3 MLB Prop Bets to Target on 6/19/18
Prop betting odds can be useful in daily fantasy sports to help gauge the potential performance of a player on any given night in the MLB. Likewise, the same principles can be applied in the opposite direction -- by using our fantasy projections and models to help make more informed prop bets.
Please note that Vegas lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Domingo German OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (-115)
The odds for the over this time around are even better than they were five days ago, and our projections like German's chances of getting six or more punchouts. The Seattle Mariners have a team strikeout rate of only 20.6%, but our models project German to rack up 6.02 strikeouts tonight.
Charlie Blackmon OVER 2.5 Runs, Hits, and RBI (-110)
The battle between the New York Mets and Colorado Rockies is once again going to be garnering a ton of fantasy and betting interest. We cashed a winning ticket yesterday on Asdrubal Cabrera, and our models are high on a pair of Rockies hitters for today.
However, Bovada is offering odds on just one of them, so we'll focus on Charlie Blackmon, who is up against lefty Jason Vargas. Blackmon has hit well against left-handed pitching this season with a .347 wOBA. With strong lefty-lefty splits, our models project Blackmon for 3.24 runs, hits, and RBIs.
Freddie Freeman OVER 2.5 Runs, Hits, and RBI (+120)
Freeman owns a .472 wOBA against lefties this year over 109 plate appearances. He has also had a ton of success against Garcia, though the sample is limited. Freeman is 4-for-13 (.308) with 2 home runs and 5 RBIs in his career against the Jays' southpaw. For Tuesday, our models project Freeman for 2.88 runs, hits, and RBIs.