KBO Daily Fantasy Baseball Helper: Wednesday 6/10/20
If you enjoy good pitching, today's KBO DFS slate is your jam.
Depending on your preferences, you could have as many as six palatable choices for the starting pitching slot on your daily fantasy rosters, and there are three truly upper-tier options. You just have to decide which of these tasty options you like most.
The table below shows those starters on the slate sorted by the FanDuel salary of their team's starting pitching slot. You can find opposing runs per game totals at My KBO Stats and opposing strikeout rates at Baseball Reference. The park factor data is a multi-year run factor via STATIZ with 1000 being neutral and a higher number favoring hitters.
Not only do we have legit options, but they're sprinkled in multiple salary tiers. So which pitchers stand out most? Let's dive in and check it out.
With so many options available, we can afford to be a bit picky. Raul Alcantara (Doosan Starting P; $26) is facing the NC Dinos, the highest-scoring team in the league by a wide margin, so we can cross him off. Drew Rucinski (NC Starting P; $29) is facing Alcantara and also in a tough spot, so even though his talent has been top-notch, we can push him down our list, too.
After making those alterations, it seems as if the top two choices we've got are Eric Jokisch (Kiwoom Starting P; $29) and Aaron Brooks (Kia Starting P; $25). The salary gap between the two is enough to put Brooks at the top of the heap.
Brooks is facing the KT Wiz, who can certainly put some runs on the board. However, they also have a decent strikeout rate at 18.0%, and this is the second-best park for pitchers on the slate.
Brooks' foray into the KBO has gone well with a 3.13 ERA, 20.7% strikeout rate, and 4.7% walk rate through his first six starts. He has gotten at least five strikeouts in four of those six starts, so Brooks likely has the combo of floor and upside we want on a loaded slate.
Jokisch is much more expensive, but it's for good reason. His sample of dominance is larger as he is following up last year's 3.13 ERA and 18.9% strikeout rate with marks of 1.49 and 21.4%, respectively, this year. Jokisch also gets a higher-strikeout opponent in the Samsung Lions.
The lone blemish for Jokisch is the park. He's in the most hitter-friendly park on the slate, whereas Brooks is at the other end of the spectrum. Still, both are clear elite options.
If you want to save even a bit more, give Min-ho Lee (LG Starting P; $23) a look. Lee is making just his third start, but the 18-year-old went nuts his last time out with seven strikeouts across seven innings of two-run ball. His pitch count there was 100, meaning he's fully stretched out after starting the year in the bullpen.
Lee's matchup is favorable with the SK Wyverns sitting ninth in runs per game and ninth in strikeout rate. It's also the stingiest park for offense on the slate. The sample on Lee means we have to put him beneath both Brooks and Jokisch, but the youngster is worth a roll of the dice if you're good with the risk.
With so many good pitching options available, you would think that the stacks would be thinner. That's not actually the case, though. Things are pretty straightforward here, too.
The first place to turn is the Kiwoom Heroes against Jun-hyun Baek. Baek has made just three starts this year, which is a small sample, but he has gotten pounded in that sample. Across 157 innings last year, Baek's strikeout rate was just 12.1%, meaning Kiwoom's biggest flaw as an offense should be less of a concern. Baek's slow start could very well continue here.
Speaking of slow starts, Byung-Ho Park ($12) is slashing just .216/.365/.402 to open the season, which isn't what you expect out of a hitter of his caliber. Still, the power has been there with six round-trippers, and Park now gains the platoon advantage over Baek. He and Dong-Won Park ($10) are both ideal targets regardless of where you go at pitcher.
Elsewhere, the Kia Tigers get a chance to open things up tonight. They haven't scored more than three runs since Thursday, but a date with Min Kim could turn that around.
Kim is just 21, so we could have expected him to take a step forward from last year's 4.96 ERA and 13.5% strikeout rate. He has slid the other way thus far, though, with more walks than strikeouts in his first five starts, contributing to a 7.83 ERA. Most of those runs came in two starts against Doosan, but he also gave up three runs against a Samsung offense that grades out in the same range as Kia.
Because of Kia's struggles, we can snag the second-best hitter on their team for just $11. That's Hyung-Woo Choi, who has largely played second fiddle to Preston Tucker ($17). Choi has been solid in his own right, though, with five homers and a .467 slugging percentage. Ji-Wan Na ($9) has shown plenty of pop this year, as well, making Kia a prime target even if you can't afford Tucker.
Although the LG Twins are in a poor park, they will be our third and final stack of the night. They have shown upside in bursts with eight-plus runs in three of their past 10 games, which should be enough to give us faith for their matchup with Tae-hoon Kim.
Kim this year is transitioning to the rotation from the bullpen, and the success of that transition depends on which metrics you believe. His 4.94 ERA won't turn heads, but he has just a 14.0% strikeout rate with a 13.2% walk rate. That says his ERA could rise even more, especially when you pit him against an offense with as much juice as LG's.
If you use Min-ho Lee as your pitcher, you should have the flexibility to jam in Roberto Ramos ($17), which is always ideal when possible (even against a lefty). If not, Hyun Soo Kim ($14) and Eun-Sung Chae ($11) should be in play. Kim hit his third homer of the season last night, pushing his slugging percentage up to .538. Chae hit third in that game and will gain the platoon advantage with Kim being a lefty. LG's not as affordable as Kiwoom and Kia, but if you have the salary to make it work, they can certainly get the job done.