Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for Monday 5/10/21
Stacks are the backbone of cashing daily fantasy baseball lineups. Correlation drives upside, creating the potential to place high or even win GPPs when your selected stacks explode offensively.
This column will do the digging and the dirty work to determine which stacks are worth rostering each day. Scoring upside will fuel the stacks that get the nod. Sometimes that will lead to chalky selections, but contrarian stacks will get their fair share of love too.
In addition to utilizing the touted daily stacks in handbuilt lineups, numberFire premium members can throw these highlighted stacks into an optimized lineup using our DFS Sharpstack tool. Our hitting heat map tool is also available to premium members looking for more stacking options. It provides valuable info such as implied total, park factors, and stats for identifying the quality of the opposing pitcher.
Let's take a look at the top stacks on today's main slate, which starts a bit earlier than usual at 6:35 PM ET.
Boston Red Sox
It's a six-game slate tonight, and while sometimes three stacks will get my attention, only two stand out from the pack for me on this medium-sized slate. The Boston Red Sox are my favorite stack. According to FanGraphs, the Red Sox rank third this year in weighted runs created plus (wRC+) against righties, with a 115 wRC+.
They're likely to be too much for Jorge Lopez to handle. The 28-year-old righty has a 6.49 ERA this season and a 6.08 ERA in his career. He's also exceptionally homer prone, coughing up 2.39 homers per nine innings through six starts spanning 26 and 1/3 innings in 2021.
Lopez is no great shakes against lefties or righties. Left-handed batters have roughed him up for a .518 slugging and .368 weighted on-base average (wOBA) since 2020. Right-handed batters have amassed a .329 wOBA against him. According to Baseball Savant, Lopez has coughed up a .343 wOBA overall and has a higher .357 expected wOBA (xwOBA).
Making things more difficult for Lopez, he's toeing the rubber in his hitter-friendly home park. According to FantasyPros, Oriole Park at Camden Yards has a park factor of 1.022 for runs and 1.171 for homers.
My favorite four-person stack from the Red Sox tonight is their projected three-through-six hitters, J.D. Martinez ($4,400), Xander Bogaerts ($3,600), Rafael Devers ($3,600), and Christian Vazquez ($2,700). Devers, Martinez, and Bogaerts are the three best options, with each sporting a wRC+ north of 130 and an isolated power (ISO) above .240 against righties since 2018. Alex Verdugo ($3,300) is worthy of an honorable mention, but spinning down to Vazquez provides me the opportunity to blend this stack with my forthcoming second-favorite stack.
San Diego Padres
(Editor's note: Tonight's Padres-Rockies game has been postponed due to weather.)
The San Diego Padres are visiting their National League West rival Colorado Rockies tonight, which means hitting in Major League Baseball's most hitter-friendly park. Coors Field leads the way in park factor for runs (1.362), singles (1.230), and triples (2.177), and it ranks second for homers (1.257) and doubles (1.345). Predictably, below-average starter Antonio Senzatela hasn't fared well in his home digs.
Senzatela is returning from the injured list tonight. He comes back with a 5.76 ERA and 4.69 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) this season. Further elaborating on his home struggles, he has a 4.93 ERA and .336 wOBA allowed at home in 243 innings pitched in his career.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ($4,600), Trent Grisham ($3,900), Manny Machado ($3,700), and Eric Hosmer ($3,600) should -- understandably -- be the chalkiest options from this stack. Having said that, since the Red Sox are my preferred stack, I'm eyeing the hitters following them who command smaller salaries.
Wil Myers ($3,200) and Jake Cronenworth ($3,000) are my two favorite options, cap ramifications considered. Myers has a 113 wRC+ against righties this year and a 103 wRC+ against them since 2018. Cronenworth has torched righties since debuting in 2020, raking to the tune of a .361 on-base percentage, .209 ISO, and 133 wRC+.
Joshua Shepardson is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Joshua Shepardson also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username bchad50. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.
