4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 9/4/20
In the world of daily baseball, stacks are often the backbone of the most successful -- and profitable -- lineups. Correlation is the key.
When an offense hangs runs in bunches, it means hitters are scoring runs and teammates hitting behind them are driving them in. By rostering stacks, you’re maximizing the fantasy scoring by essentially double dipping on a run-scoring event.
This is your daily home for the top stacks on the daily fantasy baseball slate. Whether you’re looking to identify the projected highest-scoring stacks or contrarian stacks that can help you separate from the pack in GPPs when they explode, they’ll be thrown under the spotlight here.
Gamers who are numberFire premium members can throw these highlighted stacks into an optimized lineup using our DFS Sharpstack tool. The tool allows you to select the team and number of players from that team you’d like to include in your lineup. If you’re looking to identify other potentially high-scoring stacks beyond those featured in this space, check out our hitting heat map, a tool that provides valuable info such as implied total, park factor, and stats to identify the quality of the opposing pitcher.
Without further ado, let’s dive into today’s main slate’s featured stacks.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The right-handed Senzatela is fanning just 15.9% of hitters this year -- right in line with his 16.1% career strikeout rate -- while surrendering a 40.3% hard-hit rate. A year ago, lefties pummeled Senzatela for a .394 wOBA while striking out just 12.7% of the time. We don't have to limit ourselves to left-handed sticks, however, as righties have a 42.0% hard-hit rate against Senzatela in 2020.
All the usual suspects -- Mookie Betts ($4,400), Cody Bellinger ($4,300), Max Muncy ($3,600) and Corey Seager ($3,800) -- are in play. Those four could occupy the first four slots in the order, and each should be popular.
If you want to avoid some chalk and save cash, Joc Pederson ($2,700) and Gavin Lux ($2,300) are high-upside bats with low salaries. Pederson hasn't hit leadoff against righties this year as much as he did in 2019, but he had a .377 wOBA, 45.9% hard-hit rate and 43.1% fly-ball rate in the split a year ago. Lux is a mega prospect who shredded multiple levels last season and has a 50.0% hard-hit rate with the platoon advantage in his brief MLB career.
In truth, anyone in the Dodgers' lineup needs to be on our radar today. Just know this offense is probably going to be the most popular stack of the night.
New York Mets
The New York Mets (5.20 implied total) are taking on Jake Arrieta, who is having an ugly 2020. Arrieta has career-worst marks in SIERA (4.98), strikeout rate (16.2%) and hard-hit rate (42.2%). We want to target lefties as Arrieta gave up a .387 wOBA and 41.4% hard-hit rate to them a year ago while recording just a 15.0% strikeout rate in the split.
New York is really good against righties, ranking fourth in wOBA in the split (.348), and they have a bunch of left-handed bats to choose from. Michael Conforto ($3,300), Dominic Smith ($3,500) and Robinson Cano ($3,500) should be in the meat of the lineup. Conforto will likely be very popular, but the dude is under-priced given his production against righties (.411 wOBA and 50.0% hard-hit rate this season).
Pete Alonso ($3,500) is also worth a look even though he's without the platoon advantage. Alonso might be waking up after a slow start as he's donged in each of his last two games. He carries a .373 wOBA in righty-righty bouts over his career.
Chicago White Sox
The Chicago White Sox (4.99) are facing righty Brady Singer, who hitters are generating a ton of hard contact against (46.1% hard-hit rate) in his short MLB career. The White Sox boast the league's ninth-best hard-hit rate against righties (41.6%).
Yasmani Grandal ($2,800) and Yoan Moncada ($3,200) are modestly priced, will likely hit in the middle of the lineup and will have the platoon advantage. Moncada's .324 wOBA doesn't look pretty, but he's got a career-best 42.9% hard-hit rate and is being hampered by a .316 BABIP that is well below his .364 career BABIP. A switch-hitter, Moncada has much better numbers against righties (.349 wOBA and 40.8% hard-hit rate).
Most of Chicago's other top bats are right-handed, but we shouldn't hesitate to use them. Tim Anderson ($3,500), Jose Abreu ($3,700), Eloy Jimenez ($3,400) and Luis Robert ($3,600) all have big-time pop. Robert has been mashing from lower in the order, crushing 11 jacks, and he brings stolen-base upside to the table with four swipes.
While nothing about his 2020 numbers inspires faith, Nomar Mazara ($2,300) will have the platoon advantage and got to right-handers for a .350 wOBA just a season ago.
San Francisco Giants
I certainly didn't see this San Francisco Giants offense being anything but bad in 2020, but, boy, was I wrong. The Giants haven't just been solid; they've been really good, checking in with the ninth-best wOBA (.334) and fourth-highest hard-hit rate (45.1%).
They're up against righty Taylor Clarke tonight. Clarke is holding a 26.3% strikeout rate that is due for negative regression since his swinging-strike rate is only 8.6%. He's walking 12.6% of hitters, and righties have a 39.2% hard-hit rate and 45.2% fly-ball rate against him in his career.
The Giants have just a 4.45 implied total, but as of Friday morning, that's actually the fifth-best mark on the slate. I'm not sure if I'll use many four-man San Fran (fun to say) stacks, but I love the trio of Mike Yastrzemski ($3,900), Brandon Belt ($3,000) and Alex Dickerson ($2,800). Yastrzemski has been outstanding in 2020, and he has a .360 wOBA, 44.9% hard-hit rate and 46.6% fly-ball rate versus righties for his career.