3 MLB Prop Bets to Target on 6/18/18
Prop betting odds can be useful in daily fantasy sports to help gauge the potential performance of a player on any given night in the MLB. Likewise, the same principles can be applied in the opposite direction -- by using our fantasy projections and models to help make more informed prop bets.
Please note that Vegas lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Asdrubal Cabrera OVER 2 Runs, Hits, and RBI (-120)
Asdrubal Cabrera is one the top value options, per our models, for the Monday slate of DFS, and we think he is also being underpriced by Bovada sportsbook in his run, hit, and RBI prop odds.
Cabrera homered on Sunday and is 3-for-9 over his last two games. A game at Coors Field could be just what he needs to keep rolling. Over the last three seasons, Cabrera is 8-for-25 (.320) in Denver, with 2 doubles, 3 RBIs, and 2 runs scored.
Anthony Rizzo UNDER 2.5 Runs, Hits, and RBI (-150)
On the other side of the spectrum tonight is Anthony Rizzo. The Chicago Cubs' first baseman is hitting the ball well against right-handed pitching this season, but Kenta Maeda makes for a tough matchup.
Maeda has performed very well on the road this season, with a .285 road wOBA over his first 105 batters faced away from Chavez Ravine. Lefties have only a .296 wOBA versus Maeda when he is pitching on the road. Our models think Rizzo will be limited to 1.65 runs, hits, and RBIs.
Daniel Murphy UNDER 2 Runs, Hits, and RBI (-110)
It's been slow going for Daniel Murphy in his return to the Washington Nationals' lineup. He is 2-for-20 in his first five games back, and after the New York Yankees and Nats complete their suspended game, Murphy could be a profitable fade in the scheduled game.
Sonny Gray is on the hill for New York, and he has been sharp against left-handed hitters this season, holding them to a .313 wOBA over 144 total batters faced. We think Murphy will struggle against Gray, projecting him for 1.65 runs, hits, and RBIs.