Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday 8/26/21
As always, check for scratches and changes and monitor the weather and track conditions.
(I will reference Equibase's Speed Figure in selected races, which tells you how fast a horse has been running in each of its races -- adjusted for track, distances, and conditions.)
Mitigation, Race 1
FanDuel Racing Odds: 5/2
The day begins with a Maiden Special Weight for baby 2-year-old fillies going 1 mile. The numberFire data projects the favorite to win, Censorship (9/5), with trainer Bob Baffert’s runner posting the top speed figure for this field in an improved runner-up finish last race.
This is the first maiden dirt route of the season for maiden fillies in Southern California, and Mitigation (5/2) is a strong challenger with leading jockey Juan Hernandez riding. She’s a best bet of Guaranteed Tip Sheet off a pretty solid debut and looks like she wants more ground. Trainer John Shirreffs is 4-for-7 with second-start maiden stretch-outs on dirt the past two years, according to Horse Racing Radar.
Frost Alert and Law Abiding, Race 4
FanDuel Racing Odds: 4/1 and 5/1
Race 4 is a 5-furlong sprint for 2-year-olds on the turf, and four runners are trying to get into the race off the also-eligible list. At least eight juveniles will go to post, and numberFire’s in-the-money finishers are projected as Frost Alert (4/1), Anmer Hall (3/1), and Con On the Run (4/1).
Frost Alert has top turf rider Umberto Rispoli aboard, and he was a $270k juvenile purchase. Law Abiding (5/1) has sharp workouts for EPO trainer Richard Baltas, and he’s by strong sire Jimmy Creed.
Chasingserendipity and Majestic Steps, Race 8
FanDuel Racing Odds: 5/2 and 3/1
Race 6 is a Claiming race for 3-year-old fillies at 1 mile on the turf. The FanDuel Racing odds make Chasingserendipity (5/2) the favorite, and she’s the top choice according to numberFire's model. Chasingserendipity had a good effort in her local debut and looks like a solid win contender against this group with jockey Drayden Van Dyke taking the call.
The morning line favorite will try to hold off Majestic Steps (3/1) and top jockey Flavien Prat. Majestic Steps drops to the lowest level of her career having faced stakes caliber runners and past speed figures that make her a legit win contender.
Agreetodisagree (6/1) could pay off in exacta or trifecta wagering with Jessica Pyfer riding, according to Guaranteed Tip Sheet.