MLB

MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Monday 5/23/22

Betting MLB player props or playing daily fantasy baseball? See who is most likely to homer, rack up the most strikeouts, and score the most runs today.

Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?

To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.

Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and betting opportunities at FanDuel Sportsbook.

(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)

Team Run Total Projections

Team Opp SP O/U Implied
Total
5+ 6+ 7+ 8+ 9+
LADJoan
Adon
9.05.2743.1%27.8%16.3%8.7%4.3%
HOUZach
Plesac
8.54.8936.5%22.2%12.2%6.1%2.8%
CHCVladimir
Gutierrez
9.04.7333.7%19.9%10.7%5.2%2.3%
NYYJordan
Lyles
7.54.7133.3%19.7%10.5%5.1%2.2%
MINBeau
Brieske
8.04.5831.1%17.9%9.3%4.4%1.9%
PHITucker
Davidson
8.54.4829.4%16.6%8.5%3.9%1.7%
ARIZack
Greinke
8.54.3226.7%14.7%7.3%3.2%1.3%
SFDavid
Peterson
8.04.3026.3%14.4%7.1%3.2%1.3%
CINDrew
Smyly
9.04.2725.8%14.1%6.9%3.1%1.2%
KCZach
Davies
8.54.1824.4%13.0%6.3%2.7%1.1%
SDAdrian
Houser
8.04.0422.1%11.5%5.4%2.3%0.9%
ATLZack
Wheeler
8.54.0221.8%11.3%5.2%2.2%0.8%
MILNick
Martinez
8.03.9620.9%10.7%4.9%2.0%0.8%
PITChad
Kuhl
7.53.9120.1%10.2%4.6%1.9%0.7%
STLJose
Berrios
7.53.8919.8%10.0%4.5%1.8%0.7%
SEAZach
Logue
7.03.8819.6%9.9%4.4%1.8%0.7%
WSHTyler
Anderson
9.03.7317.4%8.4%3.7%1.4%0.5%
NYMAlex
Cobb
8.03.7017.0%8.2%3.5%1.4%0.5%
CLELuis
Garcia
8.53.6115.7%7.4%3.1%1.2%0.4%
TORMiles
Mikolas
7.53.6115.7%7.4%3.1%1.2%0.4%
COLJT
Brubaker
7.53.5915.5%7.2%3.0%1.1%0.4%
DETChris
Archer
8.03.4213.2%5.9%2.4%0.9%0.3%
OAKMarco
Gonzales
7.03.129.6%4.0%1.5%0.5%0.1%
BALGerrit
Cole
7.52.796.4%2.4%0.8%0.2%0.1%

Pitcher Strikeout Projections

Pitcher Opp K
Proj
3+ 4+ 5+ 6+ 7+ 8+ 9+
Gerrit
Cole
BAL7.794.7%88.1%77.8%64.6%50.2%36.3%24.5%
Zack
Wheeler
ATL6.488.3%76.8%62.1%46.2%31.7%20.0%11.7%
Luis
Garcia
CLE5.580.2%64.7%47.6%31.9%19.4%10.8%5.5%
Jose
Berrios
STL5.580.1%64.6%47.5%31.7%19.3%10.7%5.5%
JT
Brubaker
COL5.275.8%58.9%41.4%26.3%15.2%8.0%3.8%
Alex
Cobb
NYM5.175.0%57.9%40.3%25.4%14.5%7.6%3.6%
Nick
Martinez
MIL5.174.7%57.5%40.0%25.1%14.3%7.4%3.5%
Tyler
Anderson
WSH4.769.2%50.7%33.3%19.7%10.5%5.1%2.2%
Jordan
Lyles
NYY4.667.3%48.5%31.3%18.1%9.4%4.5%1.9%
Adrian
Houser
SD4.666.9%48.1%30.9%17.8%9.2%4.4%1.9%
Marco
Gonzales
OAK4.261.0%41.6%25.2%13.6%6.6%2.9%1.2%
David
Peterson
SF4.260.5%41.0%24.7%13.3%6.4%2.8%1.1%
Joan
Adon
LAD4.260.1%40.6%24.4%13.0%6.3%2.7%1.1%
Tucker
Davidson
PHI4.259.7%40.2%24.0%12.8%6.1%2.7%1.0%
Chad
Kuhl
PIT4.259.5%40.0%23.9%12.7%6.1%2.6%1.0%
Drew
Smyly
CIN4.159.2%39.7%23.6%12.5%5.9%2.5%1.0%
Miles
Mikolas
TOR4.158.0%38.5%22.6%11.8%5.5%2.4%0.9%
Zach
Davies
KC4.158.0%38.5%22.6%11.8%5.5%2.4%0.9%
Beau
Brieske
MIN4.057.2%37.7%22.0%11.4%5.3%2.2%0.9%
Zach
Plesac
HOU4.057.0%37.5%21.8%11.3%5.2%2.2%0.8%
Zach
Logue
SEA4.056.3%36.7%21.2%10.9%5.0%2.1%0.8%
Chris
Archer
DET3.955.1%35.6%20.2%10.3%4.7%1.9%0.7%
Zack
Greinke
ARI3.749.7%30.5%16.4%7.8%3.3%1.3%0.5%
Vladimir
Gutierrez
CHC3.648.9%29.7%15.9%7.5%3.2%1.2%0.4%

Daily Batter Home Run Projections

You can view all home run props at FanDuel Sportsbook here.

Batter Team Bats Pitcher Platoon? Opp
Pitcher
Proj
HR
HR
Probability
xHR
Odds
Bryce
Harper
PHILLNoTucker
Davidson
0.3825.2%+297
Hunter
Renfroe
MILRRNoNick
Martinez
0.3624.3%+311
Byron
Buxton
MINRRNoBeau
Brieske
0.3423.4%+327
Eugenio
Suarez
SEARLYesZach
Logue
0.3021.4%+366
C.J.
Cron
COLRRNoJT
Brubaker
0.3021.4%+366
Kyle
Schwarber
PHILLNoTucker
Davidson
0.2920.9%+378
Patrick
Wisdom
CHCRRNoVladimir
Gutierrez
0.2920.9%+378
Chas
McCormick
HOURRNoZach
Plesac
0.2920.9%+378
Jose
Ramirez
CLEBRYesLuis
Garcia
0.2820.4%+390
Vladimir
Guerrero
Jr.
TORRRNoMiles
Mikolas
0.2820.4%+390
Jose
Altuve
HOURRNoZach
Plesac
0.2719.9%+403
Mookie
Betts
LADRRNoJoan
Adon
0.2719.9%+403
Nolan
Arenado
STLRRNoJose
Berrios
0.2619.3%+418
Nick
Castellanos
PHIRLYesTucker
Davidson
0.2619.3%+418
Ryan
McMahon
COLLRYesJT
Brubaker
0.2619.3%+418
Frank
Schwindel
CHCRRNoVladimir
Gutierrez
0.2619.3%+418
Daulton
Varsho
ARILRYesZack
Greinke
0.2619.3%+418
Anthony
Rizzo
NYYLRYesJordan
Lyles
0.2518.7%+433
Joc
Pederson
SFLLNoDavid
Peterson
0.2518.7%+433
Max
Muncy
LADLRYesJoan
Adon
0.2518.7%+433
Giancarlo
Stanton
NYYRRNoJordan
Lyles
0.2418.2%+450
Juan
Soto
WSHLLNoTyler
Anderson
0.2418.2%+450
Robbie
Grossman
DETBRYesChris
Archer
0.2317.6%+469
George
Springer
TORRRNoMiles
Mikolas
0.2317.6%+469
Aaron
Judge
NYYRRNoJordan
Lyles
0.2317.6%+469
Jesse
Winker
SEALLNoZach
Logue
0.2317.6%+469
Rowdy
Tellez
MILLRYesNick
Martinez
0.2317.6%+469
Austin
Riley
ATLRRNoZack
Wheeler
0.2317.6%+469
LaMonte
Wade
Jr
SFLLNoDavid
Peterson
0.2317.6%+469
Christian
Yelich
MILLRYesNick
Martinez
0.2217.0%+489
Hunter
Dozier
KCRRNoZach
Davies
0.2217.0%+489
Yordan
Alvarez
HOULRYesZach
Plesac
0.2217.0%+489
Sean
Murphy
OAKRLYesMarco
Gonzales
0.2217.0%+489
Christian
Walker
ARIRRNoZack
Greinke
0.2116.4%+511
Carlos
Correa
MINRRNoBeau
Brieske
0.2116.4%+511
Tyler
Naquin
CINLLNoDrew
Smyly
0.2116.4%+511
Chad
Pinder
OAKRLYesMarco
Gonzales
0.2116.4%+511
Rhys
Hoskins
PHIRLYesTucker
Davidson
0.2116.4%+511
Will
Smith
LADRRNoJoan
Adon
0.2116.4%+511
Bo
Bichette
TORRRNoMiles
Mikolas
0.2116.4%+511
Tyler
Stephenson
CINRLYesDrew
Smyly
0.2116.4%+511
Randal
Grichuk
COLRRNoJT
Brubaker
0.2015.7%+536
Gary
Sanchez
MINRRNoBeau
Brieske
0.2015.7%+536
Ian
Happ
CHCBRYesVladimir
Gutierrez
0.2015.7%+536
Luis
Urias
MILRRNoNick
Martinez
0.2015.7%+536
Charlie
Blackmon
COLLRYesJT
Brubaker
0.1915.1%+563
Rafael
Ortega
CHCLRYesVladimir
Gutierrez
0.1915.1%+563
Marcell
Ozuna
ATLRRNoZack
Wheeler
0.1915.1%+563
Javier
Baez
DETRRNoChris
Archer
0.1915.1%+563
Cody
Bellinger
LADLRYesJoan
Adon
0.1915.1%+563
Matt
Chapman
TORRRNoMiles
Mikolas
0.1915.1%+563
Danny
Jansen
TORRRNoMiles
Mikolas
0.1915.1%+563
Pete
Alonso
NYMRRNoAlex
Cobb
0.1915.1%+563
Geraldo
Perdomo
ARIBRYesZack
Greinke
0.1915.1%+563
Spencer
Torkelson
DETRRNoChris
Archer
0.1915.1%+563
Alek
Thomas
ARILRYesZack
Greinke
0.1915.1%+563
DJ
LeMahieu
NYYRRNoJordan
Lyles
0.1814.4%+593
Joey
Votto
CINLLNoDrew
Smyly
0.1814.4%+593
Mike
Moustakas
CINLLNoDrew
Smyly
0.1814.4%+593
Nelson
Cruz
WSHRLYesTyler
Anderson
0.1814.4%+593
Manny
Machado
SDRRNoAdrian
Houser
0.1814.4%+593
J.T.
Realmuto
PHIRLYesTucker
Davidson
0.1814.4%+593
Kyle
Tucker
HOULRYesZach
Plesac
0.1814.4%+593
Michael
Brosseau
MILRRNoNick
Martinez
0.1814.4%+593
Ryan
Mountcastle
BALRRNoGerrit
Cole
0.1814.4%+593
Kevin
Smith
OAKRLYesMarco
Gonzales
0.1814.4%+593
Seiya
Suzuki
CHCRRNoVladimir
Gutierrez
0.1814.4%+593
Freddie
Freeman
LADLRYesJoan
Adon
0.1713.8%+627
Wilmer
Flores
SFRLYesDavid
Peterson
0.1713.8%+627
Chris
Taylor
LADRRNoJoan
Adon
0.1713.8%+627
Max
Kepler
MINLRYesBeau
Brieske
0.1713.8%+627
Josh
Bell
WSHBLYesTyler
Anderson
0.1713.8%+627
Willson
Contreras
CHCRRNoVladimir
Gutierrez
0.1713.8%+627
Ronald
Acuna
ATLRRNoZack
Wheeler
0.1713.8%+627
Franmil
Reyes
CLERRNoLuis
Garcia
0.1713.8%+627
Tommy
Edman
STLBRYesJose
Berrios
0.1713.8%+627
Andrew
McCutchen
MILRRNoNick
Martinez
0.1613.1%+665
Justin
Turner
LADRRNoJoan
Adon
0.1613.1%+665
Tucker
Barnhart
DETBRYesChris
Archer
0.1613.1%+665
Elias
Diaz
COLRRNoJT
Brubaker
0.1613.1%+665
Taylor
Motter
CINRLYesDrew
Smyly
0.1613.1%+665
Teoscar
Hernandez
TORRRNoMiles
Mikolas
0.1613.1%+665
Cedric
Mullins
BALBRYesGerrit
Cole
0.1613.1%+665
Alfonso
Rivas
CHCLRYesVladimir
Gutierrez
0.1613.1%+665
Alcides
Escobar
WSHRLYesTyler
Anderson
0.1512.4%+709
Miguel
Cabrera
DETRRNoChris
Archer
0.1512.4%+709
Austin
Hedges
CLERRNoLuis
Garcia
0.1512.4%+709
Trea
Turner
LADRRNoJoan
Adon
0.1512.4%+709
J.P.
Crawford
SEALLNoZach
Logue
0.1512.4%+709
Brendan
Rodgers
COLRRNoJT
Brubaker
0.1512.4%+709
Bobby
Witt
Jr.
KCRRNoZach
Davies
0.1512.4%+709
Brendan
Donovan
STLLRYesJose
Berrios
0.1512.4%+709
Jose
Miranda
MINRRNoBeau
Brieske
0.1512.4%+709
David
Peralta
ARILRYesZack
Greinke
0.1411.7%+758
Odubel
Herrera
PHILLNoTucker
Davidson
0.1411.7%+758
Ben
Gamel
PITLRYesChad
Kuhl
0.1411.7%+758
Alex
Bregman
HOURRNoZach
Plesac
0.1411.7%+758
Luke
Voit
SDRRNoAdrian
Houser
0.1411.7%+758
Austin
Hays
BALRRNoGerrit
Cole
0.1411.7%+758
Ty
France
SEARLYesZach
Logue
0.1411.7%+758
Josh
Rojas
ARILRYesZack
Greinke
0.1411.7%+758
MJ
Melendez
KCLRYesZach
Davies
0.1411.7%+758
Eduardo
Escobar
NYMBRYesAlex
Cobb
0.1310.9%+815
Jose
Iglesias
COLRRNoJT
Brubaker
0.1310.9%+815
Maikel
Franco
WSHRLYesTyler
Anderson
0.1310.9%+815
Ozzie
Albies
ATLBRYesZack
Wheeler
0.1310.9%+815
Gleyber
Torres
NYYRRNoJordan
Lyles
0.1310.9%+815
Lourdes
Gurriel
TORRRNoMiles
Mikolas
0.1310.9%+815
Bryan
Reynolds
PITBRYesChad
Kuhl
0.1310.9%+815
Keibert
Ruiz
WSHBLYesTyler
Anderson
0.1310.9%+815
Rodolfo
Castro
PITBRYesChad
Kuhl
0.1310.9%+815
Julio
Rodriguez
SEARLYesZach
Logue
0.1310.9%+815
Carlos
Santana
KCBRYesZach
Davies
0.1210.2%+882
Evan
Longoria
SFRLYesDavid
Peterson
0.1210.2%+882
Paul
Goldschmidt
STLRRNoJose
Berrios
0.1210.2%+882
Josh
Donaldson
NYYRRNoJordan
Lyles
0.1210.2%+882
Jorge
Polanco
MINBRYesBeau
Brieske
0.1210.2%+882
Tommy
Pham
CINRLYesDrew
Smyly
0.1210.2%+882
Matt
Reynolds
CINRLYesDrew
Smyly
0.1210.2%+882
Andrew
Benintendi
KCLRYesZach
Davies
0.1210.2%+882
Amed
Rosario
CLERRNoLuis
Garcia
0.1210.2%+882
Ramon
Laureano
OAKRLYesMarco
Gonzales
0.1210.2%+882
Connor
Joe
COLRRNoJT
Brubaker
0.1210.2%+882
Josh
VanMeter
PITLRYesChad
Kuhl
0.1210.2%+882
Taylor
Trammell
SEALLNoZach
Logue
0.1210.2%+882
Emmanuel
Rivera
KCRRNoZach
Davies
0.1210.2%+882
Jed
Lowrie
OAKBLYesMarco
Gonzales
0.119.4%+961
Wil
Myers
SDRRNoAdrian
Houser
0.119.4%+961
Rougned
Odor
BALLRYesGerrit
Cole
0.119.4%+961
Adam
Duvall
ATLRRNoZack
Wheeler
0.119.4%+961
Gio
Urshela
MINRRNoBeau
Brieske
0.119.4%+961
Francisco
Lindor
NYMBRYesAlex
Cobb
0.119.4%+961
Jeimer
Candelario
DETBRYesChris
Archer
0.119.4%+961
Matt
Olson
ATLLRYesZack
Wheeler
0.119.4%+961
Harrison
Bader
STLRRNoJose
Berrios
0.119.4%+961
Mike
Ford
SEALLNoZach
Logue
0.119.4%+961
Andres
Gimenez
CLELRYesLuis
Garcia
0.119.4%+961
Alejandro
Kirk
TORRRNoMiles
Mikolas
0.119.4%+961
Owen
Miller
CLERRNoLuis
Garcia
0.119.4%+961
Cal
Raleigh
SEABLYesZach
Logue
0.119.4%+961
Martin
Maldonado
HOURRNoZach
Plesac
0.108.6%+1056
Yadier
Molina
STLRRNoJose
Berrios
0.108.6%+1056
Jean
Segura
PHIRLYesTucker
Davidson
0.108.6%+1056
Travis
d'Arnaud
ATLRRNoZack
Wheeler
0.108.6%+1056
Kolten
Wong
MILLRYesNick
Martinez
0.108.6%+1056
Christian
Bethancourt
OAKRLYesMarco
Gonzales
0.108.6%+1056
Trey
Mancini
BALRRNoGerrit
Cole
0.108.6%+1056
Whit
Merrifield
KCRRNoZach
Davies
0.108.6%+1056
Anthony
Santander
BALBRYesGerrit
Cole
0.108.6%+1056
Grayson
Greiner
ARIRRNoZack
Greinke
0.108.6%+1056
Jose
Trevino
NYYRRNoJordan
Lyles
0.108.6%+1056
Myles
Straw
CLERRNoLuis
Garcia
0.108.6%+1056
Oscar
Mercado
CLERRNoLuis
Garcia
0.108.6%+1056
Dylan
Carlson
STLBRYesJose
Berrios
0.108.6%+1056
Yoshitomo
Tsutsugo
PITLRYesChad
Kuhl
0.108.6%+1056
Joey
Bart
SFRLYesDavid
Peterson
0.108.6%+1056
Derek
Hill
DETRRNoChris
Archer
0.108.6%+1056
TJ
Friedl
CINLLNoDrew
Smyly
0.108.6%+1056
Juan
Yepez
STLRRNoJose
Berrios
0.108.6%+1056
Bryson
Stott
PHILLNoTucker
Davidson
0.108.6%+1056
Aaron
Hicks
NYYBRYesJordan
Lyles
0.097.9%+1173
Cesar
Hernandez
WSHBLYesTyler
Anderson
0.097.9%+1173
Jonathan
Villar
CHCBRYesVladimir
Gutierrez
0.097.9%+1173
Dansby
Swanson
ATLRRNoZack
Wheeler
0.097.9%+1173
Kyle
Farmer
CINRLYesDrew
Smyly
0.097.9%+1173
Michael
Perez
PITLRYesChad
Kuhl
0.097.9%+1173
Harold
Castro
DETLRYesChris
Archer
0.097.9%+1173
Yonathan
Daza
COLRRNoJT
Brubaker
0.097.9%+1173
Jake
Cronenworth
SDLRYesAdrian
Houser
0.097.9%+1173
Jack
Suwinski
PITLRYesChad
Kuhl
0.097.9%+1173
Nolan
Gorman
STLLRYesJose
Berrios
0.097.9%+1173