TBYesMiles
Mikolas
0.1613.1%+665
Colin
Moran
CINYesZach
Davies
0.1613.1%+665
Jacob
Stallings
MIANoStephen
Strasburg
0.1613.1%+665
Chad
Pinder
OAKYesKonnor
Pilkington
0.1613.1%+665
Kyle
Farmer
CINNoZach
Davies
0.1613.1%+665
Ramon
Urias
BALYesKris
Bubic
0.1613.1%+665
Yadiel
Hernandez
WSHNoTrevor
Rogers
0.1613.1%+665
Trevor
Larnach
MINYesGerrit
Cole
0.1613.1%+665
Bobby
Witt
Jr.
KCNoJordan
Lyles
0.1613.1%+665
Elvis
Andrus
OAKYesKonnor
Pilkington
0.1512.4%+709
A.J.
Pollock
CHWYesTyler
Anderson
0.1512.4%+709
Tommy
Pham
CINNoZach
Davies
0.1512.4%+709
Max
Muncy
LADYesDylan
Cease
0.1512.4%+709
Austin
Hedges
CLENoJames
Kaprielian
0.1512.4%+709
Hunter
Renfroe
MILNoZach
Eflin
0.1512.4%+709
Cody
Bellinger
LADYesDylan
Cease
0.1512.4%+709
Connor
Joe
COLNoLogan
Webb
0.1512.4%+709
Michael
Chavis
PITYesMax
Fried
0.1512.4%+709
Andres
Gimenez
CLEYesJames
Kaprielian
0.1512.4%+709
Juan
Yepez
STLYesShane
McClanahan
0.1512.4%+709
DJ
LeMahieu
NYYNoDylan
Bundy
0.1411.7%+758
Paul
Goldschmidt
STLYesShane
McClanahan
0.1411.7%+758
Yasmani
Grandal
CHWYesTyler
Anderson
0.1411.7%+758
Matt
Davidson
OAKYesKonnor
Pilkington
0.1411.7%+758
Nick
Castellanos
PHINoCorbin
Burnes
0.1411.7%+758
Christian
Arroyo
BOSNoShohei
Ohtani
0.1411.7%+758
Tyrone
Taylor
MILNoZach
Eflin
0.1411.7%+758
Nolan
Arenado
STLYesShane
McClanahan
0.1310.9%+815
Tommy
La
Stella
SFNoAustin
Gomber
0.1310.9%+815
Adam
Duvall
ATLNoJT
Brubaker
0.1310.9%+815
Austin
Barnes
LADNoDylan
Cease
0.1310.9%+815
Gary
Sanchez
MINNoGerrit
Cole
0.1310.9%+815
Victor
Caratini
MILYesZach
Eflin
0.1310.9%+815
Randy
Arozarena
TBNoMiles
Mikolas
0.1310.9%+815
Jazz
Chisholm
MIAYesStephen
Strasburg
0.1310.9%+815
Emmanuel
Rivera
KCNoJordan
Lyles
0.1310.9%+815
Albert
Pujols
STLYesShane
McClanahan
0.1210.2%+882
Charlie
Blackmon
COLYesLogan
Webb
0.1210.2%+882
Jose
Iglesias
COLNoLogan
Webb
0.1210.2%+882
Justin
Turner
LADNoDylan
Cease
0.1210.2%+882
Jorge
Polanco
MINYesGerrit
Cole
0.1210.2%+882
Michael
Taylor
KCNoJordan
Lyles
0.1210.2%+882
Maikel
Franco
WSHYesTrevor
Rogers
0.1210.2%+882
Garrett
Cooper
MIANoStephen
Strasburg
0.1210.2%+882
Tyler
O'Neill
STLYesShane
McClanahan
0.1210.2%+882
Bryan
Reynolds
PITYesMax
Fried
0.1210.2%+882
Tucupita
Marcano
PITNoMax
Fried
0.1210.2%+882
Alek
Thomas
ARIYesTyler
Mahle
0.1210.2%+882
Elias
Diaz
COLNoLogan
Webb
0.119.4%+961
Matt
Reynolds
CINNoZach
Davies
0.119.4%+961
Franchy
Cordero
BOSYesShohei
Ohtani
0.119.4%+961
Harrison
Bader
STLYesShane
McClanahan
0.119.4%+961
Danny
Mendick
CHWYesTyler
Anderson
0.119.4%+961
Jorge
Mateo
BALYesKris
Bubic
0.119.4%+961
Luis
Garcia
WSHYesTrevor
Rogers
0.119.4%+961
Adley
Rutschman
BALYesKris
Bubic
0.119.4%+961
Luke
Williams
MIANoStephen
Strasburg
0.119.4%+961
Vidal
Brujan
TBYesMiles
Mikolas
0.119.4%+961
Avisail
Garcia
MIANoStephen
Strasburg
0.108.6%+1056
Didi
Gregorius
PHIYesCorbin
Burnes
0.108.6%+1056
Christian
Yelich
MILYesZach
Eflin
0.108.6%+1056
Kevin
Kiermaier
TBYesMiles
Mikolas
0.108.6%+1056
Randal
Grichuk
COLNoLogan
Webb
0.108.6%+1056
Gio
Urshela
MINNoGerrit
Cole
0.108.6%+1056
Max
Kepler
MINYesGerrit
Cole
0.108.6%+1056
Whit
Merrifield
KCNoJordan
Lyles
0.108.6%+1056
Andrew
Benintendi
KCYesJordan
Lyles
0.108.6%+1056
Tyler
Wade
LAAYesNick
Pivetta
0.108.6%+1056
Jon
Berti
MIANoStephen
Strasburg
0.108.6%+1056
Yu
Chang
PITYesMax
Fried
0.108.6%+1056
Alec
Bohm
PHINoCorbin
Burnes
0.108.6%+1056
Jace
Peterson
MILYesZach
Eflin
0.097.9%+1173
Christian
Walker
ARINoTyler
Mahle
0.097.9%+1173
Manuel
Margot
TBNoMiles
Mikolas
0.097.9%+1173
Yandy
Diaz
TBNoMiles
Mikolas
0.097.9%+1173
Andrew
Velazquez
LAAYesNick
Pivetta
0.097.9%+1173
Myles
Straw
CLENoJames
Kaprielian
0.097.9%+1173
Tommy
Edman
STLYesShane
McClanahan
0.097.9%+1173
Josh
Rojas
ARIYesTyler
Mahle
0.097.9%+1173
Ke'Bryan
Hayes
PITYesMax
Fried
0.097.9%+1173
Owen
Miller
CLENoJames
Kaprielian
0.097.9%+1173
Kevin
Smith
OAKYesKonnor
Pilkington
0.097.9%+1173
Jack
Suwinski
PITNoMax
Fried
0.097.9%+1173
Michael
Harris
II
ATLYesJT
Brubaker
0.097.9%+1173
Josh
Harrison
CHWYesTyler
Anderson
0.087.1%+1318
Aaron
Hicks
NYYYesDylan
Bundy
0.087.1%+1318
Cesar
Hernandez
WSHYesTrevor
Rogers
0.087.1%+1318
Adam
Engel
CHWYesTyler
Anderson
0.087.1%+1318
Ramon
Laureano
OAKYesKonnor
Pilkington
0.087.1%+1318
Pavin
Smith
ARIYesTyler
Mahle
0.087.1%+1318
Geraldo
Perdomo
ARIYesTyler
Mahle
0.087.1%+1318
Taylor
Walls
TBYesMiles
Mikolas
0.087.1%+1318
Edmundo
Sosa
STLYesShane
McClanahan
0.076.2%+1506
Luis
Gonzalez
SFYesAustin
Gomber
0.076.2%+1506
Oscar
Gonzalez
CLENoJames
Kaprielian
0.076.2%+1506
Travis
Swaggerty
PITNoMax
Fried
0.076.2%+1506