3 MLB Prop Bets to Target on 6/28/18
Prop betting odds can be useful in daily fantasy sports to help gauge the potential performance of a player on any given night in the MLB. Likewise, the same principles can be applied in the opposite direction -- by using our fantasy projections and models to help make more informed prop bets.
Please note that Vegas lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Brian Johnson OVER 3 Strikeouts (-105)
The Boston Red Sox are being forced to look to the bullpen to start Thursday's game against the Los Angeles Angels with Steven Wright going on the disabled list. Left-hander Brian Johnson is on the mound, and our models think that he could produce a solid outing compared to his prop odds.
Johnson had one start this season back on April 2 where he went six innings and struck out five batters. He owns a respactable 21.2% strikeout rate this season, and with the Angels only posting a .304 wOBA against left-handed pitching, our models think Johnson can produce 5.32 strikeouts over 5.9 innings of work.
Mookie Betts OVER 2.5 Runs, Hits, and RBI (-130)
Betts is slowly returning to form after coming off the disabled list. He has collected three or more runs, hits, and RBI in three of his last five games. Betts owns a .446 wOBA and .322 isolated power against right-handed pitching this season, and tonight our models like him for 3.3 runs, hits, and RBI.
Christian Yelich OVER 2.5 Runs, Hits, and RBI (+120)
Yelich has hit right-handed pitching hard this season with a 46.1% hard hit rate, .377 wOBA and .203 isolated power over 217 plate appearances. For Thursday, our models project Yelich for 2.97 runs, hits, and RBI. The return is just too nice to pass up.