Video game numbers. That was the best way to describe the Colorado Rockies offense to start the season. By the time April ended, the Rockies only trailed the Anaheim Angels in wins above replacement (WAR), and led the league with 157 runs scored.

As of May 7th, they were tied with the San Francisco Giants in the NL West with a 22-14 record. Only the Milwaukee Brewers had a better record in the National League, and only by half a game. Oh, and they had the best run-differential at +55, with the Oakland Athletics’ +44 the only team close.

Offense had a lot to do with that. In the month of April, six players with at least 50 plate appearances had an average over .300, five had isolated power (ISO) numbers over .200, six had weighted runs created (wRC+) over 100, and three had weighted on base averages (wOBA) over .400. For reference, the average wOBA is .320, wRC+ is 100 and ISO is .146.

nERD rating of 6.09, while no one even surpasses 5.00. numberFire projections currently have the Rockies finishing the season at 80-82. No one would argue with that number before the season started, and it fits now. Those numberFire projections also say the Rockies have a 25.7 percent chance of making the playoffs. That number ranks 14th in the league – only 10 teams make the postseason – and sandwiches them right between the Miami Marlins and Chicago White Sox.

There is a saving grace though, Rockies fans. Only 5 of their 17 losses have come at home. Why is that important? They are 16-10 at home, and 12-21 on the road, mainly because they score an obscene 6.88 runs at home, and just 3.60 runs on the road.

Eight games is certainly a small sample size, but it’s also unrealistic to imagine this offense keeping the same pace it had to start the season. Especially since this major drop has occurred with Tulowitzki still on fire.