3 MLB Prop Bets to Target on 6/13/18
Prop betting odds can be useful in daily fantasy sports to help gauge the potential performance of a player on any given night in the MLB. Likewise, the same principles can be applied in the opposite direction -- by using our fantasy projections and models to help make more informed prop bets.
Please note that Vegas lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Mike Moustakas OVER 2.5 Runs, Hits, and RBI (+140)
Our models have five hitters projected for 15 or more FanDuel points on the night slate, and Mike Moustakas is one of them. Compared to his odds for the over on this play, Moustakas also presents some nice prop value at +140.
Moustakas owns a .370 wOBA and .261 isolated power against righties, and Tyler Mahle has struggled against left-handed hitters this year. Lefties have a .404 wOBA and a 45.9% hard hit rate against Mahle, and with that in mind our models are projecting Moustakas for 2.99 combined runs, hits, and RBI.
Jose Martinez OVER 2.5 Runs, Hits, and RBI (+100)
Jose Martinez has been on fire in the month of June, hitting 17-for-36 (.472) with 5 home runs, 11 RBI, and 10 runs scored. Our models think Martinez could continue that hot hitting Wednesday against lefty Eric Lauer.
Martinez has a career .470 wOBA over 127 career plate appearances against left-handed pitching, and with the way he's been hitting lately our models are projecting the Cardinals' slugger for 3.01 runs, hits, and RBI this evening.
Francisco Lindor Will Have MORE Runs, Hits, and RBI Than Jose Abreu (-150)
Even with Lindor only batting .175 in the month of June, with Trevor Bauer pitching for the Tribe, our models are projecting Abreu for 2.22 runs, hits, and RBI, compared to 2.97 for Lindor, who goes up against Dylan Covey.