4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 4/26/19
With all 30 teams in action tonight, implied totals aren't nearly as high as you would think, which should raise ownership for the handful of top options on the slate. Still, the sheer number of teams ought to spread things out enough that you can play your favorites stacks without too much worry.
Each day here on numberFire, we'll go through four offenses ripe for the stacking. They could have a great matchup, be in a great park, or just have a lot of quality sticks in the lineup, but these are the offenses primed for big days that you may want a piece of.
Premium members can use our stacking feature to customize their stacks within their optimal lineups for the day, choosing the team you want to stack and how many players you want to include. You can also check out our hitting heat map, which provides an illustration of which offenses have the best combination of matchup and potency.
Now, let's get to the stacks.
Attempting to come back from Tommy John surgery, there's been little to suggest Miller is ready to be a capable big leaguer again, posting a ghastly 7.49 SIERA, 7.3% strikeout rate, and 15.9% walk rate through four starts. If that wasn't enough, he's also allowing a massive 57.7% hard-hit rate and .426 xwOBA.
None of this bodes well for Miller against the Mariners, a team that's produced the sixth-best wOBA (.344) and top ISO (.231) against right-handed pitching this season. Dan Vogelbach ($3,800) and Jay Bruce ($3,100) will enjoy the platoon advantage (assuming Bruce is back in the lineup), but everyone in the top half of the order is fair game as always.
Omar Narvaez ($3,300) also bats from the left side and is an above-average career hitter against righties (113 wRC+). Ryon Healy ($3,100) is right-handed but is showing nice pop lower in the order, hitting barrels at a fairly high rate this season.
Attacking Baltimore Orioles pitching is the gift that keeps on giving, and tonight is no different for the Minnesota Twins against Alex Cobb. Minnesota is showing the highest implied total by a decent margin tonight (5.44), so they ought to be one of the most popular stacks.
But you'll probably still want some exposure here, with Cobb getting torched for an 11.88 ERA and 1.92 WHIP through his first two starts. Maybe he deserves better given his 4.30 SIERA, but as his Statcast page shows, it sure looks like opposing batters are squaring him up pretty good, and one of those starts just so happened to come against this same Twins team. Furthermore, it wasn't like Cobb was very good in 2018, when he produced a mere 4.62 SIERA and 15.4% strikeout rate over 28 starts.
Like the Mariners, the Twins have also been doing work against right-handers, matching Seattle for tops in ISO (.231) and boasting an even better .351 wOBA. Jorge Polanco ($4,100), Eddie Rosario ($4,300), and the ageless Nelson Cruz ($3,500) are all off to strong starts with hard-hit rates of 40% or better and fly-ball rates exceeding 45%.
Max Kepler ($3,100) hasn't quite gotten going, but he'll have the platoon advantage as a cheap leadoff man, and he too is making hard contact (39.3%). C.J. Cron ($2,800) is also affordable and produced a .354 xwOBA versus righties in 2018. Mitch Garver ($3,500) and Jonathan Schoop ($3,100) bat low in the order but have shown enticing average exit velocity on fly balls and lines drives at 99 and 96 mph, respectively.
Toronto Blue Jays
You may have heard some guy named Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($3,200) will be making his highly-anticipated debut for the Toronto Blue Jays, and given the hype and his low price, you can bet he'll be widely rostered.
But we could definitely be in for a treat against Mike Fiers, who carries a 5.09 SIERA and has already allowed 23 earned runs and 6 home runs over 25 innings (six starts). Considering the 43.0% hard-hit rate and 40.5% fly-ball rate he's showing, he figures to keep giving up dingers, too, something he's no stranger to. Since the start of 2017, he's allowed 1.8 homers per 9 innings with a 16.5% HR/FBB rate.
Given the matchup and Guerrero's presumed popularity, if you're going to roster him, why not stack him with some other Blue Jays? After all, if Guerrero has a big game, it stands to reason that his teammates should also benefit.
Toronto has failed us plenty of times this year, but maybe Guerrero gives this lineup the jolt it needs. There's still nice home run potential from guys like Justin Smoak ($4,100), Randal Grichuk ($2,900), Rowdy Tellez ($2,500), and Teoscar Hernandez ($2,800), and the Blue Jays have a solid 4.71 implied total.
Chicago White Sox
Norris has only logged 13 1/3 innings after beginning the season in the bullpen, but he's allowed a 43.9% hard-hit rate and 42.5% fly-ball rate that looks rather similar to what he's done over the past two seasons. He also isn't missing bats with an 18.2% strikeout rate and 6.7% swinging-strike, potentially setting the stage for the White Sox to knock some balls out of the park tonight.
Over the course of his career, Norris also owns just a 4.67 xFIP against right-handed batters, and practically the entire Chicago lineup is batting from that side on Friday. Jose Abreu ($3,700) is starting to have more big games, reflecting his fantastic 13th-ranking on the Statcast leaderboard in barrels per batted ball event. Both Tim Anderson ($4,100) and James McCann ($2,900) have enjoyed success with the platoon advantage, owning career wRC+ marks of 115 and 116 in the split, respectively.
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