Lone Star Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday 7/22/20
With most of the sports world on pause, it's a great time to dive into horse racing, and FanDuel Racing gives you the chance to do just that.
Starting at 2:35 p.m. EST today, we have nine races at Lone Star Park, including four restricted stakes. Using our projections as a guide, here's a look at some of the best bets.
As always, keep an eye out for scratches and changes.
(I will be referencing Equibase's Speed Figure, which tells you how fast a horse has been running in each of its races -- adjusted for track, distances, and conditions)
J C's Nightcap and Direct Dial, Race 5 (4:43 PM)
FD Racing Odds: 12/1 and 3/5
Race 5 is the Wayne Hanks Memorial stakes at Lone Star. numberFire's model likes J C's Nightcap to place first in this one, though I'd prefer to pair any bets with heavy favorite Direct Dial. J C's Nightcap is the only horse in this race to have reached triple-digit speed figures on more than one occasion, having done so 7 times in his last 16 outings. This is a capable horse, though the concern is that his last two efforts have been poor, at best. The gelding posted figures of 68 and 66 in two June races at this track, though his two workouts since indicate that a turnaround could be in short order. Meanwhile, Direct Dial hasn't posted a figure below 80 since 2017 and is a five-time Stakes winner. Jockey Stewart Elliott led the horse to a win here five weeks ago and will look to do so again today.
Wonders of Hislove (4/1) should certainly be in the mix. The colt has won two of his last three, reaching figures of 80-plus in each effort. Affluent Gentleman (6/1) has placed top-three in 11 of 13 career races. The gelding's last race yielded a figure of just 69, but that was fresh off a three-month layoff. He should fare better at this event.
G Don't Know, Race 6 (5:15 PM)
FD Racing Odds: 5/2
Our model has G Don't Know finishing as the runner-up in the Texas Stallion Stakes (Staunch Avenger Division), but I like the colt's chances. First, his jockey booking of Ramon Vazquez is top-notch. Vazquez has won 26 of his last 75 races, good for 34.7%. G Don't Know finished as the runner-up in his only career outing a month ago, achieving a figure of 66 in that one. He's also had some superb workouts at Lone Star.
Betting favorite Island Sun (7/5) is the only competitor in this race to have won an event before. The colt reached a figure of 71 in a win here a month ago. He'll also benefit from having Stewart Elliott in the saddle. His last workout six days ago left a lot to be desired. Carbon Stryker (9/2) needs to garner consideration in his debut. The gelding has had four excellent workouts at Lone Star since mid-June. A Hunk of Heaven (30/1) is a longshot worth betting on in his debut. The colt has an impressive effort at the end of June. Policy Limit (8/1) and Cresson (30/1) are also worth including in exotics.
Not Enough Bling, Race 7 (5:45 PM)
FD Racing Odds: 5/1
Not Enough Bling is projected by numberFire's model to finish third in the Texas Stallion Stakes (Pan Zareta Division). The filly placed third in her debut six weeks ago but has had a number of speedy workouts at the track since. More importantly, she'll be jockeyed by the aforementioned Vazquez -- that helps.
Great Affection (6/5) is the current betting favorite. Ridden by Elliott, this filly is the only one in this race to have won an event. In her early June win, Great Affection posted a figure of 68. Swift Red Bird (10/1) could make some serious noise in her debut. The two-year-old's workouts in June were terrific. Soundslikeawinner (10/1) and Trinity Queen (8/1) should be thereabouts. Thatsalotofbling (4/1) could place well in her third career outing.
Shes Our Fastest, Race 8 (6:15 PM)
FD Racing Odds: 5/2
numberFire projects Shes Our Fastest to win the Lane's End Danny Shifflett Scholarship Stakes. The mare has 8 wins in 25 career outings, placing top-three in all but 6 of them. She's also a five-time stakes winner. Her last outing was a poor showing at Lone Star five weeks ago, but her workout last week indicates a much-improved form. With the rust shaken off, Shes Our Fastest should place well here.
Herbs Love (2/1) is the betting favorite and in too good of form to ignore. The filly has won three of her last six, with some phenomenal workouts to go along with them. Eaton's Memory (8/1) has won four of her last five and 6 of 11 overall -- she should be thereabouts. Gee She Sparkles (12/1) and Brazos Angel (20/1) are longshots worth including in exotics. Corluna (3/1) won this event last year, though her form since mid-June hasn't been up to par.