US Open Women's Final Betting Guide: Saturday 9/10/22
With both Serena Williams and Rafael Nadal ousted from the US Open, it's time for the new guard to shine in the second week of play.
What better way to get in on the action than making some wagers on FanDuel Sportsbook?
The women's final is set and will take place on Saturday at 4:00 p.m. ET. How should we bet the match?
Ons Jabeur (+158) over Iga Swiatek
While Iga Swiatek and Ons Jabeur haven't played at their peak levels for much of the tournament, they've both found a way to get the job done, and we're being treated to a matchup between the top-two female players of 2022.
Swiatek entered the tournament a ridiculous 50-7, which included a 37-match win streak and 6 singles titles -- most notably winning her second Grand Slam at the French Open.
Jabeur wasn't quite at that absurd level, but she rattled off a 38-13 record and was one win away from nabbing her first Grand Slam before falling to Elena Rybakina in the Wimbledon final.
On paper, Swiatek should have the advantage, and that's reflected in the odds, where we see her as a -192 favorite. According to Tennis Abstract, Jabeur has a modest 31.8% chance of pulling off the upset.
That being said, while Jabeur started off the tournament slowly, she might be saving her best for last.
Facing easily the hottest player on tour in the semifinals, Jabeur dominated Caroline Garcia from start to finish in an impressive 6-1, 6-3 win that never seemed to be in doubt. While the Tunisian player had a shaky 45% first-serve percentage, she used her serve to great effect, tallying 8 aces and winning 83% of those first-serve points. Jabeur didn't face a single break point, and the highly-anticipated matchup ultimately lasted only last 66 minutes.
On the other hand, Swiatek has struggled to find her serve late in this tournament, facing double-digit break points in each of her last three matches, and she lost the first set in two of the three. While she's managed to overcome these issues through her trademark resilient play, Swiatek has been playing with fire for a while now.
The head-to-head history between these two also gives us some hope for Jabeur. Each player has won two matches apiece, and Jabeur won their most recent hard-court match in straight sets last year at Cincinnati.
While hard courts haven't been Jabeur's strongest surface historically, she's in the midst of the best season of her career, and she could be catching Swiatek at just the right time. She'll also be plenty motivated to leave the bad taste of that disappointing Wimbledon loss in the rearview mirror.
Like in previous matches, there's good value in betting Ons Jabeur wins the match and both players win a set (+410) considering it wouldn't be the least bit shocking to see Swiatek still win a set. Over Total Sets 2.5 (+120) is also on the table at a solid price.
