MLB

MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 5/17/22

Betting MLB player props or playing daily fantasy baseball? See who is most likely to homer, rack up the most strikeouts, and score the most runs today.

Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?

To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.

Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and betting opportunities at FanDuel Sportsbook.

(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)

Team Run Total Projections

Team Opp SP O/U Implied
Total
5+ 6+ 7+ 8+ 9+
SFChad
Kuhl
11.06.0255.8%39.7%25.9%15.5%8.5%
LADTyler
Gilbert
9.05.2242.3%27.1%15.7%8.3%4.1%
COLAlex
Cobb
11.04.9838.1%23.5%13.1%6.7%3.1%
NYYSpenser
Watkins
8.04.7133.3%19.7%10.5%5.1%2.2%
CLEConnor
Overton
8.54.6832.8%19.3%10.2%4.9%2.2%
MIAJoan
Adon
8.54.6832.8%19.3%10.2%4.9%2.2%
LADMerrill
Kelly
8.04.5330.2%17.3%8.9%4.2%1.8%
LAATaylor
Hearn
8.54.4328.5%16.0%8.1%3.7%1.6%
BOSJose
Urquidy
8.54.4128.2%15.8%7.9%3.6%1.5%
CHWBrady
Singer
8.54.3527.2%15.0%7.5%3.4%1.4%
PHIMike
Clevinger
8.54.3226.7%14.7%7.3%3.2%1.3%
TORLogan
Gilbert
8.04.3226.7%14.7%7.3%3.2%1.3%
SDZach
Eflin
8.54.1824.4%13.0%6.3%2.7%1.1%
KCDavis
Martin
8.54.1523.9%12.7%6.1%2.6%1.0%
MILTucker
Davidson
8.04.1523.9%12.7%6.1%2.6%1.0%
HOUNathan
Eovaldi
8.54.0922.9%12.0%5.7%2.4%0.9%
TEXReid
Detmers
8.54.0722.6%11.8%5.5%2.4%0.9%
CHCJT
Brubaker
7.54.0322.0%11.4%5.3%2.2%0.9%
TBBeau
Brieske
6.54.0121.6%11.2%5.2%2.2%0.8%
NYMMiles
Mikolas
8.04.0021.5%11.1%5.1%2.1%0.8%
STLTrevor
Williams
8.04.0021.5%11.1%5.1%2.1%0.8%
MINJames
Kaprielian
7.53.9721.0%10.8%4.9%2.0%0.8%
NYMMiles
Mikolas
7.53.9320.4%10.4%4.7%1.9%0.7%
ATLAdrian
Houser
8.03.8519.2%9.6%4.3%1.7%0.6%
CINZach
Plesac
8.53.8218.7%9.3%4.1%1.6%0.6%
WSHCody
Poteet
8.53.8218.7%9.3%4.1%1.6%0.6%
ARIRyan
Pepiot
9.03.7818.1%8.9%3.9%1.6%0.6%
SEAJose
Berrios
8.03.6816.7%8.0%3.4%1.3%0.5%
STLTaijuan
Walker
7.53.5715.2%7.1%3.0%1.1%0.4%
OAKDylan
Bundy
7.53.5314.6%6.8%2.8%1.0%0.4%
ARITyler
Anderson
8.03.4713.8%6.3%2.6%0.9%0.3%
PITKeegan
Thompson
7.53.4713.8%6.3%2.6%0.9%0.3%
BALJameson
Taillon
8.03.2911.6%5.0%1.9%0.7%0.2%
DETShane
McClanahan
6.52.494.1%1.4%0.4%0.1%0.0%

Pitcher Strikeout Projections

Pitcher Opp K
Proj
3+ 4+ 5+ 6+ 7+ 8+ 9+
Shane
McClanahan
DET6.790%79%65%50%35%23%14%
Nathan
Eovaldi
HOU6.085%71%55%39%25%15%8%
Jose
Berrios
SEA5.580%65%48%32%20%11%6%
Adrian
Houser
ATL5.073%56%38%24%13%7%3%
Jameson
Taillon
BAL5.073%56%38%24%13%7%3%
Logan
Gilbert
TOR5.073%56%38%24%13%7%3%
Joan
Adon
MIA5.073%56%38%24%13%7%3%
JT
Brubaker
CHC4.870%52%34%21%11%5%2%
Alex
Cobb
COL4.770%51%34%20%11%5%2%
Tyler
Anderson
ARI4.769%51%34%20%11%5%2%
Tucker
Davidson
MIL4.769%51%34%20%11%5%2%
Zach
Eflin
SD4.769%50%33%19%10%5%2%
James
Kaprielian
MIN4.566%47%30%17%9%4%2%
Merrill
Kelly
LAD4.465%46%29%16%8%4%2%
Miles
Mikolas
NYM4.463%44%27%15%7%3%1%
Taijuan
Walker
STL4.463%44%27%15%7%3%1%
Brady
Singer
CHW4.463%44%27%15%7%3%1%
Chad
Kuhl
SF4.362%42%26%14%7%3%1%
Zach
Plesac
CIN4.261%42%25%14%7%3%1%
Mike
Clevinger
PHI4.260%41%25%13%6%3%1%
Jose
Urquidy
BOS4.260%40%24%13%6%3%1%
Tyler
Gilbert
LAD4.158%38%23%12%6%2%1%
Taylor
Hearn
LAA4.057%38%22%11%5%2%1%
Reid
Detmers
TEX3.955%36%20%10%5%2%1%
Miles
Mikolas
NYM3.954%35%19%10%4%2%1%
Ryan
Pepiot
ARI3.853%33%19%9%4%2%1%
Beau
Brieske
TB3.750%31%17%8%3%1%0%
Davis
Martin
KC3.547%28%15%7%3%1%0%
Cody
Poteet
WSH3.547%28%15%7%3%1%0%
Connor
Overton
CLE3.241%23%11%5%2%1%0%
Trevor
Williams
STL3.240%22%11%5%2%1%0%
Keegan
Thompson
PIT3.036%19%9%4%1%0%0%
Spenser
Watkins
NYY3.036%19%8%3%1%0%0%
Dylan
Bundy
OAK2.933%17%8%3%1%0%0%

Daily Batter Home Run Projections

You can view all home run props at FanDuel Sportsbook here.

Batter Opp
Pitcher
Proj
HR
HR
Probability
xHR
Odds
Joey
Gallo
Spenser
Watkins
0.6132.5%+208
Bryce
Harper
Mike
Clevinger
0.4527.9%+259
Aaron
Judge
Spenser
Watkins
0.4026.0%+285
Salvador
Perez
Davis
Martin
0.4026.0%+285
Brandon
Belt
Chad
Kuhl
0.3724.7%+304
Giancarlo
Stanton
Spenser
Watkins
0.3423.4%+328
Byron
Buxton
James
Kaprielian
0.3322.9%+336
Nick
Castellanos
Mike
Clevinger
0.3121.9%+356
George
Springer
Logan
Gilbert
0.3021.4%+367
Jesus
Aguilar
Joan
Adon
0.3021.4%+367
Mike
Zunino
Beau
Brieske
0.2920.9%+378
Anthony
Rizzo
Spenser
Watkins
0.2820.4%+391
Brett
Phillips
Beau
Brieske
0.2820.4%+391
Jose
Ramirez
Connor
Overton
0.2820.4%+391
Jesse
Winker
Jose
Berrios
0.2820.4%+391
Josh
Bell
Cody
Poteet
0.2820.4%+391
Luis
Robert
Brady
Singer
0.2719.8%+404
Danny
Jansen
Logan
Gilbert
0.2719.8%+404
Eugenio
Suarez
Jose
Berrios
0.2619.3%+418
Jazz
Chisholm
Joan
Adon
0.2619.3%+418
Rafael
Devers
Jose
Urquidy
0.2619.3%+418
Patrick
Wisdom
JT
Brubaker
0.2619.3%+418
Rhys
Hoskins
Mike
Clevinger
0.2518.7%+434
Shohei
Ohtani
Taylor
Hearn
0.2518.7%+434
Adolis
Garcia
Reid
Detmers
0.2518.7%+434
Jared
Walsh
Taylor
Hearn
0.2518.7%+434
Mookie
Betts
Tyler
Gilbert
0.2518.7%+434
Hunter
Renfroe
Tucker
Davidson
0.2518.7%+434
Mike
Yastrzemski
Chad
Kuhl
0.2518.7%+434
Jorge
Polanco
James
Kaprielian
0.2518.7%+434
Seth
Brown
Dylan
Bundy
0.2518.7%+434
Tyler
Stephenson
Zach
Plesac
0.2518.7%+434
Kyle
Schwarber
Mike
Clevinger
0.2418.2%+451
Ramon
Laureano
Dylan
Bundy
0.2418.2%+451
Francisco
Lindor
Miles
Mikolas
0.2418.2%+451
Enrique
Hernandez
Jose
Urquidy
0.2418.2%+451
Anthony
Santander
Jameson
Taillon
0.2317.6%+469
Christian
Walker
Ryan
Pepiot
0.2317.6%+469
Will
Smith
Tyler
Gilbert
0.2317.6%+469
Max
Muncy
Merrill
Kelly
0.2317.6%+469
Francisco
Lindor
Miles
Mikolas
0.2317.6%+469
Jean
Segura
Mike
Clevinger
0.2217.0%+490
J.T.
Realmuto
Mike
Clevinger
0.2217.0%+490
Corey
Seager
Reid
Detmers
0.2217.0%+490
Max
Muncy
Tyler
Gilbert
0.2217.0%+490
Miguel
Cabrera
Shane
McClanahan
0.2217.0%+490
C.J.
Cron
Alex
Cobb
0.2217.0%+490
Joc
Pederson
Chad
Kuhl
0.2217.0%+490
Sheldon
Neuse
Dylan
Bundy
0.2217.0%+490
Sean
Murphy
Dylan
Bundy
0.2217.0%+490
Brandon
Drury
Zach
Plesac
0.2217.0%+490
Franmil
Reyes
Connor
Overton
0.2217.0%+490
Mookie
Betts
Merrill
Kelly
0.2217.0%+490
Ketel
Marte
Tyler
Anderson
0.2217.0%+490
Jose
Altuve
Nathan
Eovaldi
0.2217.0%+490
Willy
Adames
Tucker
Davidson
0.2116.3%+512
Pete
Alonso
Miles
Mikolas
0.2116.3%+512
Vladimir
Guerrero
Jr.
Logan
Gilbert
0.2116.3%+512
Yordan
Alvarez
Nathan
Eovaldi
0.2116.3%+512
Chas
McCormick
Nathan
Eovaldi
0.2116.3%+512
Tyler
O'Neill
Taijuan
Walker
0.2116.3%+512
Pete
Alonso
Miles
Mikolas
0.2116.3%+512
Manny
Machado
Zach
Eflin
0.2015.7%+536
Taylor
Ward
Taylor
Hearn
0.2015.7%+536
Chris
Taylor
Tyler
Gilbert
0.2015.7%+536
Ronald
Acuna
Adrian
Houser
0.2015.7%+536
Brandon
Crawford
Chad
Kuhl
0.2015.7%+536
Charlie
Blackmon
Alex
Cobb
0.2015.7%+536
Gary
Sanchez
James
Kaprielian
0.2015.7%+536
Gavin
Sheets
Brady
Singer
0.2015.7%+536
Freddie
Freeman
Merrill
Kelly
0.2015.7%+536
Will
Smith
Merrill
Kelly
0.2015.7%+536
Paul
Goldschmidt
Trevor
Williams
0.2015.7%+536
Tyler
O'Neill
Trevor
Williams
0.2015.7%+536
Bo
Bichette
Logan
Gilbert
0.2015.7%+536
Jorge
Soler
Joan
Adon
0.2015.7%+536
Tommy
Edman
Taijuan
Walker
0.2015.7%+536
Ben
Gamel
Keegan
Thompson
0.2015.7%+536
Kole
Calhoun
Reid
Detmers
0.1915.1%+564
Daulton
Varsho
Ryan
Pepiot
0.1915.1%+564
Jonathan
Schoop
Shane
McClanahan
0.1915.1%+564
Evan
Longoria
Chad
Kuhl
0.1915.1%+564
Max
Kepler
James
Kaprielian
0.1915.1%+564
Chris
Taylor
Merrill
Kelly
0.1915.1%+564
J.D.
Martinez
Jose
Urquidy
0.1915.1%+564
Paul
Goldschmidt
Taijuan
Walker
0.1915.1%+564
Willson
Contreras
JT
Brubaker
0.1915.1%+564
Anthony
Rendon
Taylor
Hearn
0.1814.4%+594
Robbie
Grossman
Shane
McClanahan
0.1814.4%+594
Marcell
Ozuna
Adrian
Houser
0.1814.4%+594
Rowdy
Tellez
Tucker
Davidson
0.1814.4%+594
LaMonte
Wade
Jr
Chad
Kuhl
0.1814.4%+594
Chad
Pinder
Dylan
Bundy
0.1814.4%+594
Christian
Walker
Tyler
Anderson
0.1814.4%+594
Juan
Yepez
Taijuan
Walker
0.1814.4%+594
Rafael
Ortega
JT
Brubaker
0.1814.4%+594
Josh
VanMeter
Keegan
Thompson
0.1814.4%+594
Seiya
Suzuki
JT
Brubaker
0.1814.4%+594
Eli
White
Reid
Detmers
0.1713.7%+628
Freddie
Freeman
Tyler
Gilbert
0.1713.7%+628
Geraldo
Perdomo
Ryan
Pepiot
0.1713.7%+628
Brendan
Rodgers
Alex
Cobb
0.1713.7%+628
Tony
Kemp
Dylan
Bundy
0.1713.7%+628
Yasmani
Grandal
Brady
Singer
0.1713.7%+628
Andrew
Benintendi
Davis
Martin
0.1713.7%+628
Colin
Moran
Zach
Plesac
0.1713.7%+628
Daulton
Varsho
Tyler
Anderson
0.1713.7%+628
Juan
Soto
Cody
Poteet
0.1713.7%+628
Luke
Voit
Zach
Eflin
0.1613.1%+666
Mike
Trout
Taylor
Hearn
0.1613.1%+666
Kolten
Wong
Tucker
Davidson
0.1613.1%+666
Dansby
Swanson
Adrian
Houser
0.1613.1%+666
Matt
Olson
Adrian
Houser
0.1613.1%+666
Ozzie
Albies
Adrian
Houser
0.1613.1%+666
Luis
Urias
Tucker
Davidson
0.1613.1%+666
Austin
Riley
Adrian
Houser
0.1613.1%+666
Randal
Grichuk
Alex
Cobb
0.1613.1%+666
Joey
Bart
Chad
Kuhl
0.1613.1%+666
Jed
Lowrie
Dylan
Bundy
0.1613.1%+666
Jordan
Luplow
Tyler
Anderson
0.1613.1%+666
Franchy
Cordero
Jose
Urquidy
0.1613.1%+666
Cedric
Mullins
Jameson
Taillon
0.1512.4%+709
Wil
Myers
Zach
Eflin
0.1512.4%+709
Randy
Arozarena
Beau
Brieske
0.1512.4%+709
Wander
Franco
Beau
Brieske
0.1512.4%+709
Christian
Yelich
Tucker
Davidson
0.1512.4%+709
Gio
Urshela
James
Kaprielian
0.1512.4%+709
Yoan
Moncada
Brady
Singer
0.1512.4%+709
Andrew
Vaughn
Brady
Singer
0.1512.4%+709
Eduardo
Escobar
Miles
Mikolas
0.1512.4%+709
Cal
Raleigh
Jose
Berrios
0.1512.4%+709
Cesar
Hernandez
Cody
Poteet
0.1512.4%+709
Jesus
Sanchez
Joan
Adon
0.1512.4%+709
Alex
Bregman
Nathan
Eovaldi
0.1512.4%+709
Eduardo
Escobar
Miles
Mikolas
0.1512.4%+709
Dylan
Carlson
Taijuan
Walker
0.1512.4%+709
Rodolfo
Castro
Keegan
Thompson
0.1512.4%+709
Ji-Man
Choi
Beau
Brieske
0.1411.6%+759
Yandy
Diaz
Beau
Brieske
0.1411.6%+759
Eric
Haase
Shane
McClanahan
0.1411.6%+759
Connor
Joe
Alex
Cobb
0.1411.6%+759
Thairo
Estrada
Chad
Kuhl
0.1411.6%+759
Mike
Moustakas
Zach
Plesac
0.1411.6%+759
Tommy
Pham
Zach
Plesac
0.1411.6%+759
Austin
Hedges
Connor
Overton
0.1411.6%+759
Cody
Bellinger
Merrill
Kelly
0.1411.6%+759
Nolan
Arenado
Trevor
Williams
0.1411.6%+759
Harrison
Bader
Trevor
Williams
0.1411.6%+759
Juan
Yepez
Trevor
Williams
0.1411.6%+759
Teoscar
Hernandez
Logan
Gilbert
0.1411.6%+759
Ty
France
Jose
Berrios
0.1411.6%+759
Avisail
Garcia
Joan
Adon
0.1411.6%+759
Garrett
Cooper
Joan
Adon
0.1411.6%+759
Keibert
Ruiz
Cody
Poteet
0.1411.6%+759
Harrison
Bader
Taijuan
Walker
0.1411.6%+759
Brendan
Donovan
Taijuan
Walker
0.1411.6%+759
Ian
Happ
JT
Brubaker
0.1411.6%+759
DJ
LeMahieu
Spenser
Watkins
0.1310.9%+816
Cody
Bellinger
Tyler
Gilbert
0.1310.9%+816
Javier
Baez
Shane
McClanahan
0.1310.9%+816
Vidal
Brujan
Beau
Brieske
0.1310.9%+816
Tommy
La
Stella
Chad
Kuhl
0.1310.9%+816
Ryan
McMahon
Alex
Cobb
0.1310.9%+816
Kyle
Farmer
Zach
Plesac
0.1310.9%+816
Justin
Turner
Merrill
Kelly
0.1310.9%+816
Alek
Thomas
Tyler
Anderson
0.1310.9%+816
Brandon
Nimmo
Miles
Mikolas
0.1310.9%+816
Dylan
Carlson
Trevor
Williams
0.1310.9%+816
Brian
Anderson
Joan
Adon
0.1310.9%+816
Xander
Bogaerts
Jose
Urquidy
0.1310.9%+816
Yulieski
Gurriel
Nathan
Eovaldi
0.1310.9%+816
Kyle
Tucker
Nathan
Eovaldi
0.1310.9%+816
Nolan
Arenado
Taijuan
Walker
0.1310.9%+816
Alfonso
Rivas
JT
Brubaker
0.1310.9%+816
Josh
Donaldson
Spenser
Watkins
0.1210.2%+883
Trey
Mancini
Jameson
Taillon
0.1210.2%+883
Cooper
Hummel
Ryan
Pepiot
0.1210.2%+883
Jace
Peterson
Tucker
Davidson
0.1210.2%+883
Adam
Duvall
Adrian
Houser
0.1210.2%+883
A.J.
Pollock
Brady
Singer
0.1210.2%+883
Jose
Abreu
Brady
Singer
0.1210.2%+883
Ryan
O'Hearn
Davis
Martin
0.1210.2%+883
Amed
Rosario
Connor
Overton
0.1210.2%+883
TJ
Friedl
Zach
Plesac
0.1210.2%+883
Geraldo
Perdomo
Tyler
Anderson
0.1210.2%+883
J.P.
Crawford
Jose
Berrios
0.1210.2%+883
Nelson
Cruz
Cody
Poteet
0.1210.2%+883
Brandon
Nimmo
Miles
Mikolas
0.1210.2%+883
Bryan
Reynolds
Keegan
Thompson
0.1210.2%+883
Yoshitomo
Tsutsugo
Keegan
Thompson
0.1210.2%+883
Tyler
Nevin
Jameson
Taillon
0.119.4%+962
Ha-Seong
Kim
Zach
Eflin
0.119.4%+962
Bryson
Stott
Mike
Clevinger
0.119.4%+962
Charlie
Culberson
Reid
Detmers
0.119.4%+962
Andy
Ibanez
Reid
Detmers
0.119.4%+962
Justin
Turner
Tyler
Gilbert
0.119.4%+962
Alek
Thomas
Ryan
Pepiot
0.119.4%+962
Omar
Narvaez
Tucker
Davidson
0.119.4%+962
Tyler
Naquin
Zach
Plesac
0.119.4%+962
Oscar
Mercado
Connor
Overton
0.119.4%+962
Trea
Turner
Merrill
Kelly
0.119.4%+962
Yadier
Molina
Trevor
Williams
0.119.4%+962
Yadiel
Hernandez
Cody
Poteet
0.119.4%+962
Jackie
Bradley
Jose
Urquidy
0.119.4%+962
Jonathan
Villar
JT
Brubaker
0.119.4%+962
Dan
Vogelbach
Keegan
Thompson
0.119.4%+962
Michael
Perez
Keegan
Thompson
0.119.4%+962
Jorge
Mateo
Jameson
Taillon
0.108.6%+1058
Eric
Hosmer
Zach
Eflin
0.108.6%+1058
Jurickson
Profar
Zach
Eflin
0.108.6%+1058
Jake
Cronenworth
Zach
Eflin
0.108.6%+1058
Marcus
Semien
Reid
Detmers
0.108.6%+1058
David
Peralta
Ryan
Pepiot
0.108.6%+1058
Kevin
Kiermaier
Beau
Brieske
0.108.6%+1058
Elias
Diaz
Alex
Cobb
0.108.6%+1058
Hunter
Dozier
Davis
Martin
0.108.6%+1058
MJ
Melendez
Davis
Martin
0.108.6%+1058
Andres
Gimenez
Connor
Overton
0.108.6%+1058
Owen
Miller
Connor
Overton
0.108.6%+1058
Cooper
Hummel
Tyler
Anderson
0.108.6%+1058
Brendan
Donovan
Trevor
Williams
0.108.6%+1058
Julio
Rodriguez
Jose
Berrios
0.108.6%+1058
Austin
Hays
Jameson
Taillon
0.097.8%+1174
Odubel
Herrera
Mike
Clevinger
0.097.8%+1174
Trea
Turner
Tyler
Gilbert
0.097.8%+1174
Daz
Cameron
Shane
McClanahan
0.097.8%+1174
Spencer
Torkelson
Shane
McClanahan
0.097.8%+1174
Sam
Hilliard
Alex
Cobb
0.097.8%+1174
Tim
Anderson
Brady
Singer
0.097.8%+1174
Myles
Straw
Connor
Overton
0.097.8%+1174
Gavin
Lux
Merrill
Kelly
0.097.8%+1174
Dominic
Smith
Miles
Mikolas
0.097.8%+1174
Mike
Ford
Jose
Berrios
0.097.8%+1174
Martin
Maldonado
Nathan
Eovaldi
0.097.8%+1174
Christian
Vazquez
Jose
Urquidy
0.097.8%+1174
Alex
Verdugo
Jose
Urquidy
0.097.8%+1174
Jeremy
Pena
Nathan
Eovaldi
0.097.8%+1174
Jack
Suwinski
Keegan
Thompson
0.097.8%+1174
Rougned
Odor
Jameson
Taillon
0.087.0%+1320
Tyler
Wade
Taylor
Hearn
0.087.0%+1320
Chad
Wallach
Taylor
Hearn
0.087.0%+1320
Nick
Solak
Reid
Detmers
0.087.0%+1320
Jeimer
Candelario
Shane
McClanahan
0.087.0%+1320
Steven
Kwan
Connor
Overton
0.087.0%+1320
Bradley
Zimmer
Logan
Gilbert
0.087.0%+1320
Dee
Strange-Gordon
Cody
Poteet
0.087.0%+1320
Jacob
Stallings
Joan
Adon
0.087.0%+1320
Victor
Robles
Cody
Poteet
0.087.0%+1320
Michael
Brantley
Nathan
Eovaldi
0.087.0%+1320
Trevor
Story
Jose
Urquidy
0.087.0%+1320
Dominic
Smith
Miles
Mikolas
0.087.0%+1320
Jason
Heyward
JT
Brubaker
0.087.0%+1320
Ke'Bryan
Hayes
Keegan
Thompson
0.087.0%+1320