Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday 7/17/20
With most of the sports world on pause, it's a great time to dive into horse racing, and FanDuel Racing gives you the chance to do just that.
Starting at 1:10 p.m. EST, we have 10 races at Saratoga. Using our numberFire projections as a guide, here are some of the best bets.
As always, check the program for scratches and changes, and check the weather and track conditions.
(I will reference Equibase's Speed Figure in selected races, which tells you how fast a horse has been running in each of its races -- adjusted for track, distances, and conditions).
Clara Peeters, Race 7
FanDuel Racing Odds: 5/1
Race 7 is the minor $85K De La Rose Stakes for 9 fillies and mares going 1-mile on the Inner Turf. Bridlewood Cat (1/1) is entered but will only run if the race is move to the main dirt track. This race is the start of a late Pick 3 and Pick 4 and is also the second leg of the Pick 5 and Grand Slam.
Four runners are entered for EPO trainer Chad Brown in this wide open stakes race. Catch a Bid (9/2) breaks from the rail with Noor Sahara (4/1) next to her. The favorite is Blowout (3/1) on the far outside was scratched this morning. Brown’s other runner is Viadera (6/1) with strong stretch rider Joel Rosario aboard.
She’s preferred over the others at longer morning line odds.
Catch a Bid is the top pick at numberFire. She won a minor stakes race last summer at the Spa with a 103 speed figure. She won her 2020 debut last month on the front end against weaker as the favorite.
Irish-bred Noor Sahara finished 3rd in her U.S. debut last month at Belmont as the favorite, with the top-3 crossing the finish line heads apart. Irad Ortiz, Jr. rides again.
His brother Jose Ortiz breaks right next door aboard Passing Out (7/2), who won an Allowance race in March and finished 3rd last month against a tough, short field in the Beaugay Stakes (G3) at Belmont.
Let’s support the other EPO trainer Brad Cox and his British-bred mare Clara Peeters (5/1). She raced 12 times in the UK before running a close 2nd at the Fair Grounds in her U.S. debut in March with a slow start and wide trip. Last month, she won an Allowance race at Belmont as the favorite, improving her speed figure to 98. Javier Castellano keeps the mount, and Clara Peeters will be coming off the pace with a strong late run as the top pick at Guaranteed Tip Sheet (GTS).
Lady Lawyer , Race 8
FanDuel Racing Odds: 3/2
Race 8 is an Allowance race with six fillies and mares sprinting 5 ½ furlongs on the turf.
Lady Lawyer (3/2) should take this as the favorite for trainer Chad Brown, who also trains French-bred Olendon (5/2). Joel Rosario and Irad Ortiz, Jr. will battle down the stretch for the winner's share of $76K. Those two are picked to finish 1-2 by Daily Horse Picks, with Olendon given the class edge but has hit the board in just 1-of-4 U.S. starts.
The speed favors Lady Lawyer, whose sire is the great Blame – a Breeders’ Cup Classic winner. Lady Lawyer won 3-of-5 starts in the UK and finished 2nd in her U.S. debut at Belmont last month behind Clara Peeters (Race 7 above) while pressing the pace the entire way. A move forward today and a best bet at GTS.
Lost Ticket (6/1) won her 2020 debut last month at 20-1 odds from off the pace. She'll need to be more powerful to take out the Lady Lawyer.
Please Flatter Me and Risky Mandate, Race 9
FanDuel Racing Odds: 8/1 and 9/2
Race 8 is the $85K minor Shine Again Stakes at 7 furlongs for
fillies and mares. The favorite of 10 entered is
Indian Pride (6/5), whose
FanDuel Racing imply a 45% chance to win. But numberFire does not even
have her hitting the board. She’s won 2-of-3 starts but ran a slower 85 speed
figure in winning her 2020 debut last month in an Allowance race at Belmont.
Please Flatter Me (8/1) can win this at a price for Steve Asmussen and is worth inclusion in the horizontals and exotics. She’s a graded stakes-placed runner last summer and was runner-up to a very heavy favorite in her 2020 debut at this distance last month at Churchill Downs. Please Flatter Me has won 4-of-8 starts with a pair of runner-up finishes, and Ricardo Santana, Jr. rides again.
Blamed (7/2) has won 9-of-15 starts and ran on the front end in a longer Grade 1 race last month before fading after six furlongs. She is the top pick at numberFire. Risky Mandate (9/2) has hit the board in all four starts, including a hard closing 2nd at Churchill last month in her 2020 debut as the favorite. A strong bullet work since also suggests she can finish well again.