Tiz the Bomb Could be a Huge Longshot to surprise in Kentucky Derby

The 2022 Kentucky Derby is May 7th, and 20 of the top 3-year-olds will Run for the Roses at Churchill Downs. Which horses should you bet on at TVG?

The 2022 Kentucky Derby is on May 7th with post time at 6:57 p.m. ET. Using TVG projections and Horse Racing Nation as a guide, here are the horse profiles for America’s biggest and most popular race.

New players, get your first win-type wager on a single horse in any race at any track risk-free up to $200 with TVG: Bet the Derby!

As always, check the program for racing information after the post position draw on May 2nd, and monitor the weather and track conditions.

(I will reference Equibase's Speed Figure and BRIS and Beyer speed figures, which tells you how fast a horse has been running in each of its races -- adjusted for track, distances, and conditions.)

#9 Tiz the Bomb

Morning Line Odds: 30/1
Bet Now at TVG

Trained by Kenny McPeek and ridden by jockey B.J. Henderson, Jr, Tiz the Bomb was installed at 30/1 on the morning line odds breaking from post No. 9 just inside the Derby ML favorites Zandon.

Tiz the Bomb has won 5-of-8 starts including 2-of-3 this year after winning the Jeff Ruby Stakes on the synthetic surface at Turfway Park last race. Tiz the Bomb is one of the better big longshots who is capable of out-running his pari-mutuel odds and completing the superfecta with his best run.

Tiz the Bomb did post a 101 BRIS Speed Rating in one of his races, but that was on turf, which is his best surface. He'll need to improve his speed and performance on dirt, and his best Beyer Speed Figure is 93.

History shows that 27 of the last 30 Kentucky Derby winners (90.0%) have entered the race with a career-best Beyer Speed Figure of at least 95. And 18 of the past 22 Kentucky Derby winners (81.8%) had a BRIS Speed Rating of at least 100 prior to the race.