FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Helper: Sunday 6/9/19
The beauty of daily fantasy baseball is that the top targets are different each and every day. Whether it's the right-handed catcher who destroys left-handed pitching or the mid-range hurler facing a depleted lineup, you're not going to find yourself using the same assets time after time.
While this breaks up the monotony, it can make it hard to decide which players are primed to succeed on a given day. We can help bridge that gap.
In addition to our custom optimal lineups, you can check out our batting and pitching heat maps, which show the pieces in the best spot to succeed on that slate. Put on the finishing touches with our games and lineups page to see who's hitting where and what the weather looks like, and you'll have yourself a snazzy-looking team to put up some big point totals.
If you need help getting started on that trek, here are some of the top options on the board today. We'll be focusing exclusively on the main slate.
Pitchers to Target
Shane Bieber ($9,500 on FanDuel): Bieber's 3.38 SIERA, 29.9% strikeout rate, 14.3% swinging-strike rate and 5.8% walk rate are elite numbers as the right-hander has emerged as a breakout hurler in 2019. He's taking on a New York Yankees lineup that has been good against righties this season, but our models have Bieber projected for 36.3 FanDuel points, second-most on the slate. With some other high-ceiling options on the board, Bieber may see less ownership than he should due to the difficult matchup, and he's in play in all formats.
Jake Odorizzi ($9,800): Odorizzi has taken a step forward this season with career-best marks in strikeout rate (28.0%) and swinging-strike rate (12.7%). While the kind of contact he gives up -- 38.0% hard-hit rate and 50.7% fly-ball rate -- leaves him open to some clunkers, he's facing a Detroit Tigers offense that ranks 28th in wOBA versus righties (.286) with the 3rd-highest strikeout rate in the split (26.2%). At -235 on the moneyline, the Minnesota Twins are biggest favorite on the slate, though our models don't love Odorizzi, pegging him for just 28.4 FanDuel points.
Aaron Nola ($9,200): Nola has been off this season, and that may cause him to sneak under the radar in a nice matchup with the Cincinnati Reds. Cincy owns the sixth-worst wOBA against right-handed pitchers (.298) as well as a league-low .275 road wOBA. Prior to a measly 5.6% swinging-strike rate versus the whiff-happy San Diego Padres in his last start, Nola had strung together three straight outings with a single-game swinging-strike rate of at least 11.8%. Our models have Nola scoring 34.5 FanDuel points, third-most on the slate, and he's an enticing GPP play.
Noah Syndergaard ($8,400): Syndergaard isn't a true "value" arm given that he's fairly pricey, but he's quite a bit cheaper than the top tier of pitchers on this slate and is the best point-per-dollar option of the bunch, per our numbers. Thor has a matchup -- home versus the Colorado Rockies -- that gives him an immense ceiling. Away from Coors, the Rox carry the fourth-highest strikeout rate (27.3%) and the second-worst wOBA (.287). Syndergaard offers as much upside as anyone on this slate when he's dialed in; thing is, he hasn't been dialed in much in 2019, with his numbers taking a step back across the board compared to his output from a season ago. Still, he's getting a bad road offense in one of the best pitcher parks in the bigs, making him worth a roll of the dice. We project Thor for 38.1 FanDuel points, tops among this slate's pitchers.
Hitters to Target
Michael Brantley ($4,200) and Josh Reddick ($3,200): You all know the drill -- attack Dylan Bundy with left-handed hitters. He surrendered a .399 wOBA to lefties last season while his 17.9% strikeout rate in the split was miles off his 31.4% strikeout rate against righties. This year has been a lot of the same as lefties are fanning just 15.5% of the time against Bundy. These two hit in the meat of the lineup versus a right-hander yesterday. Brantley is sporting a career-best 40.4% hard-hit rate in 2019 while Reddick has a stellar 10.2% strikeout rate with the platoon advantage this year to go with a 41.6% fly-ball rate. The Astros' 4.86 implied total is the fourth-best mark on the main slate.
Randal Grichuk ($3,100) and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($3,000): It's always a bit scary to target hitters who are facing Robbie Ray. The southpaw can get punchouts at an elite level (30.3% strikeout rate), but he also holds a 12.0% walk rate and 42.7% hard-hit rate. After a slow start to the campaign, Grichuk is finding his footing in June, posting a 58.3% fly-ball rate while striking out just 13.8% of the time. Overall in 2019, Grichuk owns a .345 wOBA and 39.1% hard-hit rate against left-handers. While Vlad hasn't shredded the bigs right away like everyone thought he might, a .253 BABIP isn't doing him any favors, and his 44.3% hard-hit rate is pretty darn solid. A full-on Toronto Blue Jays stack isn't recommended, but these two are in play as one-off options or a mini stack.
Jesus Aguilar ($2,200): Aguilar mashes lefties, and he's a great value target for his clash with Steven Brault. Despite his struggles this season, Aguilar has a decent batted-ball profile (36.8% hard-hit rate and 37.7% fly-ball rate), and he's walking a career-best 12.6% of the time. In his breakout 2018 effort, Aguilar boasted a .389 wOBA and 40.8% hard-hit rate with the platoon advantage. Brault has a 5.46 SIERA this season and is allowing right-handed hitters to record a .406 wOBA. The Milwaukee Brewers have a slate-best 5.65 implied total.
Ryan O'Hearn ($2,300): The Kansas City Royals are on the stacking radar thanks to the 5.19 implied total they carry into their matchup with Reynaldo Lopez. Lopez has a 5.46 SIERA for the season, and lefties have gotten to him for a .404 wOBA, 14.0% walk rate and 49.6% fly-ball rate. Like Aguilar, O'Hearn has started slowly after a big 2018, but he has a 40.2% hard-hit rate with the platoon advantage this year and finished last year with a .458 wOBA against righties.
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