3 MLB FanDuel Studs to Target on 4/10/19
Noah Syndergaard, P, New York Mets
The Twins' offense has been great to start the year, ranking fourth in wRC+ and striking out at a bottom-four rate. We're still dealing with a pretty small sample though, and some of the underlying numbers aren't as encouraging. Their 12.0% swinging-strike rate is the 10th-highest in the majors, and they rank only 19th in hard-hit rate while also posting the 13th-highest soft-hit rate. Those numbers indicate that we can expect some regression moving forward.
Even in what was a down year in 2018, Syndergaard notched a strong 3.55 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) with a 24.1% strikeout rate. His swinging-strike rate (13.6%) was in line with his career-average (13.4%). He's picked up where he left off through two starts this season, with a 13.9% swinging-strike rate and 3.09 SIERA.
The Mets are hefty -198 favorites on the moneyline, and the Twins have a weak 3.21 implied total -- both the most favorable marks for a pitcher as of Wednesday morning. It's no surprise that our models have Syndergaard projected as the slate's top pitcher.