0 Min Till Start

GB - Ayr - Race 2

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
5f
Handicap
Turf
Good
9.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

A trappy handicap and with that in mind it may pay to take a chance on ACONCAGUA MOUNTAIN. He's fallen to a handy mark on the pick of last season's efforts and the return to this track/trip could spark a revival. Golden Rainbow arrives in good nick and is feared, with returning pair Havagomecca and Ski Angel others worth a look.
numberFire PicksHorse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3 %Win ProbOdds
9
Aconcagua Mountain (Ire) silk

C&D winner. 9/1, ninth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 38 days ago, headway over 2f out and weakening final 1f. Return to the minimum trip rates a plus and better showing not ruled out.

1st Pick
9

Aconcagua Mountain (Ire)

Jockey: Andrew Mullen

Trainer: Iain Jardine

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

94---17%5/1

Analysis

C&D winner. 9/1, ninth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 38 days ago, headway over 2f out and weakening final 1f. Return to the minimum trip rates a plus and better showing not ruled out.

6
Golden Rainbow silk

Latest win at Newcastle in March. Creditable second of 8 in handicap back at that venue (5f) 41 days ago. Effective for all he's winless on turf and respected as an in-form sort with Hollie Doyle an eye-catching booking.

2nd Pick
6

Golden Rainbow

Jockey: Hollie Doyle

Trainer: Rebecca Menzies

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Rebecca Menzies

95---34%2/1

Analysis

Latest win at Newcastle in March. Creditable second of 8 in handicap back at that venue (5f) 41 days ago. Effective for all he's winless on turf and respected as an in-form sort with Hollie Doyle an eye-catching booking.

1
Havagomecca silk

6-y-o mare who won second time out last season but didn't really kick on thereafter, below form sixth of 10 in handicap (18/1) at Musselburgh (5f, good to soft) in October. Mark has fallen plenty ahead of return at least and this her easiest assignment for some time.

3rd Pick
1

Havagomecca

Jockey: Connor Beasley

Trainer: Michael Dods

J: Connor Beasley

T: Michael Dods

98---13%7/1

Analysis

6-y-o mare who won second time out last season but didn't really kick on thereafter, below form sixth of 10 in handicap (18/1) at Musselburgh (5f, good to soft) in October. Mark has fallen plenty ahead of return at least and this her easiest assignment for some time.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.