3 Under-the-Radar MLB FanDuel Plays for Tuesday 6/29/21
When being contrarian in daily fantasy sports, there's a fine line between taking a calculated risk and being reckless. But differentiating your lineups from everyone else's is the name of the game if you plan on taking down one of those highly lucrative DFS tournaments. Whether it's because of bookmaker totals, other options at a given position, or some gem you've found who everyone is overlooking, we can always find potential under-rostered plays if we look hard enough.
Here are three such players to consider branching out for on FanDuel's main slate.
James Kaprielian, P, Oakland Athletics ($8,000)
With a huge slate and a game at Coors Field, there will be several pitchers who go overlooked. We have a number of different routes to take when it comes to roster construction.
James Kaprielian should be a pitcher who mostly goes overlooked tonight, and that would make him a solid tournament option against the Texas Rangers. The Rangers come in with a 91 wRC+ (18th in the league), 25.1% strikeout rate (10th), .153 ISO (20th), and 35.0% fly-ball rate (20th) versus right-handed pitchers. The Rangers are an offense we can target.
You can look to attack them with Kaprielian, who has a solid 25.7% strikeout rate, 50.0% medium-contact rate, and 4.33 SIERA. He should be able to rack up some strikeouts and push toward the later stages of the game for the quality start or win points to boost his value.
Adam Duvall, OF, Miami Marlins ($3,200)
I'm leaning toward the Marlins since they are getting a positive park shift on the road in Philadelphia, and they are facing a home run-prone pitcher in Vince Velasquez. Against righties this season, Velasquez is allowing 2.08 homers per nine with a 4.94 xFIP, 13.5% walk rate and 48.3% fly-ball rate. Those are some rough numbers, and we want to find a righty hitter on Miami who has the power to exploit them.
This leads us to Adam Duvall, who can be a bit of an all-or-nothing type of player. That is because he is carrying a bad 30.5% strikeout rate versus right-handed pitchers. However, he comes in with a .244 ISO, 53.3% fly-ball rate, and 40.0% hard-contact rate in the same split. The home run potential is very clear for Duvall in most matchups, but it's even more clear tonight versus Velasquez.
Sean Murphy, C, Oakland Athletics ($2,900)
I'll get this out of the way first -- I'm big on the Oakland Athletics tonight. The A's have the 11th-highest implied total (4.83), and I think it's too low.
I mentioned Kaprielian above because the Rangers' lineup isn't good, and now I'm turning to the Athletics' hitters since the Rangers' pitchers aren't good. Mike Foltynewicz will be on the mound for Texas, and he comes in with 1.35 homers per nine, an 18.2% strikeout rate, 35.4% fly-ball rate, and 36.5% hard-contact rate versus right-handed hitters this season. Giving up home runs has always been an issue for Folty, and nothing is changed this season.
Sean Murphy will likely come in at a very low draft percentage. That's because he is a catcher, a position that generally underproduces compared to other positions and one you don't actually have to roster. But you should be very interested in Murphy's .250 ISO, 149 wRC+. 41.3% fly-ball rate, and 42.4% hard-contact rate versus right-handed pitchers. He can have a big day in this matchup.