FanDuel Pitching Primer: Friday 9/27/19
In daily fantasy baseball, success starts with nailing the starting pitcher spot in your lineup.
When compared to hitters, pitching performance tends to be much more predictable and stable throughout the course of the season. You know what you're getting from a top-level ace when you roster him: probably a dominant effort with only one or two implosions per season. In contrast, even the game's best hitters have days at the plate when they go 0-for-4.
As a result, lineup construction should begin with the starting pitcher. Each day we will highlight a starter to consider from each pricing tier, and we'll also look at one contrarian play for tournaments. Who should you consider on today's main slate?
James Paxton, New York Yankees
at Texas Rangers
FanDuel Price: $9,800
The dude has truly been one of the best pitchers in baseball down the stretch. He's won 10 starts in a row. He ranks second on the main slate with a 29.5% strikeout rate, and in his last four starts, he has a microscopic 0.36 ERA and 0.69 WHIP.
He dominated these same Texas Rangers, who own a 25.5% strikeout rate, for a seven-inning, 12-strikeout performance four turns ago, so play Paxton and expect a big night.
Mike Fiers, Oakland Athletics
at Seattle Mariners
FanDuel Price: $8,300
Over the last 30 days, Seattle has struggled with a 26.4% strikeout rate, including a lowly .286 team wOBA in that span. That bodes well for Fiers, who fired eight scoreless innings with only two hits allowed against the Texas Rangers in his last start.
Fiers has 15 wins on the season, and he will look to make it 16 and clinch a Wild Card spot for the Oakland Athletics tonight.
Vince Velasquez, Philadelphia Phillies
vs. Miami Marlins
FanDuel Price: $7,600
That doesn't mean we should ignore the volatile Vincent Velasquez, who faces the dreadful Miami Marlins tonight. Miami is likely to win the dubious moniker of being the league's worst offense -- both in terms of team wOBA (.288) and isolated power (.133, ISO). And they pair those numbers with a juicy 24.3% strikeout rate.
Velasquez has been, well, Velasquez as of late. He was brilliant with eight strikeouts versus the Atlanta Braves in a win two starts ago, but he was bombed by the New York Mets last time out. Given this poor offense of Miami, Velasquez could be a great play tonight.
Matt Kupferle is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Matt Kupferle also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username MKupferle. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.