4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 7/6/18
Stacking can be a controversial topic in many daily fantasy sports, but you can count baseball as a glaring exception. Here, it's universal.
Using multiple players on the same team on a given day presents you with the opportunity to double dip. If one of your players hits an RBI double, there's a good chance he drove in another one of your guys. When you get the points for both the run and the RBI, you'll be climbing the leaderboards fast.
Each day here on numberFire, we'll go through four offenses ripe for the stacking. They could have a great matchup, be in a great park, or just have a lot of quality sticks in the lineup, but these are the offenses primed for big days that you may want a piece of.
Premium members can use our new stacking feature to customize their stacks within their optimal lineups for the day, choosing the team you want to stack and how many players you want to include. You can also check out our hitting heat map, which provides an illustration of which offenses have the best combination of matchup and potency.
Now, let's get to the stacks.
You can go any number of different directions on offense tonight, but the Washington Nationals get one of the weakest arms on the mound in Dan Straily. Straily is having quite the long-ball problem this year, allowing 1.97 home runs per nine innings, due to a 48.3% hard-hit rate and 31.4% ground-ball rate. Perhaps it's no surprise then that he's getting thrashed for a .405 expected weighted on-base average (xwOBA). That's some alluring upside for a Nats team getting a 5.22 implied team total.
Trea Turner ($3,700) is coming off quite the Thursday performance, lighting up the Miami Marlins for two dingers and eight RBI on his way to 64.6 FanDuel points. We won't see that kind of power on most nights, but it speaks to the upside of batting high in the order when this offense is clicking. Turner remains fairly priced, posting a respectable .342 wOBA to go with the speed of one of the league's fastest baserunners (22 stolen bases).
The usual suspects of Bryce Harper ($4,300), Juan Soto ($3,700), and Anthony Rendon ($4,100) bring the pop, with all three posting xwOBAs above .385 against right-handed pitching. And don't underestimate Matt Adams ($3,000) if he's starting again. He enters as a fantastic value for a dude producing a 44.9% hard-hit rate, 43.9% fly-ball rate, and .326 isolated power (ISO) versus righties.
Daniel Murphy ($2,800) is scuffling at the plate, but we can still give him a look while he's priced this low. After all, this is a guy who posted a .385 wOBA and .221 ISO with the platoon advantage last year. Adam Eaton ($3,200) is putting up a 41.8% hard-hit rate, and at a reasonable price point, he deserves a look if he's back leading off.
Boston Red Sox
The Boston Red Sox get a tantalizing matchup of their own, taking on another lackluster arm in Jason Hammel. Hammel is allowing a .388 xwOBA, 45.8% hard-hit rate, and 38.0% ground-ball rate, to go with a poor 4.94 SIERA and 14.5% strikeout rate. It's no surprise to see the the Sox getting a 5.14 implied team total -- tied for second on the slate.
As always, Mookie Betts ($4,900) and J.D. Martinez ($4,600) are your top options, and both are among the league leaders in xwOBA. Xander Bogaerts ($3,500) continues to display improved power, with career-bests in hard-hit rate (38.6%) and ISO (.228).
Andrew Benintendi ($3,600) and Mitch Moreland ($3,300) will enjoy the platoon advantage, and are more affordably priced these days. Moreland has slowed down since his torrid start, but still holds a solid 37.6% hard-hit rate and 41.4% fly-ball rate versus righties. However, he's been dealing with back spasms this week, so make sure he's in the lineup.
Rafael Devers ($2,700) and Jackie Bradley ($2,400) are your best bets on the cheap, with Devers coming off a strong June, and showing a 39.2% hard-hit rate and 41.8% fly-ball rate against right-handers. Bradley may bat ninth but quietly owns a .353 xwOBA in the platoon split.
Overall, Dylan Bundy is in the midst of his best season yet, so at first glance it may seem curious to attempt a stack against him. But he's still struggling mightily against lefties, and the Minnesota Twins will be able to roll out practically an entire lineup of them. Bundy has a far less intimidating strikeout rate versus lefty bats (21.7%), while allowing a .392 xwOBA. Vegas seems to agree as well, giving the Twins a 4.80 implied team total.
Among the lefty options, we have Eddie Rosario ($3,700) and Eduardo Escobar ($3,300), who are showing nice power this year, with each exceeding a 38% hard-hit rate and .240 ISO. Joe Mauer ($2,500) remains a cheap leadoff man, while Logan Morrison ($2,700) continues to show better potential than his results would indicate against righties (.385 xwOBA).
Lower in the order, Max Kepler ($2,700) has really slowed down since April, but he owns a career .191 ISO with the platoon advantage. Jorge Polanco ($2,700) remains a reasonable punt at shortstop, too.
Brian Dozier ($3,700) is a secondary option given that he's a righty with a high salary but can still be considered as a contrarian second baseman who bats high in the order. He's still showing some decent power against righties with a 38.8% hard-hit rate and .191 ISO.
Jordan Zimmermann has actually performed okay this year, so particularly on a large slate, the masses may elect to pass on the Texas Rangers as a potential stack. But Zimmermann has only made 10 starts, and we shouldn't forget how poorly he pitched in 2017, posting a miserable 6.08 ERA, 5.22 SIERA and 14.5% strikeout rate -- and it wasn't like he was very good the year prior, either.
Joey Gallo ($2,700) is a strikeout machine, but he is always a strong GPP play for his power upside. The home runs haven't been there for Rougned Odor ($3,000), but they should come around, as he still holds a 40.4% hard-hit rate and 45.7% fly-ball rate versus righties.
Leadoff man Shin-Soo Choo ($3,500) has now reached base in 44 consecutive games and is up to a .420 xwOBA with the platoon advantage..
Elvis Andrus ($3,100), Nomar Mazara ($3,200), and Adrian Beltre ($3,200) are all inexpensive pieces in the top half of the order. Beltre isn't displaying the same power this year, but is still sporting a 44.8% hard-hit rate and .343 xwOBA against same-side hurlers.
Robinson Chirinos ($2,600) is boom-or-bust, but he could be heating up, boasting a .502 wOBA and 52.6% hard-hit rate over the last 14 days.
Kenyatta Storin is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Kenyatta Storin also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username yatters. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.
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