FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Helper: Sunday 5/22/22
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Freddy Peralta ($10,500)
Today's most expensive pitcher has been a strikeout machine in his third year working primarily as a starter, accounting for an elite 32.4% K-rate and an impressive 2.75 expected Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) rating in 35.2 total innings.
On Sunday afternoon, Peralta will take the mound in a favorable matchup against a Washington Nationals lineup with a projected 0.281 weighted on-base average (wOBA) and a 20.7% strikeout percentage.
numberFire's models currently project Milwaukee's right-hander as today's third ranked pitcher with a 35.4 FanDuel point expectation and 6.9 strikeouts.
Sandy Alcantara ($10,100)
With Coors Field on today's slate, Alcantara is a slightly cheaper pitching option to consider in a high upside matchup against an Atlanta lineup with a projected 26.3% strikeout percentage and a 70.6% contact rate.
In his sixth major league season, the 26-year old has replicated his successful 2021 season, recording a 3.98 expected FIP and a 11.7% swinging strike rate.
Alcantara currently rates second among pitchers today with a 36.4 FanDuel point projection and 6.3 expected strikeouts.
Shane Bieber ($8,600)
After a 5.4% salary decrease, Bieber stands as numberFire's top option with a 37.9 fantasy projection, 4.4 value rating, and 7.1 strikeouts.
Through seven starts this season, Cleveland's ace has been in solid form despite a recent drop in strikeouts, accounting for a 11.6% swinging strike rate and a 3.71 expected FIP.
Today's matchup presents a great opportunity to accumulate fantasy points and increase his strikeout percentage against a Detroit Tigers' team with a 27.5% K-rate and a .280 weighted on-base percentage (wOBA) against right-handers the past two seasons.
In a matchup against Austin Gomber, the Metropolitans' right-handed options will be extremely popular against a lefty with a career 4.37 expected FIP and a 10.2% walk percentage against this particular split.
Ideal targets including Francisco Lindor (.348 expected wOBA, 42.% fly-ball percentage), Pete Alonso (13.7% barrel rate, 47.4% fly-ball percentage), and Mark Canha (40.1% fly-ball rate) can be used as a core group against Gomber's ground-ball tendencies (42.1%) while J.D. Davis (13% barrel rate) offers value.
Taijuan Walker will face off against a Colorado team projected for a sneaky 5.4 runs. Although the 29-year old has produced a 3.52 ERA through five starts this season, Walker is heading towards some regression when examining his 4.41 expected FIP and 4.81 Skilled Interactive Earned Run Average.
With fairly neutral splits, C.J. Cron (14.4% barrel rate, .393 expected wOBA), Ryan McMahon (10.3% barrel rate, .359 expected wOBA), Yonathan Daza (.406 expected wOBA, .358 expected average), and Brendan Rodgers (9.1% barrel rate) all stand out with their recent batted ball form.
Outside of Coors Field, the Rays cannot be ignored with their eye-popping 5.2 implied total against Spenser Watkins.
While it may seem like Watkins constantly appears on this list to stack against, the right-hander has clearly struggled in his seven starts this season, producing an ugly 5.76 expected FIP and a 6.90 expected ERA.
The middle of Tampa Bay's order offers intriguing value against Sunday's worst ranked pitcher with Kevin Kiermaier (10% barrel rate, .272 expected average), Randy Arozarena (41.8% hard hit rate), Ji-Man Choi (12.5% barrel percentage, .363 expected wOBA) and Harold Ramirez (.390 expected wOBA).